Posted:
#1
No idea what my record is, but after getting off to a slow start with this team, I'm getting a better and better read on them.
PC, like most young teams, is jeckyl and hyde on H/A game splits. They got off to a great start this year.... lost 3 in a row, 2 to top 5 teams, all in heartbreaking fashion. Its no wonder they struggled so much on the next 3 games.... hitting a low of all lows. They didn't show up at all at West Virginia.. then they bounce back fora 17-point first half lead vs USF and then blow it. EVERYONE was calling for Keno's head and it was a foregone conclusion that they would lose by 20+ to Louisville and they would go winless for the year.
The problem with this is... everyone failed to realize the extent that being @ home in front of a sellout crowd vs a ranked team can do for a young team. They came out fired up, played amazing defense in the 2nd half (giving up 24 points) and played there hearts out.... The team looked like a team again, and even Vincent Council hit some big shots down the stretch.
Looking at the results this year, it should have been expected though. Looking at there defensive #'s at home, it has been incredible compared to there defense on the road.
Def. Eff at home:
- Dartmouth 0.67
- Yale 0.79
- Morgan State 0.725
- Prarie View 0.89
- CCSU 0.82
- Northeastern 1.09
- URI 0.98
- Brown 0.87
- Alabama 0.91
- Sacred Heart 1.01
- St. Johns 0.98
- Pitt 1.10
- Louisville 0.97
Compared to there #'s on the road, it really is amazing what a difference.
10 out of there top 11 games in EFG% Defense have been at home...
2 of there top 3 games in Defensive TO% for the whole season have been against Pitt and Louisville... which is pretty incredible to say the least.
All of a sudden, the team is positive again... they have energy... And they feel like they can win again. Momentum is a HUGE thing for a young team and PC has tons of it right now.
On the flipside, it is a big time letdown spot for Villanova. They are in a sandwich spot... 4 days off one of the best road wins any team has had this season (@ Syracuse in front of a record crowd), and then have Georgetown in 3 days at home. Between these two huge games? They are playing @ a 1-6 PC team.... in the middle of a snow storm. I expect them to come out flat big time.
Overall, its a very good spot for PC to be in.. they have momentum... and its an incredibly flat spot for Villanova. Villanova also doesnt have a big inside presence, the type that usually kills PC. If Villanova wants to run, they will play right into PC's game.
PC is going to cover and have a good chance at winning SU and pulling the surprising upset. There will be a good crowd... due to a likely snow day here in Providence, students are back on campus and a top 5 team is coming to town.... Keno has consistently gotten his teams to play toe to toe with the best teams in the country coming to Providence (#1 Pitt in 2008... Upset UConn last year.... Beat #15 Louisville and had Pitt down 4 with 1 minute left earlier in the season).
Providence +5.5
Providence +195
GL Everyone
PC, like most young teams, is jeckyl and hyde on H/A game splits. They got off to a great start this year.... lost 3 in a row, 2 to top 5 teams, all in heartbreaking fashion. Its no wonder they struggled so much on the next 3 games.... hitting a low of all lows. They didn't show up at all at West Virginia.. then they bounce back fora 17-point first half lead vs USF and then blow it. EVERYONE was calling for Keno's head and it was a foregone conclusion that they would lose by 20+ to Louisville and they would go winless for the year.
The problem with this is... everyone failed to realize the extent that being @ home in front of a sellout crowd vs a ranked team can do for a young team. They came out fired up, played amazing defense in the 2nd half (giving up 24 points) and played there hearts out.... The team looked like a team again, and even Vincent Council hit some big shots down the stretch.
Looking at the results this year, it should have been expected though. Looking at there defensive #'s at home, it has been incredible compared to there defense on the road.
Def. Eff at home:
- Dartmouth 0.67
- Yale 0.79
- Morgan State 0.725
- Prarie View 0.89
- CCSU 0.82
- Northeastern 1.09
- URI 0.98
- Brown 0.87
- Alabama 0.91
- Sacred Heart 1.01
- St. Johns 0.98
- Pitt 1.10
- Louisville 0.97
Compared to there #'s on the road, it really is amazing what a difference.
10 out of there top 11 games in EFG% Defense have been at home...
2 of there top 3 games in Defensive TO% for the whole season have been against Pitt and Louisville... which is pretty incredible to say the least.
All of a sudden, the team is positive again... they have energy... And they feel like they can win again. Momentum is a HUGE thing for a young team and PC has tons of it right now.
On the flipside, it is a big time letdown spot for Villanova. They are in a sandwich spot... 4 days off one of the best road wins any team has had this season (@ Syracuse in front of a record crowd), and then have Georgetown in 3 days at home. Between these two huge games? They are playing @ a 1-6 PC team.... in the middle of a snow storm. I expect them to come out flat big time.
Overall, its a very good spot for PC to be in.. they have momentum... and its an incredibly flat spot for Villanova. Villanova also doesnt have a big inside presence, the type that usually kills PC. If Villanova wants to run, they will play right into PC's game.
PC is going to cover and have a good chance at winning SU and pulling the surprising upset. There will be a good crowd... due to a likely snow day here in Providence, students are back on campus and a top 5 team is coming to town.... Keno has consistently gotten his teams to play toe to toe with the best teams in the country coming to Providence (#1 Pitt in 2008... Upset UConn last year.... Beat #15 Louisville and had Pitt down 4 with 1 minute left earlier in the season).
Providence +5.5
Providence +195
GL Everyone
0
in the longrun.. be careful... GL
Brian
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