It seems like forever since both of these teams last saw action. Toronto was essentially given an extra bye week as their last game was 12 days ago. Montreal hasn't played in 10 days as they suffered a 31-7 defeat at home against Hamilton on July 15th. Needless to say, both of these teams should be well rested coming into this important east division matchup.
I am really stuck about what to think of this Argonauts team. Both of their wins have been on the road, while they have lost both of their home games as they search for their first win at BMO Field. They were simply outplayed in their two losses at home to Hamilton in week one, and to Ottawa in week four. In their two wins, they benefitted greatly from turnovers. They were actually outplayed in Saskatchewan, but won the game because of key turnovers at key times on key parts of the field. They also won the turnover battle in their week three win at BC. The Lions turned the ball over 4 times while the Argos were clean in that department. All in all, it is very difficult to trust the Argos right now, especially at home where they have struggled the last couple of seasons. Laying almost a TD with this team right now is not something I would endorse. Also, knowing they have a rematch with the first place Redblacks in less than a week further cements this for myself.
I believe a lot of this line has been influenced by Montreal's poor showing last week against Hamilton. This team was in shambles for that game. They were coming off a bye week, but their offense was without a lot of key starters. Well, they get their starting QB back this week, and I expect them to be better prepared for this game.
A closer look at that game last week against Hamilton reveals that the game was actually a lot closer than it's 31-7 final score would indicate. Montreal had just as many first downs as Hamilton did. The Als were only outgained by 21 total yards. Montreal had almost seven more minutes of possession time than Hamilton did. Hamilton returned a punt for a TD, and Montreal gave them a safety at the end of the 2nd half. I have never been a fan of just giving a team points, but that is a discussion for another day. Montreal's defense really played well, limiting the Ticats to 267 yards of total offense. The Ticats kicked five FGs in that game, including one from 56 yards out to end the 1st half. All this being said, if the Als can protect the football better and create a turnover or two, I think they can win this game. Having Kevin Glenn back this week should help with that.
I am buying low on the Alouettes this week, as I think this will be a 3 or 4 point game either way. The line is currently at 5.5, but I have them at 6 from my earlier post last week in this thread. Good luck tonight!
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Montreal at Toronto
It seems like forever since both of these teams last saw action. Toronto was essentially given an extra bye week as their last game was 12 days ago. Montreal hasn't played in 10 days as they suffered a 31-7 defeat at home against Hamilton on July 15th. Needless to say, both of these teams should be well rested coming into this important east division matchup.
I am really stuck about what to think of this Argonauts team. Both of their wins have been on the road, while they have lost both of their home games as they search for their first win at BMO Field. They were simply outplayed in their two losses at home to Hamilton in week one, and to Ottawa in week four. In their two wins, they benefitted greatly from turnovers. They were actually outplayed in Saskatchewan, but won the game because of key turnovers at key times on key parts of the field. They also won the turnover battle in their week three win at BC. The Lions turned the ball over 4 times while the Argos were clean in that department. All in all, it is very difficult to trust the Argos right now, especially at home where they have struggled the last couple of seasons. Laying almost a TD with this team right now is not something I would endorse. Also, knowing they have a rematch with the first place Redblacks in less than a week further cements this for myself.
I believe a lot of this line has been influenced by Montreal's poor showing last week against Hamilton. This team was in shambles for that game. They were coming off a bye week, but their offense was without a lot of key starters. Well, they get their starting QB back this week, and I expect them to be better prepared for this game.
A closer look at that game last week against Hamilton reveals that the game was actually a lot closer than it's 31-7 final score would indicate. Montreal had just as many first downs as Hamilton did. The Als were only outgained by 21 total yards. Montreal had almost seven more minutes of possession time than Hamilton did. Hamilton returned a punt for a TD, and Montreal gave them a safety at the end of the 2nd half. I have never been a fan of just giving a team points, but that is a discussion for another day. Montreal's defense really played well, limiting the Ticats to 267 yards of total offense. The Ticats kicked five FGs in that game, including one from 56 yards out to end the 1st half. All this being said, if the Als can protect the football better and create a turnover or two, I think they can win this game. Having Kevin Glenn back this week should help with that.
I am buying low on the Alouettes this week, as I think this will be a 3 or 4 point game either way. The line is currently at 5.5, but I have them at 6 from my earlier post last week in this thread. Good luck tonight!
The Argo's were given a gift line un week 2 against Sask. Even if it was Durrant at QB there is no way the Argo's should have been getting 3.5 in that game. It seems like when the Argo's lay points the books place a big number on them to win and cover only to have them fail and lose followed that with a road did win and cover. That's how it works. The books mess with you.
I have a small place bet on the Al's +7-115. It's a solid # but I still think this game is a coin flip. If the Al's tank this one it should be a good spot for them next week against Sask. We'll see.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
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The Argo's were given a gift line un week 2 against Sask. Even if it was Durrant at QB there is no way the Argo's should have been getting 3.5 in that game. It seems like when the Argo's lay points the books place a big number on them to win and cover only to have them fail and lose followed that with a road did win and cover. That's how it works. The books mess with you.
I have a small place bet on the Al's +7-115. It's a solid # but I still think this game is a coin flip. If the Al's tank this one it should be a good spot for them next week against Sask. We'll see.
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