CFL week 3, lines, picks

My lines, NOT what I think the linemaker will make them....

Saskatchewan  -14   Montreal   47

Edmonton         -7   BC            51

Hamilton           -3   Winnipeg   53

Calgary             -6   Ottawa      50

Montreal looks unbackable at any price.   Rickey Ray right now is a crumbled heap on the turf and in all likelihood his career is over. 

Hamilton and Winnipeg are shaping up as the game of the week along with Ottawa/Calgary.

Favorites with an equal number of wins as their present opponent have been 20-36 ATS in weeks 2/3 of the season.....would favor BC and the Bombers if they are underdogs.

Teams with an average lower line season to date than their present opponent in week 3 have been 26-13 ATS and 15-25 UNDER.

week=3 and tA(line)<oA(line) 

favors Stamps, Bombers, Lions and Riders

Teams that are dogs in the above situation have been 14-4 ATS       Lions and possibly the Bombers if they're dogs

Hope sask isn't -14 they were blown out last week, hoping for -7

I bet my house if the Riders are only -7 Freak....even a bad bookmaker wouldn't make it 7 I don't reckon.

Im still waiting for you you do your pushups from our last bet

Season to date:   6-4 ATS.

The board is all over it....lines are out.  Antonio's (Vegas) lines, mine is parentheses.   

Stamps     -7' (-6)    Redblacks     56' (50)

Tiger Cats -4' (-3)    Bombers       55 (53)

Eskimos    -6' (-7)    Lions           54 (51)

Riders     -10' (-14)  Alouettes    46 (47)

King of Covers contest has early public opinion on the Als, which is truly amazing to me. Looks like the public hated how the Riders looked last week more than how the Alouettes looked.

The biggest difference between mine and the bookies' lines are in the first three totals, (besides the obvious Als' line).

Plays:

1)  Stamps/Redblacks UNDER 57

2)  Redblacks +8

Leaning hard on the Tiger Cats as I have a crush on them, but will wait to see if the betting public brings this line lower...also leaning Lions.

The Als????   Will watch and not bet the Montreal game, as I'll watch Drew Willy throw 3 yard check down passes despite being down by over 14 points the whole game.  The CFL has a new Checkdown Charlie, Mister Willy.  Maybe his running mate Mister Sutton will run through 8 guys on two or three separate occasions after receiving a 2 yard touch pass from his quarterback to get Montreal a cover, but I am not holding my breath.

And, do I put money on the Lions and Jennings?.....

Home favorites in weeks 2-5 with equal or more wins than their present opponent have been 3-19 ATS, which is a pretty strong indicator, this angle lessons if our home favorite had less wins last year than their opponent did, which is applicable in the Hamiton/Winnipeg game.

The indicator is strong to go versus the Eskimos and to take the Lions, I just don't know if I want to put money on Super J, as his knucklehead reputation proceeds him.  Can a leopard change his spots?....maybe.

Play:

3)  Roughriders -10'

Teams that score less than 20 points on the road have been 7-45 ATS as road underdogs, and that is the basis of this play....I don't believe that the Als can score 20 points.

And, if Zach isn't playing, it might be better for Green Nation, let's see what Bridge can do when he starts.

Might have been a one day anomaly....as when running my query 

points<20 and AD

the sample size today is much bigger than it was yesterday

When one adds 

and season 

the database goes back to 2010

Yesterday my query for the above gave results of 7-45 ATS, whereas today it is 24-97 ATS (-10.85) and 25-94-2 UNDER (-10.31)

The query doesn't change my opinion of playing against the Alouettes,  but the data results are  slightly different than what I got yesterday.

Took the odds down on sask game cause of collarus maybe get that -7 indigo. I have faith in Bridge his chance to becomer a number 1 quarterback

Ok Indigo if I want to know how ott does at +7.5 vs cal at -7.5 in wk 3 for all years how do I type that in? and do I type it on the top line after I click cfl? And

And this is  for freaky 48,49 and 50.

Hoody, phrase a sentence so I can understand what you want.  I am assuming you want me to inform you how to enter in the line on sportsdatabase.com, is that correct?

1)  Go to sportsdatabase

2)  Click on "CFL"

3)  In the white box enter "line and A"

if you want to know what week the game is played, add...

"and week"

Hey hoody you mean this?

https://sportsdatabase.com/cfl/query?output=default&sdql=t%3Ateam+%3D+Redblacks+and+line+>+-2+and+date+>20150720&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Play:

4)  BC +6'

I haven't liked Jennings, as most people would have gathered by now.  The situation is strong favoring the Lions and if  he is bad in the first half I'll turn the set off, and be pissed off with myself.

I've got a 20-5 angle that favors the Lions, based on them being a worse team than the Eskimos last year, which narrows down to 7-1 ATS and 5-3 straight up if it is a divisional game. 

Maybe the light bulb has come on for him and if so, it is about freakin' time.

I also like Hamilton, but the technical angles favor Winnipeg, so it is doubtful whether I'll play this game.

As always best of fortune, some or all of my plays will be different than yours, so we'll see how the football bounces.

Spottie I got error 104 when I put that in , what I want to know is how Ott does vs Cal in wk 3 when Ott is a rd dog of 7 or more or How Ott does in wk 3 vs any team as a rd dog of 7 or more. thanks

ok i will post in your thread

1)  UNDER 57 Win

2)  Redblacks +7' Loss

3)  Lions +6'

4)  Hedged out of my Sask -10' bet, so no-play

1-2 for the week, 7-6 ATS for the season, home favorites continue to  cover.....6-1 ATS for the season.

Jennings is who I was afraid he might be.

Couple of early lines for next week.

Toronto +1   Edmonton 55

Winnipeg -5  BC  56