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2016-2017 NCAA Hoops

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Captain
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Posted: #626
Yea the parlay has a open slot
It's all probabilities
 
Captain
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Posted: #627
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

adding

CBB [779] ST. BONAVENTURE -7-110 440.00 USD / 400.00 USD  

CBB [749] HOFSTRA -3-110 440.00 USD / 400.00 USD  

CBB [794] NEVADA -5-110        440.00 USD / 400.00 USD

CBB [797] TOTAL o179½-110 (THE CITADEL vrs ARIZONA STATE) 440.00 USD / 400.00 USD  cashed with 7 minutes left  

CBB [775] ELON -7-110 880.00 USD / 800.00 USD 


Teaser
Date: Team:
Nov 23 CBB [770] OKLAHOMA STATE +2½-110 (B+5)
Nov 23 CBB [772] NORTH CAROLINA +1-110 (B+5)
Risking 2000.00 USD To Win 1538.00 USD

PARLAY (5 TEAMS)
[770] OKLAHOMA STATE -145       PENDING           
[772] NORTH CAROLINA -180       PENDING           
[797] THE CITADEL +26½-110       WIN
[797] TOTAL o180-110 
(THE CITADEL vrs ARIZONA STATE)       WIN
OPEN PLAY       PENDING           
200/2971

3-0 +$1,600
 
Captain
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Posted: #628
east
allman
carpinteria
darkman
frank
atotx
spark
saigone 
ichase, yes and 
 
Captain
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Posted: #629
Quote Originally Posted by SPark1:

That parlays looking good hammer. Just curious as to why you didn't add Elon to it
 yea, just hadn't added it to my card at that point 
 
Captain
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Posted: #630
ok state pressure D wreaking havoc like the old VCU teams...love watching this squad
 
Prospect
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Posted: #631
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

ok state pressure D wreaking havoc like the old VCU teams...love watching this squad
My account have 3000$. I should split account to ? part to bet follow you :p
 
Prospect
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Posted: #632
Any idea why that Nevada line moved to -3?
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1332
Posted: #633
Great work Peterson,

Appreciate you sharing you're knowledge of the game 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #634
Quote Originally Posted by ICHASETOOMUCH:

Any idea why that Nevada line moved to -3?


Ya saw that 3-3.5 at most places now.
 
Captain
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Posted: #635
Quote Originally Posted by ICHASETOOMUCH:

Any idea why that Nevada line moved to -3?
 no clue.... it's a small bet for me so it doesn't bother me....any time i hedge or buyout because of a line move it seems that my original bet always wins....hahaha.. so i'll just let it ride.. the only thing that would bother for nevada is if marshall or oliver was out...then i'd be worried.  otherwise, it is what it is 
 
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Posted: #636
Quote Originally Posted by hawk007:

Great work Peterson,

Appreciate you sharing you're knowledge of the game 

 
Captain
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Posted: #637
Quote Originally Posted by zzbynzz:

My account have 3000$. I should split account to ? part to bet follow you :p
 just bet what YOU like...don't ever rely on anyone else to be responsible for YOUR money... getting ideas about wagers is fine, but YOU should want to play that side regardless of my opinion 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #638
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:

 just bet what YOU like...don't ever rely on anyone else to be responsible for YOUR money... getting ideas about wagers is fine, but YOU should want to play that side regardless of my opinion 
Thanks you for your idea ! But you split your account to ? part, i want to listen from you
 
Captain
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Posted: #639
just looked at the nevada play again,,,,, i think they have the best and 2nd best players on the court.....

oakland is 115 in Off Eff and 170 in Def Eff playing the 333 hardest schedule, i.e. they've had a joke schedule so far.  Also, they have the 5th fastest tempo so I believe their offensive stats are further inflated.

nevada is 116 in O Eff and 72 in D Eff playing the 161 hardest schedule, just about average.

so in conclusion, their O's are basically the same adjusted for schedule but Nevada's D is significantly better, in my opinion.  

the question obv is: is it 5 points better generally but more importantly tonight?  I believe so... they are playing in a gym that neither has played in recently and oakland relies more heavily on jumpers whereas Nevada gets to the rim ..


maybe i am dumb and crazy but i like them to win relatively easily...but in gambling nothing is easy 
 
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Posted: #640
please accept my request for being your friend thank you sir
 
Prospect
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Posts: 107
Posted: #641
Quote Originally Posted by pederson16:


 kenpom DOT com is amazing...adjusted tempo ratings...research is paramount 


pederson,

The numbers under the AdjTempo column at kenpom' site...is that the projected number of possessions for each team for the game? For example today's game between The Citadel and Arizona St, The Citadel 83.2 possessions for the game and Arizona St 71.7 for the game?

And AdjTempo,AdjOE, AdjDE--"Adj" means the numbers have been adjusted for strength of schedule? Thank you for your time and help.
 
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Posted: #642
just accepted ALL friend requests....geez... i never even had checked... had like 60 LOL
 
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Posted: #643
Quote Originally Posted by GoodBadUgly:



pederson,

The numbers under the AdjTempo column at kenpom' site...is that the projected number of possessions for each team for the game? For example today's game between The Citadel and Arizona St, The Citadel 83.2 possessions for the game and Arizona St 71.7 for the game?

And AdjTempo,AdjOE, AdjDE--"Adj" means the numbers have been adjusted for strength of schedule? Thank you for your time and help.

yes, OE and DE are adjusted for the opponents they have faced...
 
Captain
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Posted: #644
and yes, the tempo is adjusted for the teams they have played as well.... so if they can force their opponents to play a faster game, they'll be higher ranked since it'll weight a fast tempo game with a normally slow opponent heavier than a fast tempo game with a fast opponent.
 
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Posted: #645
thanks friend .
 
Prospect
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Posted: #646
pederson, thank you for answering my question. Just one more, please...

The numbers under the AdjTempo column at kenpom' site...is that the projected number of possessions for each team for the game? For example today's game between The Citadel and Arizona St, The Citadel 83.2 possessions for the game and Arizona St 71.7 possessions for the game? Is that how we interpret the tempo numbers? Thank you.
 
Legend
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Posted: #647
I like the Nevada play...  took 1H -1.5     GL!
 
Captain
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Posted: #648
Quote Originally Posted by GoodBadUgly:

pederson, thank you for answering my question. Just one more, please...The numbers under the AdjTempo column at kenpom' site...is that the
projected number of possessions for each team for the game? For example
today's game between The Citadel and Arizona St, The Citadel 83.2
possessions for the game and Arizona St 71.7 possessions for the game? Is that how we interpret the tempo numbers? Thank you.

No. It's based on past games. Nothing to do with future. There are no projections whatsoever from the basic kenpom page. If you join and pay, I believe he has projections but I don't do that
 
Prospect
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Posted: #649
Thanks for everything you do Pederson!! Only reason im upset today is because i missed your Hofstra and St Bonnies wins. Frickin awesome!!
 
 
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Posts: 3428
Posted: #650

Awesome job  !!! Thanks

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