With the CFB season around the corner, it is about time for the reintroduction of the public indicator thread. With the first games for Week 0 a little over a week out, I thought I would give refresher of last season and the indicator performance. Most importantly not just on the final picks the indicator generates (like any thread you can value them at what you have paid for here) but how the "tells" themselves performed. You may think a tell is not what it is valued at and find others more valuable. That is how I strongly suggest to use the information. I come up with my own Projections based on a formula from past performance. You may love that formula or view it as flawed. The goal is to use the information as you see fit and hopefully, I help your wagering experience.
I'll share week 0 starting next week as I view way too early to give real numbers this far out from gametime. It is why I usually will not post projections until starting Tuesday of a normal week.
First number though a reminder of 2023
2023: 139-106 (56.73%) Profit margin of 15.14%
2022: 158-129 (55.05%) Profit margin of 15.41%
2021: 192-152 (55.81%) Profit margin of 13.40%
2020(after a major regression analysis that really is a foundation of today's numbers): 187-141 (57.01%) Profit margin of 12.23%
2019(before 2020 changes): 157-144 (52.16%) Profit margin of -11.32% - Yes, a regression analysis is essential every year, especially on weighting certain criteria
I will post also indicator performance %s that I have measured, including some that I will not be utilizing due to poor performance.
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