Week 2, playoffs

CFL

1)  Hamilton +2

Teams that fall short after a dominant season the prior year often will struggle in the regular season before doing everything right in the postseason.

Hamilton fits the bill after going 15-3 in the regular season in the previous CFL season two years ago.  Hamilton's offense has showed me next to nothing, but I don't trust Bethel-Thompson to play a clean game and turnovers will win or lose the game for you.

Hamilton 24-20.

2)  Bombers -8'

Losing two games in a row to end the regular season was the best thing that could have happened to Winnipeg.  They will stop Fajardo from running and that is all of the Riders' offense  right now.  

Bombers will wipe them out.......Bombers 37-21.

I agree buddy

Both Favorites last week and now Hamilton is the favorite this week.  I will pass this week and assume the favorites cover again.  Grey cup then probably is the upset I am looking for. 

I agree....if the Bombers win, especially if it is in dominant fashion I will be fading them in the GC.

Well, we'll see if I can get some picks right this week in the NFL.  I have hit 60% in the last month on 65 picks in college totals which has saved a lot of my bankroll...the NFL last two weeks has been a lot less than mediocre.

I have figured out the reason I've lost is because I have not been using team's  complete name on my picks....yeah, that's the ticket.

Plays:

1)  New England Belichicks  +2'

2)  Minnesota Vikings -7

3)  Philadelphia Eagles -7, with or without Hurts, Minshew is as good or better as Hurts is.

4)  Indianapolis Colts -7'

5)  Los Angeles Chargers +3

At a risk of hexing myself, here are my college totals picks....

1)  USC OVER 57'

2)  Alabama UNDER 50'

3)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55

4)  App State OVER 52'

5)  Utah State OVER 50'

6)  Oregon UNDER 60

I took the Vikings in my Survivor pool on Nitro.  They are favored (-4) against the Steelers next week.  In order to keep that line they have to be able to at least win.  Philly is my other choice but since that division was so bad last year, and I know they are doing better this season, I just struggle taking them when I really need them.  All in on Philly on the road  is scary. 

College teams hitting my list this week:

UTSA

Baylor

Utah St.

Georgia

Iowa

I may play Cal in the late game but I can decide that before game time. 

Use your crystal ball to combat any hexes or negative voodoo.

Ja, I found a crack in that crystal ball.

Here is an interesting angle for the college championship games......

A game number 13 conference dog that lost two games ago has been 27-6 ATS....that fits Utah State, Oregon, Wake Forest

pp:L and conference=o:conference and game number=13

Should read......

pp:L and conference=o:conference and game number=13 and D

Another one.....a conference dog in game number 13 that  had the lesser wins the previous season....

Home dogs......8-1 ATS

Away dogs.....17-8-1 ATS.....Utah State, Houston

Neutral dogs....21-22 ATS

A game number 13 conference dog that averages scoring less points per game and  averages more points allowed per game.....12-5 ATS............Houston

A game number 13 neutral site conference dog that has an average scoring margin of less than 10 points per game................16-9 ATS......Oregon, Northern Illinois, Iowa

A game number 13 neutral site conference dog that has an average per game scoring margin of greater than 10 points/game......16-24 ATS.........VERSUS Baylor, Houston, Alabama, Wake Forest

A game number 13 neutral site conference favorite with a scoring margin of less than +10 per game..........................3-7 ATS.................VERSUS Kent State

A game number 13 home dog whose last opponent's last six games' average scoring margin is greater than their own last six games' average scoring margin and the difference between the two is greater than the Vegas line......11-4 ATS Louisiana, UTSA

Louisiana scoring margin last six games +13.75

App State scoring margin last six games +24.75

UTSA scoring margin last six games +15.75

WKU scoring margin last six games +28.5

Adding:

7)  UTSA +125

8)  Northern Illinois +135

9)  Utah State +6

10) UL Lafayette +120

____________________________

1)  USC OVER 57'

2)  Alabama UNDER 50'

3)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55

4)  App State OVER 52'

5)  Utah State OVER 50'

6)  Oregon UNDER 60

Changed Nothern Illinois bet from moneyline to +3.5

1)  UTSA +125

2)  Northern Illinois +135 deleted,.......... to Northern Illinois +3.5

3)  Utah State +6

4) UL Lafayette +120

5)  USC OVER 57'

6)  Alabama UNDER 50'

7)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55

8)  App State OVER 52'

9)  Utah State OVER 50'

10)  Oregon UNDER 60

"All in on Philly on the road  is scary."

My man Minshew  saves the day.....dominates game and is named starter the rest of the season......Eagles go on 6 game win streak and topple the Bills in the Super Bowl.....Philly mayor along with Rocky Balboa give him the key to the city with the theme of Rocky blaring in the background....you heard it here first.......LOL.....

or otherwise he holds a clipboard while Jalen Hurts throws four picks.

oh boy 

UTSA +9.5 with Georgia pik in a teaser.  I could only understand a low line of Bama +3 or something close to 3 if an upset was in play but why -6 or more if the books think a Bama win is possible. 

Yes, you are thinking about what the books are trying to make the general public do, which is.....they're trying to attract Bama money.

Here is an interesting angle, that the books seem to be all over......in neutral site games the better net passing yards per attempt team (offense versus defense) when the line is competitive, between -7 and +7, have been 19-10 ATS, which fits the Utah Utes, Oklahoma State Cowboys, Kent State Golden Flashes, Georgia Bulldogs and Wake Forest Demon Deacons

1)  UTSA +125................winner

2)  Northern Illinois +3.5

3)  Utah State +6

4) UL Lafayette +120

5)  USC OVER 57'

6)  Alabama UNDER 50'

7)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55

8)  App State OVER 52'

9)  Utah State OVER 50'

10)  Oregon UNDER 60.......winner

______________________________

Adding:

11)  Wake Forest +3'

I am making the Bombers a double play, my only one this year in the CFL.

1)  Winnipeg Blue Bombers -8, -115, 2X

2)  Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2

1)  UTSA +125................winner

2)  Northern Illinois +3.5

3)  Utah State +6

4) UL Lafayette +120

5)  USC OVER 57'

6)  Alabama UNDER 50'

7)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55

8)  App State OVER 52'

9)  Utah State OVER 50'

10)  Oregon UNDER 60.......winner

______________________________

Adding:

11)  Wake Forest +3'

12)  Baylor OVER 45

Have a great day, love this time of year

Thanks, and to you as well.

1)  UTSA +125................winner

2)  Northern Illinois +3.5...winner

3)  Utah State +6........winner

4) UL Lafayette +120.....winner

5)  USC OVER 57'

6)  Alabama UNDER 50'.....loser

7)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55.....tie

8)  App State OVER 52'......loser

9)  Utah State OVER 50'....winner

10)  Oregon UNDER 60.......winner

11)  Wake Forest +3'

12)  Baylor OVER 45......loser

1)  UTSA +125................winner

2)  Northern Illinois +3.5...winner

3)  Utah State +6........winner

4) UL Lafayette +120.....winner

5)  USC OVER 57'........loser

6)  Alabama UNDER 50'.....loser

7)  Hou/Cinci UNDER 55.....tie

8)  App State OVER 52'......loser

9)  Utah State OVER 50'....winner

10)  Oregon UNDER 60.......winner

11)  Wake Forest +3'.........loser

12)  Baylor OVER 45......loser

6-5-1 ATS

NFL/CFL

1)  Winnipeg -8, -115, double play

2)  Colts -7', double play

3)  Eagles -7, doulble play

4)  Vikings -7

5). Chargers +3

6)  Patriots +3

Indigo power ratings for the final four in college football.

Alabama 100

Georgia 97

Cinci     90

Michigan 88

CFL power ratings

Bombers 100

Tiger Cats 90

Argonauts 87

Roughriders 87

FYI.

In the college football championship game (NOT the semifinal games), the team with the greater average scoring margin has been 0-7 ATS. 

Average scoring margins

Georgia 39.4-13.8 ...........25.6

Alabama 42.07-18.7.........23.4

Cincinnati 39.2-16.2.........23

Michigan 37.7-16.1..........21.6

1)  Winnipeg -8, -115, double play........ Bombers drop a touchdown pass and fumble on the Riders' one yard line....good way to lose a game.

2)  Colts -7', double play.........winner, winner

3)  Eagles -7, doulble play.......winner, winner

4)  Vikings -7........................loser, Kirk Cousins needs to go

5). Chargers +3....................winner

6)  Patriots +3

Adding....

7)  Steelers +4