Posted:
#1
Calgary +1 (-110): This is arguably the toughest betting week of the year in the CFL, and I am really hesitant to take anyone in the other games. However, Calgary presents immediate value when you look at Calgary's road record (5-0), past history (Calgary beat Hamilton by 12 this year) and Hamilton's lack of success this year against anyone decent (with the exception of Montreal). Okay, so we know Hamilton matches up well against Montreal because the Als are decimated in the secondary and are often unable to stop teams from passing even when it is evident to everyone that a pass is coming. Calgary is one of the best against the pass this year, and despite losing to BC, only gave up three plays over 13 yards in the air, and a measly 186 yards to Lulay. BC currently has a better passing attack than Hamilton, so this says a lot. The Stamps have been stopping the air attack all year. Hamilton won't beat them on the ground, and as we've seen all year, Calgary rebounds well (especially on the road). Risking 2.2 to win 2.
Jacksonville/Carolina OVER 42.5 (-110): I rarely play totals, but with all the overs hitting in the NFL, how can I not jump on this? I was skeptical of Newton when he picked apart those conscripted drunks Arizona calls a secondary, but when he worked over Green Bay, I was impressed. This kid is only going to get better, but what's great right now is that he likes to air it out without much regard for throwing picks, etc. Meanwhile, with all the injuries on the Carolina defence (Beason being the big one), even the lowly Jags should be able to run the ball all day, generating opportunities for whoever is playing QB to throw some good play action passes. Risking 1.1 to win 1.
Jacksonville/Carolina OVER 42.5 (-110): I rarely play totals, but with all the overs hitting in the NFL, how can I not jump on this? I was skeptical of Newton when he picked apart those conscripted drunks Arizona calls a secondary, but when he worked over Green Bay, I was impressed. This kid is only going to get better, but what's great right now is that he likes to air it out without much regard for throwing picks, etc. Meanwhile, with all the injuries on the Carolina defence (Beason being the big one), even the lowly Jags should be able to run the ball all day, generating opportunities for whoever is playing QB to throw some good play action passes. Risking 1.1 to win 1.
More to come, but waiting on some line movement....
Record: 32-18-1, +23.45 units
Last Week: 8-0-1, +11.5 units
Early Predictions
Montreal 35, Edmonton 33
British Columbia 25, Saskatchewan 20
Toronto 22, Winnipeg 19
Calgary 38, Hamilton 17
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I kind of feel different about this week JB. I love the card.My biggest to date. I'm surprised your not on the MON/EDM OVER !
GOOD LUCK!
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