Posted:
#1
so......
I have these 2 parlays, both with only 1 open slot, all other plays already winners.
so, this begs the question, how do I maximize the payout?
| Feb 16 11:32 AM Feb 16 04:03 PM Feb 16 06:15 PM Feb 17 04:02 PM Feb 16 12:03 PM | CBB CBB CBB CBB CBB | [702] VILLANOVA -13½-170 (B+3) OPEN PLAY [704] VIRGINIA -8½-170 (B+3) [710] CREIGHTON +5½-170 (B+3) [1511] TOTAL o68½-110 (1H WAKE FOREST vrs 1H NOTRE DAME) [715] MIAMI FLORIDA -170 | 250 / 5547 |
| Feb 16 06:15 PM Feb 16 06:04 PM Feb 16 12:03 PM Feb 16 11:32 AM Feb 16 04:03 PM | CBB CBB CBB CBB CBB | [1511] TOTAL o68½-115 (1H WAKE FOREST vrs 1H NOTRE DAME) [710] CREIGHTON +5½-170 (B+3) [721] HAMPTON +5-170 (B+3) [715] MIAMI FLORIDA -170 OPEN PLAY [704] VIRGINIA -8½-170 (B+3) | 250 / 5427 |
options, as I see them, are:
1- don't hedge and risk it all, on 2 plays that are close to -110. this would maximize the payout (except of course for taking 2 dogs, but that would be just dumb)
2-hedge by just taking opposite -110 plays, and guarantee myself roughly $5500 minimum
3- take a line, like evansville -10 and buy it down 3 points to -7 in 1 parlay and buy up drake in the other parlay from +10 to +13 and hope for a middle. this gives me the chance to hit both, but will lower payouts to roughly $4500 on each.
4-fill one parlay with a large favorite ml, like a -10 with a ML -500, which would lower the payout on that one to around $3400, and then buy up the +10 dog in the other parlay to +13 and hope to hit that middle.
any other ideas?
and if you were in my shoes, what would you do?
I have not decided, if I want to risk it all or play it safe. To me, the $500 risked is not a big deal, and winning $10-12k does not affect my lifestyle positively or negatively, so I am not basing any decisions on that. I simply want to do what is mathematically the ideal play.
Thanks covers brothers 
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