Busy time of the year. Last night I was too tired to do what I normally do, Im not old but certainly dont feel 30 anymore.
CFL:
Since the lines are late I am going to pass on the CFL until they show up. I have certain thoughts and plan on a nice week as I think some of the teams I have been winning on are in good situations. I feel like my record takes away some of the credibility I have and will look to make that better. Week 6 was ok I navigated it pretty well for profits on a 3-3 ATS week but its still a 3-3 ATS week.
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NCAAFB:
I think Buffalo could possibly be my best bet this week. On the Flip side they are facing the Incredible hulk green men Chanticleers.
Plays:
N.ILL +28 Look this is a play because of the line. Since most of what I have on my database (after week 1) is most successful when conference play begins, I look for week 3 for inflated lines on what I think are soft spots. Michigan is a sort spot running into a difficult line. remember -17 to Western Michigan and played a pretty crappy Washington team. This line is for an elite type of team. Michigan is not.
Purdue +7
NOTD is mot good this season and I have been waiting for their regression. No more waiting the Cliff is here.
Geor Tech +28.5
Clemson was superior but same as NOTD the bandwagon is gone.
Arkansas State+17
I simply am fading a sub par Washington team here. As of right now I don't fear a long winning streak from them unless they become dogs.
Mid Tenn +13
(not locked in yet I want to see the line move, actually want to see it move down as I think the line own here might the books adjusting to an inflated line) on the other hand I would like +14 so either way.
to be continued
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Busy time of the year. Last night I was too tired to do what I normally do, Im not old but certainly dont feel 30 anymore.
CFL:
Since the lines are late I am going to pass on the CFL until they show up. I have certain thoughts and plan on a nice week as I think some of the teams I have been winning on are in good situations. I feel like my record takes away some of the credibility I have and will look to make that better. Week 6 was ok I navigated it pretty well for profits on a 3-3 ATS week but its still a 3-3 ATS week.
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NCAAFB:
I think Buffalo could possibly be my best bet this week. On the Flip side they are facing the Incredible hulk green men Chanticleers.
Plays:
N.ILL +28 Look this is a play because of the line. Since most of what I have on my database (after week 1) is most successful when conference play begins, I look for week 3 for inflated lines on what I think are soft spots. Michigan is a sort spot running into a difficult line. remember -17 to Western Michigan and played a pretty crappy Washington team. This line is for an elite type of team. Michigan is not.
Purdue +7
NOTD is mot good this season and I have been waiting for their regression. No more waiting the Cliff is here.
Geor Tech +28.5
Clemson was superior but same as NOTD the bandwagon is gone.
Arkansas State+17
I simply am fading a sub par Washington team here. As of right now I don't fear a long winning streak from them unless they become dogs.
Mid Tenn +13
(not locked in yet I want to see the line move, actually want to see it move down as I think the line own here might the books adjusting to an inflated line) on the other hand I would like +14 so either way.
The only play and best bet this week is Edmonton. The current line is +6.5 but I am not booking until I get +7.5, or very last minute before kickoff if it never hits 7.5.
I know I know Trevor Harris is out, but there have been many times in this league the back up has come up big. I know nothing about the new QB, but that hasnt stopped me before. Since 2004 I learned this league is dominated by dogs so from my learnings big dogs are valuable to me.
In the past I have seen many experienced QB's look like trash as well. Bet good lines win money. Try and count on players and favorites lose money.
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A few ppl I know love Calgary this week. New QB is in for Hamilton. Hamilton is home and very injured too. I just have a Calgary thing and after last weeks big cover against EDM I am hung up here. Dogs rule so my lean is Calgary and under. pass 4 me.
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Argo's
I love the direction this team is going but this team is probably the biggest public team bet. On the Flip side they are the biggest losers in the CFL.
Sask is Elite and until I start seeing the Argo's step up on the road I am passing.
Argos on the road 5 wins last 30
Toronto is 5-25 Overall, 10-19-1 ATS, and 15-15 Over/Under in these games. 1-2 this season not getting many points against Sask that hasn't scores 10+ points last games. Either Sask craps again or they crush the Argo's. bottom line is dogs rule but the Argo's scare the daylights out of me when a good team should be motived against a crappy road team. Pass.
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BC Montreal. BC another terrible road team has covered 4 of 5 to start the season.
BC is 7 and 20 SU last 27 roadies and that includes this seasons 2-1 covered all 3 roadies this season. Yup going for 4 in a row.
I am not a big fan of the Al's laying home chalk but I am off this game.
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Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Okay this is a CFL Thread so I will start here.
The only play and best bet this week is Edmonton. The current line is +6.5 but I am not booking until I get +7.5, or very last minute before kickoff if it never hits 7.5.
I know I know Trevor Harris is out, but there have been many times in this league the back up has come up big. I know nothing about the new QB, but that hasnt stopped me before. Since 2004 I learned this league is dominated by dogs so from my learnings big dogs are valuable to me.
In the past I have seen many experienced QB's look like trash as well. Bet good lines win money. Try and count on players and favorites lose money.
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A few ppl I know love Calgary this week. New QB is in for Hamilton. Hamilton is home and very injured too. I just have a Calgary thing and after last weeks big cover against EDM I am hung up here. Dogs rule so my lean is Calgary and under. pass 4 me.
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Argo's
I love the direction this team is going but this team is probably the biggest public team bet. On the Flip side they are the biggest losers in the CFL.
Sask is Elite and until I start seeing the Argo's step up on the road I am passing.
Argos on the road 5 wins last 30
Toronto is 5-25 Overall, 10-19-1 ATS, and 15-15 Over/Under in these games. 1-2 this season not getting many points against Sask that hasn't scores 10+ points last games. Either Sask craps again or they crush the Argo's. bottom line is dogs rule but the Argo's scare the daylights out of me when a good team should be motived against a crappy road team. Pass.
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BC Montreal. BC another terrible road team has covered 4 of 5 to start the season.
BC is 7 and 20 SU last 27 roadies and that includes this seasons 2-1 covered all 3 roadies this season. Yup going for 4 in a row.
I am not a big fan of the Al's laying home chalk but I am off this game.
Winnipeg is the best cover team in recent CFL history. Its like 80 games or so (my database is gone i dont have the exact figures. Something like 57-33 ATS) Anyhow within this awesomeness is struggles on the road.
Winnipeg is 8-14 SU as road chalk the last 22 games. 1-5 last 6 SU as road favorites this is a huge ROI team to bet against on the road.
If Winnipeg is at home they are awesome
You selected Winnipeg against anyone during the regular season at home over 30 games with any point-spread.
Winnipeg is 24-6 Overall, 21-8-1 ATS, and 14-16 Over/Under in these games.)
and they also do very well on the road when getting points.
You selected Winnipeg against anyone during the regular season on the road over 30 games as an underdog of 1 to 30 points.
Winnipeg is 15-15 Overall, 21-9 ATS, and 18-12 Over/Under in these games.
The Bombers are coming off back to back wins against Sask in which they were in strong positions (Home awesome ) Road dog awesome) This game is their weakness historically.
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Edmonton is currently the weakest cover team in the CFL but within that dogs rule in the CFL so there is merit to them.
The reason they are so difficult to trust is the 3 games they were favorites this season they are 0-3 and the within those 3 games yet to score 17 points while giving up 30 points in 2 of those losses. Not good. This to me is why Harris being out doesn't make a difference. He blew the game in week 1 against Ottawa and lost that game Ottawa's only win.
Edmonton has decent pass catchers and can play but With Harris is just been a mess. Okay defensively speaking not good if they are giving up a lot of points but A bad Qb or offense causes stress on the D also lack of having a lead on top of this leads to defensive problems as well.
I just have a feeling and a nice line of a minimum of 7 points I hope and I feel confident in Edmonton cashing my ,home dog ticket.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Ok my play:
Winnipeg is the best cover team in recent CFL history. Its like 80 games or so (my database is gone i dont have the exact figures. Something like 57-33 ATS) Anyhow within this awesomeness is struggles on the road.
Winnipeg is 8-14 SU as road chalk the last 22 games. 1-5 last 6 SU as road favorites this is a huge ROI team to bet against on the road.
If Winnipeg is at home they are awesome
You selected Winnipeg against anyone during the regular season at home over 30 games with any point-spread.
Winnipeg is 24-6 Overall, 21-8-1 ATS, and 14-16 Over/Under in these games.)
and they also do very well on the road when getting points.
You selected Winnipeg against anyone during the regular season on the road over 30 games as an underdog of 1 to 30 points.
Winnipeg is 15-15 Overall, 21-9 ATS, and 18-12 Over/Under in these games.
The Bombers are coming off back to back wins against Sask in which they were in strong positions (Home awesome ) Road dog awesome) This game is their weakness historically.
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Edmonton is currently the weakest cover team in the CFL but within that dogs rule in the CFL so there is merit to them.
The reason they are so difficult to trust is the 3 games they were favorites this season they are 0-3 and the within those 3 games yet to score 17 points while giving up 30 points in 2 of those losses. Not good. This to me is why Harris being out doesn't make a difference. He blew the game in week 1 against Ottawa and lost that game Ottawa's only win.
Edmonton has decent pass catchers and can play but With Harris is just been a mess. Okay defensively speaking not good if they are giving up a lot of points but A bad Qb or offense causes stress on the D also lack of having a lead on top of this leads to defensive problems as well.
I just have a feeling and a nice line of a minimum of 7 points I hope and I feel confident in Edmonton cashing my ,home dog ticket.
I am gambling on the prime time home dogs here. I just feel like after the last 4 Primetime games in college Thursday and last weeks friday games no dogs came through.
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Saturday: I have posted some plays already and I am modifying some those games
These are my bests this week:
Buffalo +14 Tough game but I believe Coastal is laying a lot against a good home team here.
Buffalo
You selected Buffalo against anyone during the regular season at home over 20 games with all point-spreads.
Buffalo is 16-4 Overall, 17-3 ATS.
Coastal has been awesome and thats why this line is what it is but to be honest I think Buffalo gives it to them this week.
Buffalo +14 and +430
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Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Thursday NCAAFB:
Louisville +7
I am gambling on the prime time home dogs here. I just feel like after the last 4 Primetime games in college Thursday and last weeks friday games no dogs came through.
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Saturday: I have posted some plays already and I am modifying some those games
These are my bests this week:
Buffalo +14 Tough game but I believe Coastal is laying a lot against a good home team here.
Buffalo
You selected Buffalo against anyone during the regular season at home over 20 games with all point-spreads.
Buffalo is 16-4 Overall, 17-3 ATS.
Coastal has been awesome and thats why this line is what it is but to be honest I think Buffalo gives it to them this week.
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