Posted:
#1
Season to date 27-7 +19.3 units
Things going my way....we'll see what the future holds.
Most sports markets are fluid and what transpired last week or last month changes over time. I'm going from "stay away" to buyer on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, as I think Matt Nichols has the "it factor"....and the CFL is a quarterback league. Their defense is good enough and I believe they'll still be undervalued for another week or so. What he did with a depleted receiver core, one of whom didn't even have a job in the CFL a week before, that was a pretty impressive performance, as good as any I've seen this season.
Didn't see much of the Lions/Als game but as I said in another thread, the Als did what losing teams do, which is to find a way to lose on a fumble return for a touchdown. Turnovers just seem to follow bad teams around.
Edmonton probably has hit rock bottom as they've hit the defending champs doldrums. Their defense was impressive in their loss to Ottawa and they might start winning. If the linesmaker were to keep making them big favorites, I probably won't be too interested....as a dog with that offense?
I'm buying.
The lines I am putting up are based on what I think the performance differences are between the teams, NOT what I think would attract equal action as a bookmaker needs to consider. Line disparities between what I have up and the bookmaker's line would only have credence if my lines have been proven to be superior to the bookmaker's which hasn't happened yet.
I use other ways of handicapping then comparing my line with a bookmaker line.
Prospective lines week 8
Home line Away total
Edmonton -7 Montreal 52
Toronto -4- Winnipeg 49
BC -6 Hamilton 48
Sask +7 Calgary 55
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