Posted:
#1
It's that time again.....NHL playoffs......The Lippsman split
Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.
Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?
I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem.
The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners. You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.
If the dog loses the first game you take them no matter what the line is in game 2 as long as there are no 1st liner injuries
This is for the first two games in the series only.
This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take many chances and err on the side of caution.
Now there are variations that I do not recommend but they are out there and well.....they have been known to turn a profit.
1 Chase the dog loss, don't do it, just play the regular wager and don't double up
2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But if it's juiced more than -140, which it usually is, then of course I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.
You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +130 or more. Also how I will play the last couple days of the season. Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat for most teams. Use that to your advantage.
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