The Lippsman Split

@Ramanujan

Well yes butmi suppose this is a bit late. You can see discussion above. 

Officially 2-8 now. 

Tonight's plays:

DAL -1 -105

LAK +163

    for the update

Dal-1?

Anyone else thinking of doubling down for round 2? I’m currently down 3.5u with Lak left…considering 2u per pick for 2nd round cause law of averages? It apparently failed what once in 20 years the second round must be profitable it’s a whole new set of 4 teams which is only 8 wagers at most. 

@ruffcutter

Yes that was the play ad the ML was too juiced straight. 

Split is officially 3-9 now

I may calculate units later today if I can back track the odds in my history. 

@emoltzan

 Dallas wasn't a play 

@dubz4dummyz

 You're right, that was alternative method. I'll recalculate and summarize in a bit. 

@emoltzan

 Might I suggest that if you are going to change the system with "alternative" methods and rule changes that you start your own thread and do it there and let the original stand. At least out of respect for the OP 

@rustie

I did not change system with alternative method, it was an error as acknowledged above. And to be frank, this alternative method was an alternative method mentioned by Lipp himself in post #1.

I have been the one putting in the most effort to keep this strategy alive this season. I just spent 20 minutes on pen and paper to prepare for a 5 minute typing summary of round 1 I am about to provide....

Round 1 Summary:

L NYI +205 -1u

L TBL +142 -1u

L WSH +230 -1u

L NSH +127 -1u

L NYI +200 -1u

W VGK +122 +1.2u

L LAK +150 -1u

L WSH +240 -1u

L TBL +150 -1u

W NSH +130 +1.3u

W LAK +160 +1.6u 

3 W 8 L, 27.27%, -3.9u

Please let me know if I missed any, thanks!

On to round 2

@emoltzan

 OK  

Ty for the summary

round two is likely to be better based on Lipp’s track record May he Rest In Peace 

@ScroopyNoopers

 I play the full Split 1st and 2nd rounds.  Post Covid 2020 Cup season it is:

1-3 2021 Cup Bolts (realigned Divisions season)

2-2 2022 Cup Avs

2-2 2023 Cup Knights

Don't know Pre-Covid.  At 5-7 that's +140 implied odds, so with a small sample size you could break even if you used +140 as the bet/don't bet criteria.  I usually play all 4 series taking the dog, and has not hurt my bankroll.  It's my other dumbass plays that take care of that... 

GL 

@ruffcutter

Yes, hoping for some positive regression. 

NYI G2 meltdown was a 3u swing. Would be -0.9u had they simply finished the last 10 minutes. 

Official play:

BOS ML +137

Easy winner! We deserved it after R1

No official plays tonight currently. 

Canucks +120 is a play methinks. 

Any updates on this?

no split tonight

All FLORIDA

I wanted to bet Edmonton here but their 21-18 road record is the worst out of all the playoff teams. Ill sit this one out hope Florida wins and come back with a bet on Edmonton at home .On the year Edmonton only has 9 home losses that's the least amount of home loses in the league.