Should've just stuck with my "Teaser of the Day" as we lost both the 2 seed teaser and 10 seed teaser by one team. But still made profit with our "Teaser of the Day" hitting.
Marquette ML (-625) vs. Vermont
After Arizona lost yesterday, this is a bet on history, only once in the history of March Madness have two 15 seeds beaten a 2 seed (2012). Based off history, the chances of this happening are 2.7%. With Marquette being the last 2 seed to play, this is a bet that this won't be the second year that this has ever happened.
Drake +10.5 (-500) vs. Miami
I waivered on this pick and ultimately landed on Drake. With that said, Miami only lost one game by more than 8 this year, and that was an early season game against Maryland by 18. Their other losses were by 6, 2, 2, 3, 1, and 7. Drake plays close games as well as they only lost 2 games this year by double digits. So between the teams 11/14 games were decided by single digits or less. This should be a pseudo-home game for Drake. I'll take the double digits in what I think will be a close game throughout.
Creighton +5.5 (-555) vs. NC St.
In my opinion, Creighton should've been at least a 5 seed and maybe even a 4. The fact that they lost 12 games landed them where they ended up, but 6 of their 12 losses were against ranked teams and the others could be considered quality losses. They should have the advantage in most categories and I don't think NC State is as good as they are projected. They lost 4 of their last 7 with only one of those being to a team that made the tournament. Creighton is 4-4 in their last 8 but all are tournament teams with the exception of Villanova. Give me the team that should've been a higher see against a team I don't think should be in the tourney at all... and the points.
Purdue -11.5 (-526) vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
This goes back to my post "Teasing the 1's", since 2010, in the 47 wins by #1 seeds, only 3 of the wins have been by less than 10 points. And since 2015 all their wins have been by 11 or more (this was 14 until Houston won by only 11 yesterday). This is the largest disparity on the board for the entire tournament in terms of KP ranking (7 vs. 312). Fairleigh Dickinson literally played the 2nd easiest schedule in all of college basketball and only managed 19 wins. FD's best win was against the 191st ranked team and they have 12 losses against teams ranked 200th or worse. The biggest thing in this game will be Zach Edey, Purdue are in the 92nd percentile in FG% at the rim and FD rank in the 7th percentile in defensive FG% at the rim. I would imagine Edey could have 30+ points in this game and will eat them alive.
Betting Odds: -102 Bet 1.02 Units to win 1 Unit
@Contrarian21
I wasn't done posting and it posted on its own. I wasn't done, are you feeling ok. Or do you just like to get on here and be rude on a post. I'm here posting profitable winners and have more negative comments than positive. If you read a post and it seems dumb just move on and don't be an a**.
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