personally i believe floyd is about a 55% chance to win, so there is
obviously a 45% chance in my mind he loses or it's called a draw. if
you got floyd at -180 or worse (the majority of you got worse), you do
not have the value IMO that you think you do. in terms of value, my 55%
winning pct puts your -180 or worse as mathematically a poor play.
that said, some of you are still coming off like this is a gift and
quite frankly not only is this not a gift it is not even a value play!!
i hope floyd receives a boxing lesson, and some of you receive a lesson
in not calling your wagers "easy money", "gift", "lock", etc etc
enjoy !!!!
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
personally i believe floyd is about a 55% chance to win, so there is
obviously a 45% chance in my mind he loses or it's called a draw. if
you got floyd at -180 or worse (the majority of you got worse), you do
not have the value IMO that you think you do. in terms of value, my 55%
winning pct puts your -180 or worse as mathematically a poor play.
that said, some of you are still coming off like this is a gift and
quite frankly not only is this not a gift it is not even a value play!!
i hope floyd receives a boxing lesson, and some of you receive a lesson
in not calling your wagers "easy money", "gift", "lock", etc etc
I guess we'll see. I'd have it closer to 75% Floyd wins. I personally really hope Manny wins as I am a fan but unfortunately I would be shocked if it happened.
0
I guess we'll see. I'd have it closer to 75% Floyd wins. I personally really hope Manny wins as I am a fan but unfortunately I would be shocked if it happened.
I love Mayweather and he is God's gift to sports betters that have a brain. Morons hate him so much that we always get terrific odds. Good show Money! and thanks for all the money youve made me all these years.
0
I love Mayweather and he is God's gift to sports betters that have a brain. Morons hate him so much that we always get terrific odds. Good show Money! and thanks for all the money youve made me all these years.
47-0 before this fight. How can you bet against that? Easy money tonight. Make that 48-0 You got 1 more chance in September to make easy money cause he will be 49-0.
0
47-0 before this fight. How can you bet against that? Easy money tonight. Make that 48-0 You got 1 more chance in September to make easy money cause he will be 49-0.
personally i believe floyd is about a 55% chance to win, so there is
obviously a 45% chance in my mind he loses or it's called a draw. if
you got floyd at -180 or worse (the majority of you got worse), you do
not have the value IMO that you think you do. in terms of value, my 55%
winning pct puts your -180 or worse as mathematically a poor play.
that said, some of you are still coming off like this is a gift and
quite frankly not only is this not a gift it is not even a value play!!
i hope floyd receives a boxing lesson, and some of you receive a lesson
in not calling your wagers "easy money", "gift", "lock", etc etc
enjoy !!!!
Not trying to criticize your rationale. Just curious as to how you arrived at that 55% mark?
I made Floyd about 80% to win this fight. That's a serious number too. I figure Manny KO's Floyd about once every ten fights and wins a decision in Vegas about once every ten fights.
I thought Floyd was an absolute bargain at -170 to -200. Hell even at -240 I thought he was a good bet. They could literally fight 5 more times and I wouldn't bet Manny at similar odds in any of them. Now if Manny went to 4/1 or 5/1 I would consider him but not at +160 to +180.
For Floyd to lose in Vegas, he has to be knocked out. Manny can't KO him at this point in his career.
I absolutely enjoy the betting process in every Floyd fight because it's almost always the same. Let the general public ($50-$100 bettor) bet the underdog and drive Floyd's price down. Then early on the day of the fight, or even the night before, go bet Floyd for max value. Not sure why people do different at this point with Floyd.
0
Quote Originally Posted by hendrixandsrv:
personally i believe floyd is about a 55% chance to win, so there is
obviously a 45% chance in my mind he loses or it's called a draw. if
you got floyd at -180 or worse (the majority of you got worse), you do
not have the value IMO that you think you do. in terms of value, my 55%
winning pct puts your -180 or worse as mathematically a poor play.
that said, some of you are still coming off like this is a gift and
quite frankly not only is this not a gift it is not even a value play!!
i hope floyd receives a boxing lesson, and some of you receive a lesson
in not calling your wagers "easy money", "gift", "lock", etc etc
enjoy !!!!
Not trying to criticize your rationale. Just curious as to how you arrived at that 55% mark?
I made Floyd about 80% to win this fight. That's a serious number too. I figure Manny KO's Floyd about once every ten fights and wins a decision in Vegas about once every ten fights.
I thought Floyd was an absolute bargain at -170 to -200. Hell even at -240 I thought he was a good bet. They could literally fight 5 more times and I wouldn't bet Manny at similar odds in any of them. Now if Manny went to 4/1 or 5/1 I would consider him but not at +160 to +180.
For Floyd to lose in Vegas, he has to be knocked out. Manny can't KO him at this point in his career.
I absolutely enjoy the betting process in every Floyd fight because it's almost always the same. Let the general public ($50-$100 bettor) bet the underdog and drive Floyd's price down. Then early on the day of the fight, or even the night before, go bet Floyd for max value. Not sure why people do different at this point with Floyd.
I absolutely enjoy the betting process in every Floyd fight because it's almost always the same. Let the general public ($50-$100 bettor) bet the underdog and drive Floyd's price down. Then early on the day of the fight, or even the night before, go bet Floyd for max value. Not sure why people do different at this point with Floyd.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Ktrain:
I absolutely enjoy the betting process in every Floyd fight because it's almost always the same. Let the general public ($50-$100 bettor) bet the underdog and drive Floyd's price down. Then early on the day of the fight, or even the night before, go bet Floyd for max value. Not sure why people do different at this point with Floyd.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.