2012 Kempom System

Quote Originally Posted by Lethargic_Budah:

Furman is a lock. They will cover tonight

Quote Originally Posted by JimmyJet:

From overnight lines the following should be plays for Saturday:

Rice +8

Tex San Antonio +7.5

The Citadel +16

Not official....fit the parameters of the system.

Quote Originally Posted by pulltabpetey:

LA Monroe is real close right Jimmy?  It's at 9.5 right now I think and if goes to 10 it's good to go? Sorry to ask all the damn time!!

Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

Ryno: I contacted you with some inside information for your eyes only

System Update (for those that are interested):

1. System should start Feb 13th (some would argue Feb 20th and they would have a point) and run to the end of the season and not include conference tourney games (although you could certainly use some of the principles to narrow down cards and look more closely at games).

2. System should use a sliding scale and begin around Kenpom 140, understand that for teams ranked by Kenpom between  #140-200, lines should be DD before it qualifies as a play.  For teams #200-Southern Utah, lines of 7.5 or higher to constitute a play (of course you are still welcome to use your own brain and consider games that just miss the criteria as games that you should possibly look at more closely and consider playing).

3. Games played on Thursday (or Friday) should be weighed more heavily than Saturday (or Sunday) aka the infamous two-game in three night small conference road trips.  So what I am saying is that I am more likely to play a borderline game on a Thursday (or Friday) and more likely to layoff a borderline game on Saturday (or Sunday). 

Lastly, there are just guidelines to help you dwindle down big cards and give you are things to consider besides the normal capping BS that you read on this forum (and many other including the 140-character site, hope you see how those "cappers" are doing - ouch).  The fact is that most gamblers are still doing the same things that they were doing when the system blew up a number of years ago.  They still bet big teams that are televised (and who, of course, have the tightest lines imaginable).  They still bet favorites and they still feel completely stupid when they bet on small conference team that gets destroyed.  Listen, we still need some of these game to lose (and if they are going to lose, we want it to be a spectacular trainwreck) because those cappers would rather lose their money watching an OSU game then tracking a Samford or Appy St game online. 

Remember, keep it simple, don't overthink it, have fun and we are all in this together.  I wont be around much or answering question but if Ryno wants to keep this thread alive and track the updated system plays (and he, as well as you guys, are welcome to tweak it as well) that is fine. 

Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:

im looking at riverside also as a play.cal poly  is horrible...and usually a team we are on as dog....think too many...fits old parameters but  not a system play.

Quote Originally Posted by bullmoose:

Citadel is putrid