Posted Plays: 3-6 (+12.4 units)
A happy hello to the NeverLose Nation!!!!
Been traveling today, so I'm sorry I missed posting on the earlies. I am 4-0 on the day and ready to keep printing that cash!!!
So I'm in Nice, France and I was just getting a massage from this nice Russian girl (hey...it was totally PG, you guys!!! Okay.....maybe PG-13 ) and I had an epiphany (for those of you from South Dakota or Canada, that means a clear and sudden profound thought) about how to keep this momentum going.
It occurred to me that Vegas usually installs the better team as the favorite. But sometimes it makes the hotter team the favorite. So if you can figure out which one it is, you have a HUGE advantage!!!!
I have scoured the lines to see if I can find any value plays using this better/hotter dichotomy. And the answer is.......you bet your a$$ I found some value. THANK YOU VEGAS!!!!
I also think a lot of times the team that wins is not necessarily going to cover. So if you can find a game with a huge line where the teams seem to match up well, you can find great value in the dog. I call that my "Cujo System." And the system is up and running tonight.
So without further delay, here are your winners for tonight:
Texas -14 (HOT!!!) -- The Longhorns are good at every sport and they come into the Big 12 tourney with a great deal of focus. My power ratings have them in the top 25. Also, I try to fade the State of Oklahoma every chance I can.
Cincy +3 (Better!!) -- Notre Dame just really hasn't been impressive this year and are waaaaay over-rated (although they did beat WCC winner Gonzaga). When you also factor in that Mardi Gras is over, I don't expect much from the Irish today. And you shouldn't either. Cincy wins outright!!!
Utah +16 -- Wrong team favored. MAJOR Cujo.
Virginia Tech -5 -- VT the better team. Wearing home unis. That is a winning combination.
I expect to be wiping my ass with hundred dollar bills tonight, boys!!!!