CBB Friday, 27-18 ATS

NEB +15

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=season+%3E+2015+and+HF+and+rank%3C14+and+o%3Aats+streak+%3C+-1+and+day%21%3D+Thursday+and+day+%21%3D+Sunday+and+o%3Awins%3C15+and+o%3Awins%3E7+and+month%3D1+and+line%3C-5&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Yale +2

Nova PK

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=season%3E2015+and+H+and+rank+%3D+None+and+day+%3D+Friday+and+o%3Aats+streak%3C+-1+and+line%3E-13+and+month%3C4+and+line%3E-3+and+line%3C2&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

GL Brotha! 

OHIO U +3 

look Kent St is a cover machine but this is a terrible line for them.  Ohio has only a little bit of difficulty handling them at home and this is the most points Ke St has ever laid at OHU!  

why is this the highest line because ke st is on fire.  

why do I like the home team and points? Because OHU is a top notch home team. 

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DOHU++and+season%3E2010+and+H&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

OHU at home is 143-43 and can and will solve red hot Kest 

Ohio U as a home dog since 2014 

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DOHU++and+season%3E2014+and+HD+&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Plays:

Neb +15

Nova pk 

Yale+2

Ohio U +3

27-18 is 60% Today I will add to get above 60 %

Ohio U as a home dog? 7-2 no point and 8-1 with points as long as the line is less than 7 points 

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DOHU++and+season%3E2014+and+HD+and+line%3C7&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Yale +2 at Cornell

Cornell covering machine this season but have ever been a favorite against Yale.  Yale is elite within conference play. 

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DYALE++and+o%3Ateam%3DCOR++and+A+and+season%3E2011&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Yale in conference play 89-26 SU and 66-46 ATS :

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team%3DYALE++and+C+and+season%3E2011+and+line%3C3&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

Great info on OU thank you 

lastly home dog ohio is 36-5 last 41 home games

https://killersports.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=team+%3D+OHU+and+H+and+date%3E20200201&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

@spottie2935

I’d stay clear of Yale…lost their top two scorers from last year and are already showing kinks in the armor this year.  Losing to Columbia and Dartmouth (bottom feeders) in IVY play last week.  Cornell is the more balanced team and they’re not playing bad.  I honestly think this line is based on last years play.  Just my opinion.  BOL! 

bol 

Like the plays 

1 to 10 scale how confident are you in yale +2 ?  Looking to make a big bet on Yale, I see  Covers percentage have 75% on cornel and 25% on Yale.  

@spottie2935

Since I sent my Cornell comment, the line went from Cornell - 1.5 to Yale - 1.5…

Can you put the Nebraska one into english?

I am confused it mentions Sunday and Thursday but it is Friday

I am all over Cornell. 

Yale may get me but  I will stick to my plan.  

Best wishes youre killing it

Yale has lost 3 ATS covers and in those games the books have made those lines:

-14.5 to Columbia lost the game

-16.5 to Dart lost the game 

-7 to Harvard won but didnt cover only scoring 58 points.

Now after all these points they are an away dog and no one bets them.  I am riding my data.  The consensus isn't a concern. 

season > 2015 and HF and rank<14 and o:ats streak<-1 and day!= Thursday and day != Sunday and o:wins<15 and o:wins>7 and month=1 and line<-5

! exclamation point means not !  ex:

Day of game not Thursday and day of game not Sunday.

My data loves to fade ranked teams in January because their is still time for these ranked teams to lose.  By March these losses add up and the rankings are more clear.  That doesn't mean I am predicting Neb +15 to win, but the data is saying its not a good spot or a top ranked team.  Why do they play on Fridays ?  They do terribly ATS. Maybe since its such a rarity it might mess up their schedules.  Hard to really understand it, but it works. 

In this case the data for teams ranked 1 thru 13 are 6-24 ATS

If I move this to the top 5 ranked teams its 5-8 ATS since 2013.

I didnt filter it this tight because the less games the more volatile the outcome. 

I filtered this further to benefit the dog here.  Again the data is so limited its much more volatile. 

A lot of other people that trust the SDQL rely on hundreds of results so I am even way off of those guys.  

My ways are trying to balance a shorter list with about 65%-70% winning results.  The others are betting 100's of data results with a win % from 55% to 60%.

I made a few mistakes so far taking the higher consensus dogs.  Going forward I should eliminate these games.