A couple of things I've found out about myself......I BLOW at 1H wagering and I BLOW when I don't do a writeup which tells me I'm not capping enough and going too much on gut.....with that said here is my writeup and play.
Tonight is Senior Night for the Irish who have won straight up in 9 of last 10 games. Notre Dame is the only Big East team not to lose at home (16-0).
Senior Ben Hansbrough and Abroamitis have accounted for 66.9% of the teams scoring in the last 2 games. In the recent winning streak of 9 or 10 Hansbrough 22.8ppg, 4.6 rebounds, 4.3 assists and have shot 53.5% from the floor.
Irish averages 81ppg at home. The Irish are #4 in assits to turnover ratio in the nation and #10 in turnovers period.
Notre Dame is #40 in ppg, #66 in FG%, #45 in shooting the 3 and #64 in offensive rebounds.
Notre Dame defense is #94 in ppg and #63 in FG% allowed. Against a very very good Big East conference schedule this is very impressive.
Villanova is 1-9 ATS last 10......ouch! They have gone 4-6 in this time frame.
Nova barely beat Depaul on the road in OT, lost at Rutgers, at Providence, at UCONN, at Tenn.and 4-7 ATS on the road.
In the last 5 games Nova is scoring 64.6ppg, 38% FG and 28.6% from 3's. The only thing in their favor is as they are throwing up bricks they can rebound.
Overall and Pick: I love Senior night and the advantage that typically brings.
Overall Notre Dame is 10-5 ATS as a favorite and Nova is 2-0 as a dog.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish -4
; my problem with our bet is that the line is begging for ND money...
IRISH
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