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And I'll use an example where I should use only the defensive numbers (mem at was):
points for points against
mem 92.4 103.0
was 95.7 99.6
totals 188.1 202.6
off / def = 188.1 / 202.6 = 0.928, so we'll use the defensive number (202.6)
total projected = 202.6 * 0.928 = 188.01
The total line set by the bookie is 192.5 so we have a difference of -4.5 points, but from my point of view that's not enough for a good play ( think how manny seconds need 2 basketball teams to score 5 points...).
So the total would be around 188 but it's hard to say it won't go over 192.5 so there's no play for me.
As a general fact, I think in NBA total lines are much sharper than in NCAAB and that's the reason we can find more good plays in NCAAB games rather than in NBA games.
I use this system here I will show with this game give me a minute |
Rich, we will have DAY games tomorrow starting at NOON ET with the Colonial Conference Tourney along with games a little later from the Missouri Valley, Southern Conference, Metro Atlantic, Horizon League, Ohio Valley, and West Coast Conference Tourneys... 
I don't know about you, but I'm staying the fuck away from Illinois. 1st and 2nd half. Maybe its because my team, but when I bet them, they screw me. I was on the first half OVER the game where they had 33 points combined with Penn St at halftime. And I trailed you excap on that Saturday Mich St/Illinois under. Because I was on the under, Illinois all of a sudden quit playing defense and learned how to score. Best of luck tonite my friend!
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