Posted:
#26
I am with you on the Vlad analysis. IMO, the money going on Sultan is public, bigtime. Vlad has struggled against fighters that have one-punch power. Many people are probably thinking that this is Sanders-Vlad all over again. Not even close.
When the southpaw Sanders was in shape, many people thought he was among the hardest hitters in the division, if not the hardest. He lit Vlad up with two straight lefts that left him on queer street. Devastating blows.
Vlad has improved a lot since then. And, IMO, Ibragimov's a marginal heavyweight puncher...nowhere near a Brewster, Peter or Sanders. He never hurt Holyfield, and Holy stood directly in front of him for 12 rounds with 45-year old reflexes. He employed a gun and run offense against Holy that will not work with Vlad due to the size disadvantage.
I just can't see how Sultan can keep this competitive. He is too small and way outmatched. I expect Vlad will win by KO, but my shitty book doesn't offer it and I waited this out to -350. At those odds, I don't see much value in taking the iffy KO at -150. I was gonna nail this at -550, that's how confident I am.
So, risking this week's winnings of 3800 to win 1085, Vlad to win.
When the southpaw Sanders was in shape, many people thought he was among the hardest hitters in the division, if not the hardest. He lit Vlad up with two straight lefts that left him on queer street. Devastating blows.
Vlad has improved a lot since then. And, IMO, Ibragimov's a marginal heavyweight puncher...nowhere near a Brewster, Peter or Sanders. He never hurt Holyfield, and Holy stood directly in front of him for 12 rounds with 45-year old reflexes. He employed a gun and run offense against Holy that will not work with Vlad due to the size disadvantage.
I just can't see how Sultan can keep this competitive. He is too small and way outmatched. I expect Vlad will win by KO, but my shitty book doesn't offer it and I waited this out to -350. At those odds, I don't see much value in taking the iffy KO at -150. I was gonna nail this at -550, that's how confident I am.
So, risking this week's winnings of 3800 to win 1085, Vlad to win.
0
.5 of a unit to win .99 
1.5 unit parlay to win 1.62 
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