ES-P, this game could really go either way and could be decided by an interception of FG. I have no play on this game but I would maybe sit back and just let the game unfold and hope that BC can cover your line mate
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ES-P, this game could really go either way and could be decided by an interception of FG. I have no play on this game but I would maybe sit back and just let the game unfold and hope that BC can cover your line mate
Aussie I hear ya bro I may be jumping to conclusions but Trevor Harris has missed one throw.. And without those penalties it could be a different game. As a BC backer I feel lucky to be down 3. My fg line for bc was +2.5 so this would be a pure split.
Ott .5 2h for myself 2h , trying to be unbiased here. Jennings looks shook up. If I lose this one so be it lol appreciate it tho man. Sometimes gotta go with what Im seeing.
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Aussie I hear ya bro I may be jumping to conclusions but Trevor Harris has missed one throw.. And without those penalties it could be a different game. As a BC backer I feel lucky to be down 3. My fg line for bc was +2.5 so this would be a pure split.
Ott .5 2h for myself 2h , trying to be unbiased here. Jennings looks shook up. If I lose this one so be it lol appreciate it tho man. Sometimes gotta go with what Im seeing.
Are we pushing our luck by picking the lowly Sasquatches?
"How come we didn't get +28, you ask?"
Could be we are asking Lady Luck to accompany us in this game.....but for about the millioneth time, the CFL is a dog league and this isn't a beauty contest.........ugly dogs get the money in the Crazy Football League.......crazy and ugly is where we're at,.....take yourself back just one week, when the just-as-ugly Alouettes, playing pathetically most of the season, crushed Ottawa last week as 9 point dogs covering by over 30 points.
Keep in mind that Sask had quite a few turnovers last week, which tends to regress to the mean. And, we love the sandwich position the defending champs are in, getting a morale-boosting big-time win over Toronto last week, coming home as huge favorites, with visions of playing the new/old big kids on the block in Calgary at the Stamps home ground next week.
Would one think the Esks will be super motivated to crush the worst team in the league?
Not exactly.
There are many historical trends and angles to support the Roughriders, even some to say they'll win straight-up, and we'll take history over fundamentals almost every time.
We can still get the garage cleaned out or wash the car at halftime if this is a rout.
Good fortune.
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1) BC +3 W
2) Winnipeg +1-
3) Saskatchewan +13-
Are we pushing our luck by picking the lowly Sasquatches?
"How come we didn't get +28, you ask?"
Could be we are asking Lady Luck to accompany us in this game.....but for about the millioneth time, the CFL is a dog league and this isn't a beauty contest.........ugly dogs get the money in the Crazy Football League.......crazy and ugly is where we're at,.....take yourself back just one week, when the just-as-ugly Alouettes, playing pathetically most of the season, crushed Ottawa last week as 9 point dogs covering by over 30 points.
Keep in mind that Sask had quite a few turnovers last week, which tends to regress to the mean. And, we love the sandwich position the defending champs are in, getting a morale-boosting big-time win over Toronto last week, coming home as huge favorites, with visions of playing the new/old big kids on the block in Calgary at the Stamps home ground next week.
Would one think the Esks will be super motivated to crush the worst team in the league?
Not exactly.
There are many historical trends and angles to support the Roughriders, even some to say they'll win straight-up, and we'll take history over fundamentals almost every time.
We can still get the garage cleaned out or wash the car at halftime if this is a rout.
My book was -14 all week but I checked it about 2 hours before game time and it came down to -13.5. I had to jump on it. Right now I wouldn't trust the Riders to score on 11 posters in this forum.
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My book was -14 all week but I checked it about 2 hours before game time and it came down to -13.5. I had to jump on it. Right now I wouldn't trust the Riders to score on 11 posters in this forum.
Riders have them right where they want them at halftime.....they're in the locker room figuring out how to get a couple of safeties, 3 rouges and a field goal for the easy cover.
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Riders have them right where they want them at halftime.....they're in the locker room figuring out how to get a couple of safeties, 3 rouges and a field goal for the easy cover.
Changed my mind and will play the Tiger Cats,....we'll see how far back Zach has come.
Calgary has played better on the road than at home this year, and expect that there'd be a drop-off from their previous play, either this week or next when the play the Eskimos @Home.
Next week will not present nearly as many betting opportunities as this week has. In most football codes teams tend to equalize from the middle of the season onwards as fatigue, injuries and regression take effect, but there is no huge regression spike in the CFL like there is in the NFL after 6 weeks.
In checking my database, the only month that home teams cover >50% is in September, and OVERs since 2008 never have had a positive month.
And, teams with a worse record percentage-wise than their present opponent have covered 56% of the time before week 15, and almost 59% of the time if those teams with the worse records are dogs.
Hitting 59% over time is like getting the keys to the kingdom.....you should be doing very well money-wise if you are hitting 59%....and if you hit that approximate percentage and your bankroll isn't showing you positive results, your money management is terrible, which means you are not betting equal amounts for every game.
If you are a loser in the CFL, eliminate your OVERs and favorites from your plays and just by doing that you will be at least a break-even bettor.
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4) Tiger Cats +4
Changed my mind and will play the Tiger Cats,....we'll see how far back Zach has come.
Calgary has played better on the road than at home this year, and expect that there'd be a drop-off from their previous play, either this week or next when the play the Eskimos @Home.
Next week will not present nearly as many betting opportunities as this week has. In most football codes teams tend to equalize from the middle of the season onwards as fatigue, injuries and regression take effect, but there is no huge regression spike in the CFL like there is in the NFL after 6 weeks.
In checking my database, the only month that home teams cover >50% is in September, and OVERs since 2008 never have had a positive month.
And, teams with a worse record percentage-wise than their present opponent have covered 56% of the time before week 15, and almost 59% of the time if those teams with the worse records are dogs.
Hitting 59% over time is like getting the keys to the kingdom.....you should be doing very well money-wise if you are hitting 59%....and if you hit that approximate percentage and your bankroll isn't showing you positive results, your money management is terrible, which means you are not betting equal amounts for every game.
If you are a loser in the CFL, eliminate your OVERs and favorites from your plays and just by doing that you will be at least a break-even bettor.
One could say we were unlucky not to get the cover Indigo on this Ti Cats game but then again, they were not in the game until 2 very late TD's got them within touching distance. The Stamps kicker was clutch and got them the cover. We have a very short turn around for Week #11 with the Argo's starting Ray against the Lions off an impressive bounce back win.. The Argo's actually have 2 games this week as well.
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One could say we were unlucky not to get the cover Indigo on this Ti Cats game but then again, they were not in the game until 2 very late TD's got them within touching distance. The Stamps kicker was clutch and got them the cover. We have a very short turn around for Week #11 with the Argo's starting Ray against the Lions off an impressive bounce back win.. The Argo's actually have 2 games this week as well.
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