Couple of situation I like this week. I am going to ignore on the field play as I talk about the lines.
Winnipeg is absolutely horrible at home. The Blue Bombers are 5-23 ATS when they are at home when their line is between -3.5 and +5.5. Last week against Calgary same thing loser.
I am not saying this is a great opportunity to fade them.
I will be watching this line and will have a small bet on the fortunate Argo's but it is nothing I will be recommending.
My final decision on this game will be a line move. At this point I see no reason to take a large position for either side.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Couple of situation I like this week. I am going to ignore on the field play as I talk about the lines.
Winnipeg is absolutely horrible at home. The Blue Bombers are 5-23 ATS when they are at home when their line is between -3.5 and +5.5. Last week against Calgary same thing loser.
I am not saying this is a great opportunity to fade them.
I will be watching this line and will have a small bet on the fortunate Argo's but it is nothing I will be recommending.
My final decision on this game will be a line move. At this point I see no reason to take a large position for either side.
Calgary is awesome again? Looks like it after last week.
It is the CFL and after a outstanding year covering I am leary of the Stampeders keeping up with the pace they set last year.
I understand Montreals issues at QB but He has shown in the past the ability to be better than he has been so far. They picked up Durant to be a better option then their QB's of the last few years.
I lean Montreal because of what they do well. Home dog since the great Calvillo has retired (2013). Getting 5 or more they are 4-1 ATS. This is even with Crap at QB.
Reason for this in my opinion. They play slow and kill clock. The run very well with Sutton. Lastly they play D. The last 3 years the closing lines were at least 7 so I believe this line should climb. Speaking of the last 3 match ups in this series the Alouettes have covered all 3. Minimum line in those games was +7 so that is interesting. Oh by the way Montreal has WON all those games without the points. With in my opinion lesser QB's.
All 3 of those games the total has gone under so in order to do this again they are going to have to hold the Stamps again.
Bottom line do the Al's upset again? I don't know. I am not betting the Moneyline early in the week.
Home dogs of +5.5 or higher are 37-27 ATS. Calgary as road Favites of -5.5 points are 7-7 ATS
I lean Al's +5.5 but again its nothing to get excited about. The more points the better.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Calgary @
Montreal
Calgary is awesome again? Looks like it after last week.
It is the CFL and after a outstanding year covering I am leary of the Stampeders keeping up with the pace they set last year.
I understand Montreals issues at QB but He has shown in the past the ability to be better than he has been so far. They picked up Durant to be a better option then their QB's of the last few years.
I lean Montreal because of what they do well. Home dog since the great Calvillo has retired (2013). Getting 5 or more they are 4-1 ATS. This is even with Crap at QB.
Reason for this in my opinion. They play slow and kill clock. The run very well with Sutton. Lastly they play D. The last 3 years the closing lines were at least 7 so I believe this line should climb. Speaking of the last 3 match ups in this series the Alouettes have covered all 3. Minimum line in those games was +7 so that is interesting. Oh by the way Montreal has WON all those games without the points. With in my opinion lesser QB's.
All 3 of those games the total has gone under so in order to do this again they are going to have to hold the Stamps again.
Bottom line do the Al's upset again? I don't know. I am not betting the Moneyline early in the week.
Home dogs of +5.5 or higher are 37-27 ATS. Calgary as road Favites of -5.5 points are 7-7 ATS
I lean Al's +5.5 but again its nothing to get excited about. The more points the better.
When I do trends for the Ottawa team I skip their 2014 first year back in the league.
If I do that this team is darn good as a dog and can score points.
Ottawa is 17-6 ATS as a dog and 2-1 ATS @ Edmonton again throwing out 2014.
Edmonton's D might be improved but Ottawa should show us how much they have improved. They score wildly against Calgary and they very well could and should score here.
Edmonton is 1-8 ATS last 9 when laying -4 or more.
Ottawa after a poor week and no wins yet, should cash a ticket this week.
Strong lean Ottawa +6
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
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Friday night game 2
Ottawa @
Skmoes -6
When I do trends for the Ottawa team I skip their 2014 first year back in the league.
If I do that this team is darn good as a dog and can score points.
Ottawa is 17-6 ATS as a dog and 2-1 ATS @ Edmonton again throwing out 2014.
Edmonton's D might be improved but Ottawa should show us how much they have improved. They score wildly against Calgary and they very well could and should score here.
Edmonton is 1-8 ATS last 9 when laying -4 or more.
Ottawa after a poor week and no wins yet, should cash a ticket this week.
Why? Because they have dropped 2 in a row on the road laying points? Maybe that is asking too much of them. This is a dog league and I think the Ti Cats are in a nice spot this week.
Home cooking should do them some good. This is BC's 3 road game in a row. I said it last week and I will mention it again BC had a great cover year, but their lines were very soft. That does not mean they don't deserve great respect, but the books are showing more respect in their lines.
The the over is 2-18 when the Lions are Road chalk of -4.5 or less.
I lean hard to get Hamilton a cover
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Saturday
BC @
Hamilton
Has everyone jumped ship on the Ti Cat's?
Why? Because they have dropped 2 in a row on the road laying points? Maybe that is asking too much of them. This is a dog league and I think the Ti Cats are in a nice spot this week.
Home cooking should do them some good. This is BC's 3 road game in a row. I said it last week and I will mention it again BC had a great cover year, but their lines were very soft. That does not mean they don't deserve great respect, but the books are showing more respect in their lines.
The the over is 2-18 when the Lions are Road chalk of -4.5 or less.
Thanks spottie you convinced me on picking toronto.\But as for Hamilton covering you should consider the teams this year not the trend. Hamilton has no running game. 20 yards last game. They only have two good receivers, and Luke Taster never caught one pass last game.Just my opinion
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Thanks spottie you convinced me on picking toronto.\But as for Hamilton covering you should consider the teams this year not the trend. Hamilton has no running game. 20 yards last game. They only have two good receivers, and Luke Taster never caught one pass last game.Just my opinion
Thanks spottie you convinced me on picking toronto.\But as for Hamilton covering you should consider the teams this year not the trend. Hamilton has no running game. 20 yards last game. They only have two good receivers, and Luke Taster never caught one pass last game.Just my opinion
I gotta get my head sorted out on these, but If I had to chose right now I would play Argo's.
as for Hamilton you should not assume that they are going to continue these kind of poor play all year in every game. They are switching to home field and also a dog so both of those makes it easier to cash tickets. If I were you I would pass, but I like this situation. Many bettors can't trust Hamilton after their last 2 road brutality.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Quote Originally Posted by freakyfreddies:
Thanks spottie you convinced me on picking toronto.\But as for Hamilton covering you should consider the teams this year not the trend. Hamilton has no running game. 20 yards last game. They only have two good receivers, and Luke Taster never caught one pass last game.Just my opinion
I gotta get my head sorted out on these, but If I had to chose right now I would play Argo's.
as for Hamilton you should not assume that they are going to continue these kind of poor play all year in every game. They are switching to home field and also a dog so both of those makes it easier to cash tickets. If I were you I would pass, but I like this situation. Many bettors can't trust Hamilton after their last 2 road brutality.
What a weird game. Wish I would have passed but I could not ignore the trend. I think I will skip that trend for a while there are still some good things going on in Winnipeg.
It is early in the year and that makes it hard to figure sometimes.
Toronto +4 loser and I am now 9-6. After starting 4-0 things have become a little cloudy. Keep fighting on.
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
Thanks dcgmt.
What a weird game. Wish I would have passed but I could not ignore the trend. I think I will skip that trend for a while there are still some good things going on in Winnipeg.
It is early in the year and that makes it hard to figure sometimes.
Toronto +4 loser and I am now 9-6. After starting 4-0 things have become a little cloudy. Keep fighting on.
Not all bets are created equal and taking money off the table is important to me. I am on Hamilton +3 but my risk is half unit. This insures me of a weekly profit yet I am still able to play one of the games I like.
I suppose I could wait to get a betting line, but in NCAAFB and CFL a line of 3 is not that important to move off of.
+3 -100 half unit
Nothing is ever in the bank until it is in the bank
0
11-6 on the year.
Not all bets are created equal and taking money off the table is important to me. I am on Hamilton +3 but my risk is half unit. This insures me of a weekly profit yet I am still able to play one of the games I like.
I suppose I could wait to get a betting line, but in NCAAFB and CFL a line of 3 is not that important to move off of.
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yikes
GL
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