HT......Yukon SledDogs up 7.....but the boxscore metrics are just about even....with the exception that ZAGS are only 1 for 9 from the arc....Just hit two of those and they are close to their season avg and just a single pt behind.....
I need to see how both teams come out in the early 2H
ya theyll be favored in their next 2 games
ya theyll be favored in their next 2 games
Probably
@fubah2
Great call again, fubah 
A bit risky with all that juice but profit is profit! 
[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]MENS LIVE ACTION early 2H, barely 3 mins in: 44 - 34
W Yukon SledDogs -450 *Best Bet
MENS *BEST BETS: 69 - 24 +128.45 units* 
*...if bettors had placed a mean avg of 5-units-to-win on all my *Best Bets (like several others on this forum do with their picks!) and at an avg of $1k per unit, then those bettors would be up over $128,000 after just 7 weeks of betting these.....I am not recommending anyone actually do that, but hypothetically those would be the results....Or, if you choose to grade results as if betting to win one-unit each pick, then a net +25.69 units
A review of my posted "heavy chalk" results
to date in MEN's NCAA:
1 - 0 ......lines of -600 and up (Winner was -650)
0 - 1 ......lines of -500 to -599 (loser was -575)**
8 - 0 ......lines of -400 to -499
16 - 1 ..... lines of -300 to -399 (loser was -325)
=======
= 25 - 2 (92.6%)
If profiting off heavy chalk bets was easy (as some critics suggest) then everyone would be doing it!!
The heavy chalk LOSERS were (2), in descending order:
-575**
-325
** my -575 bet on Washington St; only to learn at gametime - without any advance warning!!! - WSU would sit out their BEST PLAYER - otherwise I never would have bet that 
...so I should be 25 - 1
My heavy chalk winners were (25), in descending order:
-650
-450 -450 -450 -425 -425 -425 -415 -400
-375 -375 -370 -360 -360 -350 -330 -320 -320 -315 -308 -300 -300 -300 -300 -300
NIT PICKING WOMEN
Arkansas +2.5/+120 @KANSAS -2.5/-160
My rankings: #36 ARK @ #39 KU
ARK 8 - 10 in SEC - the toughest conference
KU 9 - 10 in BIG12 - 2nd toughest conference
ARK was 3 - 4 OTR in SEC (actually 3 - 5 but I refuse to count an automatic loss at Women's #1 powerhouse South Carolina) 3 - 4 is more practical.
KU was 6 - 3 on homecourt in a very tough conference
ARK was 4 -3 overall vs conf. opps similar in strength to KU
but 2 - 2 against those OTR.
KU was 3 - 3 overall vs conf. opps similar in strength to ARK,
but 2 - 1 against those on homecourt
ARK should have all available players.
Kansas should have all available players.
Down the stretch:
ARK hasn't played a true road game since Feb & Feb 23, where they were handily whupped by 2 teams equal in strength to KU. Their last game was a narrow win at home to an opp weaker than KU.
KU has enjoyed a solid stretch since a blowout loss at a weaker opp on Feb 22.
They followed that with solid HOMECOURT wins vs 4 opps comparable to ARK!
Their last 2 games - both homecourt - included a rout of Missouri (which ARK defeated 3x) and a recent 9 pt home win vs Nebraska - a comparable team to ARK.
As this is a HOME GAME for KU, venue stats are most important!
KU looks decent at home vs opps comparable to ARK, especially down the stretch, while ARK is a questionmark, imo.
No clear edge, although the lean here goes very slightly to the homies.
PASS
I'll watch for possible in-game opportunities
..... more to come today
NCAA WOMENS Best Bets YTD: 27 - 13 for +39.25 units*
Total WOMEN's YTD is: 47 - 25
*....if grading my NCAA bets at a mean avg of 5-units-to-win on all my *Best Bets (like several others on this forum do with their picks!)...or...divide that number by 5 if you grade picks to win one unit - which is the common "level the playing field" grading standard for comparing forum records
MENS LIVE ACTION early 2H, barely 3 mins in: 44 - 34
W Yukon SledDogs -450 *Best Bet
MENS *BEST BETS: 69 - 24 +128.45 units*
*...if bettors had placed a mean avg of 5-units-to-win on all my *Best Bets (like several others on this forum do with their picks!) and at an avg of $1k per unit, then those bettors would be up over $128,000 after just 7 weeks of betting these.....I am not recommending anyone actually do that, but hypothetically those would be the results....Or, if you choose to grade results as if betting to win one-unit each pick, then a net +25.69 units
@fubah2
NIT PICKING WOMEN
Harvard +5.5/+185 @COLUMBIA -5.5/-260
My rankings: #76 Harvie @ #50 Columbia
Two IVY LEAGUE teams meet again in NIT quarterfinal!
BIG RIVALRY!
HOME GAME for Columbia
Harvard is about 3.5 hr drive away
Versus the only other two good teams in IVY:
Columbia was 3 - 2
Harvie was 2 - 4
Columbia was 1 - 1 on homecourt; routing Harvie by 26
Harvie was 0 - 3 OTR, but 2 close losses to the top team, Princeton
Harvie lost the first 2 games against Columbia but won in OT in the conference playoffs. Then lost a close game to Princeton. Entering the NIT, Harvie won another nailbiter OTR over an opp roughly comparable to Columbia (maybe a shade weaker)
Columbia's recent 2 NIT games: a close win on homecourt over an opp very slightly weaker than Harvie, and another homecourt win last game over an opp slightly better than Harvie, despite heavy foul trouble to 3 starters!
In their Feb 15 ROAD victory over Harvie, with a whopping 23 fouls on each squad, Columbia was up a comfortable 15 pts with 3.5 mins left and coasted to a 5 pt win in garbage time.
In their last game, on a neutral floor, it went into OT, where Harvie prevailed
Edge to COLUMBIA, on homecourt, in an obvious revenge game.
But there isn't a lot separating these two, and I won't risk -260 on COLUMBIA with an edge that needs to be much stronger.
PASS, but will definitely look for opp on Columbia in-game, if the boxscore metrics are in their favor (aside from the score)
so kansas if everything else lines up ?
@fubah2
Thanks! BoL with your bets today! 
so kansas if everything else lines up ?
Yes, that would be my in-game play....
NIT PICKING WOMEN
My rankings: #46 Oregon @ #51 WASHINGTON
Oregon was 8 - 12 in conf, but only 2 - 7 OTR
They escaped with a narrow 2 pt win over Washington, on neutral court, in conf playoffs, 2 weeks after losing AT WASHINGTON by 8
Washington 7 - 12 in conf, but 5 - 4 on homecourt
In game #1 Oregon won at home by 7
In game #2 Washington won at home by 8
In game #3 played in Las Vegas, Oregon won a nailbiter
Tonight's game is a home game in Washington!
These two teams are EVEN strength!
But home team edge to HUSKIES.
All players on both teams are expected to be available tonight, but the line, if accurate, is curious since WASHINGTON has a fair edge due to the home venue.
I'm holding off on this one until I see pregame lineups
Great call Fubah
Who do you like today? 
Thank you!
Huskies look appealing at this point, but I'm working feverishly as we speak on the other games.
More coming......
NIT PICKING WOMEN
Harvard +5.5/+185 @COLUMBIA -5.5/-260
My rankings: #76 Harvie @ #50 Columbia
Two IVY LEAGUE teams meet again in NIT quarterfinal!
BIG RIVALRY!
HOME GAME for Columbia
Harvard is about 3.5 hr drive away
Versus the only other two good teams in IVY:
Columbia was 3 - 2
Harvie was 2 - 4
Columbia was 1 - 1 on homecourt; routing Harvie by 26
Harvie was 0 - 3 OTR, but 2 close losses to the top team, Princeton
Harvie lost the first 2 games against Columbia but won in OT in the conference playoffs. Then lost a close game to Princeton. Entering the NIT, Harvie won another nailbiter OTR over an opp roughly comparable to Columbia (maybe a shade weaker)
Columbia's recent 2 NIT games: a close win on homecourt over an opp very slightly weaker than Harvie, and another homecourt win last game over an opp slightly better than Harvie, despite heavy foul trouble to 3 starters!
In their Feb 15 ROAD victory over Harvie, with a whopping 23 fouls on each squad, Columbia was up a comfortable 15 pts with 3.5 mins left and coasted to a 5 pt win in garbage time.
In their last game, on a neutral floor, it went into OT, where Harvie prevailed
Edge to COLUMBIA, on homecourt, in an obvious revenge game.
But there isn't a lot separating these two, and I won't risk -260 on COLUMBIA with an edge that needs to be much stronger.
PASS, but will definitely look for opp on Columbia in-game, if the boxscore metrics are in their favor (aside from the score)
thx! 
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