Week 3

lines are out:

These Lines are @ 5Dimes so some of the early lines are juiced.

Peg +10 -125 make a bit of sense. key number. I am sure the book is  trying to get a feel of where the action will be.

Riders +11.5 -120 this one why juice it on no key number

Anyways I have already stated that my play of the week will be the Riders, and I think for very good reasons.

Last week no value on this team laying points. They proved that.  3 win team season debut playing the embarrassed Argo's in their week 1 blunder.

The Riders are in a much better spot this week.  Even if they are playing the defending champs the separation from the CFL does not warrant a 15 point line switch on the Riders.

Riders are 6-21-1 ATS last 28.  The difference is this year they have made personnel  improvements on the field and at head coach and they have an actual quality starting QB. 

I can understand If they were a home dog last week to go on the road and catch 11, but this line and the improvements that have taken place.

On the flip side take a look at the Esks defensive dominance last year.  They only gave up 49 once and 31 in a 45-31 playoff win other than those two games they only gave up 26 points as a high mark. 10 of their game they limited their opponent to less than 20 points.

I know that was last year but my point is right out of the gate last week they gave up 45.  Durant should have enough success here to keep this reasonable with in 10.

I guess we will see what the old coaching staff for the Riders have in store for their ex team.

Riders + the points when my book posts the #

another interesting game is the

Stamps
@ Redblacks  pick-em

Holy craap what do the Redblacks have to do to gain the books respect?

They have covered 7 in a row now and 14-4 last 18.  They covered both playoff games last year and they were runners-up in the grey cup game.

The puzzling thing for me here is why all the value.  After all I just said they have YET TO LAY A POINT THIS YEAR.  That Includes this week pick em.

There is no value playing against this team until they start laying some bigger point spreads on them, which if they keep rolling will come shortly.

Argo's
@BC  -4.5

The Argo's coming off of a gift line last week, the extreme value I sensed last week has vanished.   BC is playing a very sound defensive well coached game. 

Even with a young QB learning his way, and making some toss up jump balls.  They have over come the mistakes.

BC First time laying points this year.

With what looks to be an outstanding D the only way I could play this is BC -4.5 I just like the other plays more.

PEG
@TI-Cats -9 or 10

Looks to me like this TI-Cat squad will be inconsistent.  Masoli is certainly going to be up and down it seems.  The other question so far is the lack of running!!!  8 rushes for 49 yards (one of those being a 3rd down plunge for a 1st down) 7 rushes in week 2

and 1 net rushing yard in week 1.  Week one should have seen more attempts having the lead I would think but it seems like the coach knows his personnel.  

I need to pay close attention because the lack of output and results here tells me if they have to pass a lot of opportunities are available when laying points (and this week big points) for a back door cover.

Interesting.

If the line goes to 10 it will be the second week in a row that peg would be double digit dogs.  If they fail to cover as DD dogs in back to back weeks that would certainly be a signal of value to me as a home dog to the Esks in week 4

I find it really difficult to cap this game. Peg was out of it last week until a late 4th Q push in junk time.  the game was really over.

The stamps did rush the ball really well but according to the #'s I already spoke of then this shouldn't be against them this week.

lot of things need to be sorted out and I will just wait and watch and hope that this is a TI-cat blow out setting up a juicy home dog opportunity.

Play of the week

Riders +

also playing Ottawa pick em

lean Peg +9 or 10

and no play as of yet  BC / Argo's.

The Greek has Ham at 9 and 10.5 with edm

Good luck this week spottie!

yes 9 is the consensus live number hoody.  thank you.  the first number i saw was 5dimes and it sucks they juice the openers.

thx drivetime you too.  keep up the great work.  it will pay off.


good luck everyone

ARGO'S/ BC.

BC has been horrible lately as a favorite.  1-7-1 ats.

Nice work Spottie.. This season as just been dogs, dogs and more dogs. Insane really but hey, its the CFL where insanity happens. 

Just some SDQL for you mate

Yea the more I think of it Aussie I can't play BC.  Laying points with a young QB that is immature and occasionally just tosses it up for grabs isn't what I am looking for.  The Argo's are no prize team but I just dislike this game.  I would like the under, but with BC's defense and the Argo's offensive line issues the could be too many points off turn overs.  BC has some difficulty with blocked punts too.  Can't predict this stuff just see it remember it and stay away when laying points. 

So far the only thing I have is the Riders +10.5

Yeah Im not touching this first game Spottie. I did like the Bombers but they cannot be trusted at all until they prove they are a decent football team. 

I agree Aussie I watch to watch and learn then I should have a better idea whats going on.

Dogs are at it again this week

Bombers

hey FAB.  Yea them dogs are on attack again

Stamps gotta tough one this week fab

wow!!!!!!!!!

I luv my dogs

I didnt like the line move but it was a nice play!

Esks D s u c ks

that a boy