My 2nd $$$$ play for the week is VIRGINIA TECH +5 $$$$
This game is played in DC....only 4 hrs from V-Tech; therefore I will consider this to be a home game for V-Tech. Now, let's compare FL St away conf games to V-Tech home conf games and does not include 1st round.
Florida St
* Won 2 out of 9 away conf ATS (NC St, Wake Forest)--2 lowly teams in the conf
Virginia Tech
* Won 9 out of 9 home conf ATS (Miami, Pitt, FL St, Clemson, Louisville, N Car, Wake Forest, VA, NC State)--impressive!
Some of you will challenge that this is not really a true home game...Ok, let's take the average of their home/away conf games.
* VT won 5 out of 9 away conf ATS (Gtech, ND, Syr, BC, Wake F)
* Avg is 7 games won ATS (away and home)--still covering much better than FL St.
VT beat FL St at home by 10pts so there could be revenge factor in play for FL St and they are slightly better (by 1 game in overall play) so that's why Vegas have them as the favorite? But in conf play VT is better by 2 games....Honestly I don't see why FL St is the favorite, but since the line has moved from 2.5 to 5, a lot of money coming in on FL St. If anyone have any insight into this game, please chime in.
I also like trends coming into conf play. VT is hot, hot, hot, only lost one game (2/17 at Miami) ATS/SU since mid Feb. FL St only 2 (ATS/SU) out of 9 since mid Feb (not including BC game since it was a tourney game)
Sorry, I don't know names of players etc, but this way of capping has won me some.....
I'm taking Virginia Tech +5
mommo