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Plays for the Week (Where are the big matchups?)

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Posts: 31
 
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Posts: 4377
Posted: #26
.40 of a unit on the draw in Tsurkan-Feliciano (+2500)
.40 of a unit on Feliciano by 10 round decision (+521)

Finally got to see the fight tonight.  Definitely not the fight I anticipated, that was pretty ugly for Feliciano.  He made Tsurkan look like a stud which he isn't.  Teddy was right in saying that Feliciano should be looked at closely before fighting again.  Sad to see because he is so young, but he could be at serious risk.

It was a smallish play, but I probably shouldn't have touched this fight.

-2.3 units for the week


 
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Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by Fullbrights:



If it's -600 I will be all over Smith.  I don't think you will see anything north of -300 on Julio.

You hit that one pretty much right on the number.

This should be a very entertaining fight. Between Julio's come forward style and the desperation factor for Smith, I doubt we get a reprise of the Powell performance. Although I rewatched that fight yesterday and think Smith dropped a draw at the worst.

I'm probably no playing this one though, unless the SU line moves in the opposite direction from what I think it will. I'd make a small play on the Julio by decision prop if I had that option. -325 pretty much killed my interest in the over, even though I see a stoppage in this fight being very unlikely.

What say you FB?

 
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Posted: #28
What do you think about under 9.5 rounds? Both are big punchers and will be looking to impress?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #29
What do you think about under 9.5 rounds? Both are big punchers and will be looking to impress?
 
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Posted: #30
Quote Originally Posted by Zumbize:

You hit that one pretty much right on the number.

This should be a very entertaining fight. Between Julio's come forward style and the desperation factor for Smith, I doubt we get a reprise of the Powell performance. Although I rewatched that fight yesterday and think Smith dropped a draw at the worst.

I'm probably no playing this one though, unless the SU line moves in the opposite direction from what I think it will. I'd make a small play on the Julio by decision prop if I had that option. -325 pretty much killed my interest in the over, even though I see a stoppage in this fight being very unlikely.

What say you FB?





Lol, yeah I wasn't to far off with the number I threw out.  I would have loved to bet against your line Bigs.  I'm just yanking your chain;  anything over -300 on Julio would have been off imo. 

Yeah, the Powell fight was close; Smith just didn't stay active enough.  That fight was very winnable.

I played Smith by 10 rd decision and the draw.  Smith's style won't do Julio any favors.
 
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by thomasharris:

What do you think about under 9.5 rounds? Both are big punchers and will be looking to impress?


I think the over is the likely outcome, but of course the odds indicate that.  I don't see a stoppage tonight either way.
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