CFL week 3

6-6 YTD

Lots of OVERs so far this season.

Lines 

Bombers -3'     59'   Eskimos

Tiger Cats -14  59'   Alouettes

Stamps -10'     52'   Lions

Riders -13'      54    Argos

Plays:

1)  Bombers -3'

Teams off a bye that have won less games than their opponent have been 4-0 ats to the spread in divisional games, 6-1 ATS in all CFL games.  Yeah the Eskimos have looked great, but they played at home to two terrible teams.

2)  Stamps -10'

Stampeders always stomp inferior teams something like 38-14, and it is obvious that BC has no offensive line to protect Reilly and their receivers are not that great either.  And did I mention their defense has been shredded the past two games?

3)  Sasquatches/Argos UNDER 54

Both teams have UNDER indicators going for them and the Riders could shut the Argos out.  I don't trust Fajardo to repeat what he did last week.

4)  Alouettes +14

Teams like the Tigers Cats that won and scored >40 points their previous game have been 2-14 ATS as home favorites in weeks 3-8.

Bomber line on the move up from -3' to -5....if it gets to -6 I will take the Eskimos and attempt to middle the game.

Good to see you Dogbite.

The games I play are moving against the wrong way afterwards, so don't wait,  get in early.

Every team in the CFL has an average o/u margin in the plus category...totally opposite of the history of the CFL....so we're going short-term regression mode.

Plays:

5)   Bombers/Eskimos UNDER 58

6)   Alouettes/Tiger Cats UNDER 58

7)   Stamps/Lions UNDER 53

I am also buying out of my side bets and reversing the first three side plays.

1)  Playing Eskimos +5 for two units, for a net exposure of 1 unit on Edmonton with the possibility of middling the game for a unit. 

2)  Playing the Lions for two units at +10' to leave me with a unit of exposure on the Lions at +10'

3)  Playing the Tiger Cats -13 for two units  to leave me with an exposure of one unit on the TCs.

4)  Playing the Riders -11' for one total unit

5)  Eskimos UNDER 58 for 1 total unit

6)  Tiger Cats UNDER 58 for 1 total unit

7)  Stamps UNDER 53 for one total unit

8)  Argos UNDER 54 for one total unit

Who still has the Edm-Win line that high? I would play that to.

I stronly feel that you are going to have a big week 

Good grief, Jason Freakin' Maas!

On first down on the 25 you kick???!!!!   What an idiot!

tough to watch 

1)  Edmonton +5 loss

2)  Edmonton UNDER 56 win

These coaches never know what they're doing in the last 3 minutes....they should have a script ready to refer to, instead of relying on their own boneheadedness.

Nice night

Nice night

Gracias......WW

My

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issue.

Have a computer where the n key and the space bar doesn't work, so now have another keyboard and things are back to semi-normal.

1)  Eskimos +5 Loss

2)  Eskimos UNDER win

3)  Tiger Cats -12' win

4)  Tiger Cats UNDER win

Tiger Cats left about 21 points on the table.  Their defense looked good, but of course it was Vernon Adams they were facing.  Montreal's defense actually didn't look too bad, and I still think they'll cover games this year as a big dog on the road.  Home dogs in the CFL don't seem to have the proclivity of covering like away dogs, especially home divisional dogs, so they'll be on my ignore list next week unless they were to be getting more than 10 points, and then I'd consider them.  With the 6 point swing for road to home advantage, we're look at Montreal next week getting 7 and then the oddsmaker will add on a couple of points after the drubbing the Cats gave them today, so, I would make the Alouettes +9 versus the Tiger Cats at home next week.

Tomorrow we'll see the Lions, who so far have looked like box cats at best....obviously the coach will make sure his team is prepared for his old team, the Stampeders.  I expect this to be a very hard fought low scoring game.....Riley will make quick drops to negate the terrible offensive (pun intended) line he has working in front of him and will tone down his usual aggressiveness to not lose the turnover game.

Bo Levi is no longer elite and it'll be interesting to see him play against someone who watched him on the sidelines for a few years.

I have the Bombers ranked first in my rankings, followed by the Redblacks and then the Tiger Cats...the Bombers quarterback is a concern and probably their biggest weakness.....starting 3-0, Streveler will not see the field this year unless there'd be an injury and of course as the 3rd down guy....a pity really.

Week 4 Indigo lines.

It is pretty interesting to put out lines a week in advance BEFORE teams play the week prior.....HUGE differences in what the linesmaker puts out and what I put out....just goes to show you that the bookmakers are not immune to putting a huge emphasis on last games.

Montreal          +9   Hamilton             53

Ottawa             -1  Winnipeg              56

Toronto           +2   British Columbia   51   

Saskatchewan -3    Calgary                48

 The defending Grey Cup winning QB and league voted number 1 player is no longer an elite QB? Um... ok. 

Lions go up 14-0 after one....terrible call on a pass interference call when the pass was 10 feet over the receiver's head gift wrapped 7 points for the Lions.

Calgary will have to air it out the rest of the game....UNDER looks in jeopardy.

25-15 with about 12 minutes left....UNDER now in play after looking like a lost cause.  Half of the game is left now and things can change in a hurry.

In the blink of an eye, Calgary scores and converts 2 point conversion....25-21.....BC dominating the game, but Stamps in a position to win.

32-21 at the 3 minute warning, ...Mitchell has a shoulder issue in his throwing shoulder.

BC scores, OVER covers.

1)  Edmonton +5 loss

2)  Edmonton UNDER win

3)  Hamilton -12' win

4)  Hamilton UNDER win

5) Calgary UNDER loss

BC blowing the game and could conceivably blow the cover......you never, ever know.