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Posted: #626

Well I managed to salvage my night with a 3 team par. Boise st -10 nova -4 and nc state. 300 got me 1900.  1-11 until I hit that 3 teamer.  Fkn wowan_eek2

 
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Posted: #627

-50 units plus juice 

 
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Posted: #628
Round robin parlays saved my night. Start using them people!
 
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Posted: #629

-5 Auburn

-5 Cincy

-5 Memphis

-5 Duquesne

+5 LaSalle

-5 Ark State

-10 Colgate

-10 Utah State

+ 10 Houston

-10 Long Beach St

-10 Wash St.

Tough night   

 

 
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Posted: #630
Let's get it back tomorrow Smacks....
See a couple of games I'm looking at....

 
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Posted: #631
My Gosh what a haircut. Colgate never won the 1H either, laying 8 only won by 3 1H, so I'm not sure how you got confused ? If you bet 10 units like you say you did you would have known $1100 was out of your account? 


 
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Posted: #632

Money management is key

This is a roller coaster ride!

 
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Posted: #633
Quote Originally Posted by Trumpinator2020:

My Gosh what a haircut. Colgate never won the 1H either, laying 8 only won by 3 1H, so I'm not sure how you got confused ? If you bet 10 units like you say you did you would have known $1100 was out of your account? 



Like you never had a bad day, eh?...

I corrected the Colgate mistake almost immediately...and you are still harping on it?...

It's pretty clear what you are all about...

I used to have a certain amount of respect for you and your picks during football season...key phrase...USED TO...

You are quickly devolving into a worthless piece of troll drivel...if that is the way you want it...so be it...I will treat you as such...

One last chance for you brutha...one...

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Posted: #634
Quote Originally Posted by PitchdiveU:

-5 Auburn

-5 Cincy

-5 Memphis

-5 Duquesne

+5 LaSalle

-5 Ark State

-10 Colgate

-10 Utah State

+ 10 Houston

-10 Long Beach St

-10 Wash St.

Tough night   

 


Yep...down over 50 units plus juice...very bad night...and it all started with me coming in late...getting too hurried and making some rushed picks...

THAT is not happening tonight I can guarandamntee you it will not...

Pretty pissed of about my lack of discipline...

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Posted: #635

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Quote Originally Posted by PitchdiveU:

-5 Auburn -5 Cincy -5 Memphis -5 Duquesne +5 LaSalle -5 Ark State -10 Colgate -10 Utah State + 10 Houston -10 Long Beach St -10 Wash St. Tough night     
Yep...down over 50 units plus juice...very bad night...and it all started with me coming in late...getting too hurried and making some rushed picks...THAT is not happening tonight I can guarandamntee you it will not...Pretty pissed of about my lack of discipline...

We learn from our mistakes sadly Smack. Lets get it back today , tomorrow and weekend peace_5

Me too i rushed for late night winnings and ended up down 0-3-1. Sigh. 

 
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Posted: #636
Just a couple of things that I am going to post in here that I will not be posting in StraightBets thread today...

Under his "Golden Rule" #2...tonight's game Stanford at Washington would be a clear cut play on Stanford...I do like this angle and there was a SDQL search done by someone that showed it is above 56% winner on a decent sample size...

Washington is coming back home after a 3 game road trip and is favored...

But, apparently, rule $3 supersedes rule #2 in this situation...

I don't like that for a couple of reasons...

First...Washington is abysmal in covering games overall...

9-17 ATS...34.6%...

Also terrible in their average margin of victory which is 4 points...and...terrible in their average number of points that they cover a spread by which is -1... that is MINUS ONE...

Meanwhile, Stanford is...

15-10 ATS... 60%...

8.4 average margin of victory...

+2.6 average number of points they cover a spread by...

My play will be Stanford tonight...I don't often go against SB...but this is a spot I will take...





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Posted: #637
In case you missed the rules...I will repost them here again as I compiled them originally...

College Basketball

1.  Bet AGAINST any team that is coming off of 3 road games and is back home as a FAVORITE.

2.  Bet FOR any team coming home after 3 road games and listed as an UNDERDOG in their first game back home.

3.  Never ever ever NEVER bet a team on their attempt to cover 9 in a row!!  The #9 marks the end of the run!!!  

4.    Covering 8 straight with the 9th game being a home fave is a recipe for disaster for the home fave!!    

Baseball

1.  In a 3 game series where the ACE starts the series and loses, the number 2 starts and loses the second game, bet ON the number 3 pitcher in the third and final game of the series.

2.  Bet the reverse run line in this game as well.

NFL

1.  When a team scores OVER 30 points in 3 straight games, play AGAINST them in their next HOME game and increase your wager if they are the FAVORITE in that game. 

2.  If they go over 30 points in 4 straight games, bet the FARM against them in that next home game.


Never ever ever NEVER bet AGAINST a team on their attempt to cover 9 in a row!!  The #9 marks the end of the run!!!
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Posted: #638
The last sentence above is what I THINK rule #3 is supposed to say ...my thinking on this is based on SB taking Washington instead of Stanford as apparently they have not covered 8 in a row and will be going for the 9th tonight..

So his original #3 above is...

3.  Never ever ever NEVER bet a team on their attempt to cover 9 in a row!!  The #9 marks the end of the run!!!

But it SHOULD read...

Never ever ever NEVER bet AGAINST a team on their attempt to cover 9 in a row!!  The #9 marks the end of the run!!!



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Posted: #639
Thanks Smacks....I was leaning Stanford till I read SB's thread....made me hesitate the pick......Still don't know what I will do....
Will you be going large on Towson?.....
Appreciate the feedback.....
 
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Posted: #640
Quote Originally Posted by lmb4321:

Thanks Smacks....I was leaning Stanford till I read SB's thread....made me hesitate the pick......Still don't know what I will do....
Will you be going large on Towson?.....
Appreciate the feedback.....

Yes, I am locked in on Towson...Bill and Mary this year has not been that great...

Average margin of victory is 2.3 points...covering spreads by .2 points...that's POINT TWO...

William and Mary are 6-6 SU this year on the road...I just have not been too impressed with them overall despite their 2nd place standing in their conference...

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Posted: #641

 
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Posted: #642
StraightBets just got off of Towson...I'm going to stay on them...

There is a reason the line opened at Towson -6...

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Posted: #643
Ok Smacks.....got a few hours before game time to make a decision....
 
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Posted: #644

I think Bill and Mary are very well coached, might be a tight one

 
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Posted: #645
Quote Originally Posted by gr8grins:

I think Bill and Mary are very well coached, might be a tight one


They might be well coached...but they went 6-6 SU on the road and have dismal covering stats ATS...

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Posted: #646

Smack, you are likely on the right side with Towson, and if the tribe lead at half, I'm sure you will have a great 2H opportunity to make up a potential loss!?

 
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Posted: #647
More information on Stanford at Washington ...

SU
Total...............12-14
Home...............1-6
Away.................11-8

ATS
Total..................9-17
Home.................8-10
Away.................0-7

In Conference.....

ATS.....................2-11... 15.4%
Average Margin of Victory.............. -1.8 points
Average points team covers spreads by................. -2.7 points...

This is the WORST ATS record in the conference...


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Posted: #648
More information on Bill and Mary at Towson...

Towson ratings..

SU
Total..............16-11
Home............10-6
Away..............6-5

ATS
Total...............14-10-1
Home.................6-7-1
Away...................8-3

Conference Record

ATS............9-5..
% of time team covered ..... 64.3%... (minus pushes)
Average Margin of Victory.....................3.7 points
Average number of Points they cover the spread by..........2




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Posted: #649
Towson is 3rd in the conference in ATS covers while Bill and Mary is 5th in the conference...

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Posted: #650

So what are we taking bud? I’m torn. I do Like Witchita St 1h. What about u?

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