CFL thoughts,plays and rambles....2013 YTD: 5-3 +1.89 UNITS

The ARGOS are the defending champs and have a some nice weapons on offense with Owens now being a legit big time receiver that can take the ball to the house on any play.

And with Kackert not signing with the JEDS that means they have a great option in the backfield. They also have Mr.Consistency as their pivot in Double R Ricky Ray. As and ESKIES fan I nearly soiled my pantaloons when I hear they were moving him for a QB that couldn't even hold down the damn starting job. But thats a rant for another day.....actually tomorrow when I cap the SASK/EDM game.

But for me the question is what is the ARGOS defense gonna be like. They have had to replace a ton of vets and experience. Ricky Fowly is gone to SASK. Armond Armstead is trying it in the NFL. Bellie is retired AGAIN for the who knows how times. Add to that Kuale whos in MON and Ronald Flemmons who was released. Evan McCollough is in HAMMY now. And then 2 more retiries in Younger and Carroll.

For the TiCats it's pretty simple. They don't have Chris Williams arguably other than Owens the most talented play maker in the league. And that means 1300 yards or 25% of their receiving yards and 17 scores or about 30% of their offense.

HAM still has plenty of options through the air though and with a few of them Canadians like Stala and Giguere that allows imports at other positions. And they also have a quality back of their own in Chevron Walker who averaged 5.6 per carry last year.

On the other side of the ball it's a somewhat similar story to the ARGOS in that there are gonna be a bunch of changes. But that may be a good thing as the TiCats D was very suspect so a new infusion of players may be a good thing.

So overall I think we have two more than capable offense and teams with MASSIVE changes on the defensive side of the ball. And with the offense typically already having an advantage at this time of year due to timing issues for the defense. And it being a game thats already geared towards high scoring. I think the OVER is the best play of the game so I will be on that for my "main" play for this game with a smaller play(s) on HAMMY who still get a FG and may catch the ARGOS a lil less hungry and maybe a bit hungover after winning the 100th Grey Cup last year

CFL:

(1)HAM/TO FH O 28 -110 to win 0.25 units

(2)Double result HAM FH ML to GAME ML +200 risking 0.25 units

(3)Double result HAM/TOR FH draw to HAM GAME ML +2200 risking 0.05 units

(4)HAM//TO O 56.5 -110 to win 1 unit

(5)HAM +3 -110 to win a half unit

(6)HAM/TO O 56.5 -110 to BC/CAL O 52 -110 = +265 risking 0.35 units

Boooyyyyaahhhh 21-8 HAMMY and the 1st Q ain't over yet....my FH over is over though 

CFL:

(1)CAL FH ML -135 to win 0.25 units

(2)BC/CAL FH O 26 -110 to win 0.25 units

(3)Double result CAL FH ML to GAME ML +120 risking 0.25 units

(4)Double result BC/CAL FH tie to CAL GAME ML +2000 risking 0.05 units

(5)CAL (game) -3 -115 to win a half unit

(6)BC/CAL (game) OVER 52 -110 to win 0.25 units

(7)CAL (game) ML -165 to BC./CAL O 52 -110 = +210 risking 0.25 units

Leaning towards fading my ESKIES tomorrow and as crazy as it sounds after 200 points in the first 3 games of the year. I think we may get an under. If I do go that route though I'll likely wait til right before kickoff after the public bloats the line at least 3 more points.

HAPPY CANADA WEEKEND BOYS & GIRLS !!!!!!

So far it's been a very solid start to the season. And I don't want to give a bunch back by forcing plays. I am a geographical "fan" of the ESKIES but I honestly believe EDM is going to have a slow start to the season and likely a poor year overall. CAL,BC,MON,TOR,HAM and SASK (in relative order) all look like they may be potential Grey Cup winners.

But with the ESKS & WINNY virtually out of that picture. I will start the season with a small fade against EDM as well as a play on the under believing EDM's offense will have issues outta the gate. Also their run game and D will likely be their go to gameplan which is hard to win with unless you have nailed that system down,and thats not the case with the ESKS.

Calling a 24-14 win by the RIDERS

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CFL:

(1)Double result SASK FH ML to GAME ML = +120 risking 0.25 units

(2)Double result SASK/EDM FH tie to SASK GAME ML = +2000  risking 0.05 units

(3)SASK (game) ML -140 to win 0.25 units

(4)SASK/EDM (game) UNDER 49 -105 to win 0.25 units

(5)SASK (game) ML -140 to SASK/EDM (game) UNDER 49 -105 = +235 risking 0.25 units