Chase systems , fluke or not?

System 1 Florida Atlantic (A)

Hey JTH - System looks good man - Question:  You may have answered this and forgive me if I missed it, but do you have your percentage WIN/LOSS for each system category A,B,C,D,E, etc.  not each system, but each letter category?  Thanks bro and hope to research and tail some of your picks!

Great job with this system Hat, I know that I have asked you this twice and maybe I am not being clear on the question. I fully understand the system with the exception of how you are choosing which games to play within the system. Are they just games that you feel look good or what criteria are you using to select those game? That question was not answered in post #52. Sorry to be a bother. You know the saying, "Give a man a fish, feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish, feed him for a lifetime.

Hat,

I may have just had an ahh haa moment. You are literally playing the first and last games listed on the betting card for the day? So what you are saying is it doesn't matter which game you play, you just play the first half dog, if that loses play the same team second half. If that loses you start the same play again the next day, just doubling your bet each time. So if Bryant isn't on my card I can substitute with any other game, just following the system?

Hat

You probably answered this already but you start by betting 1st half not the whole game right?

FYI: Your units have to be tiny unless you have a huge roll.  5 chases looks like this
1.1 to win 1 LOSS thus down 1.1 so
2.2 to win 1 LOSS thus down 3.3 so
4.4 to win 1 LOSS thus down 7.7 so
8.8 to win 1 LOSS thus down 16.5 so
17.6 to win 1 LOSS thus down 34.1

Units are approx but you get the idea.  You must have 35 successful chases for every loss.  Thus 35-1 is a 1 unit gain.

2 losses before you get to 70 wins loses you most of your roll.

And, realistically, it is very tough to blindly play a 17.6 unit play.

I wish you nothing but the best of luck.

System 1 wins on the (A) game with Florida Atlantic

System 2 wins on the (B) game with Bryant

Thx jeff been tailing

with all due respect to jeffthehat i would like to make some comments and observations about his chase system. first of all this is not a handicapping system but rather a mathematical system. if one assumes that the posted pointspread renders the outcome to be a 50-50 proposition then this system is akin to flipping a coin. the odds of anyone picking 5 winners in a row (or 5 losers in a row) is two to the 5th power or 32-1. just like 5 heads in a row or five tails in a row on a coin toss. same goes for jeff's basketball wagers or any other sport given the 50-50 outcome assumption. so essentially you are gambling against the 32-1 shot smacking you in the face and costing you 39.85 units. i am certainly not knocking this "system" by any means just calling it for what it is. there is nothing proprietary or special about his "system". it involves zero handicapping. let me repeat that. it involves zero handicapping. anyone can devise their own chase and keep doubling up until they win and profit one unit. good luck jeffthehat and good luck all.

System 1 

Breakdown for the coin flip System!

Coin flip 2

Hat or to whom it may concern:  

@jeffthehat, please dont take my post the wrong way. i am not being critical of your chase system. i wish you and your followers nothing but the best of luck and success. i was merely trying to highlight the randomness of it. what could be more random than the first game and the last game. i also am not claiming that handicapping is a superior method versus a mathemtical chase approach to betting. i am a fan in general of system based approaches because they take the emotion out of the decision making process. the less emotional a player's choices are the better as far as i'm concerned.i totally agree with your assertion that the overwhelming majority of players lose although i am not sure that percentage is as high as you suggest at 95%. as for your rhetorical question above about the odds being 81% on the first two levels, one would mathematically expect those odds to be 75% over many trials. there are four possible outcomes of which 3 are positive and only one is negative. those are 1: W W 2: W L 3: L W 4: L L. so your system so far is slightly ahead based on expectation. my final point is that essentially your system's profitability is based on its ability to avoid losing 5 consecutive wagers which mathematics would argue will occur once every 33 trials. i wish you luck in avoiding that inevitable land mine. i hope you and all your followers do well and profit handsomely.

Another piece of cake, never in doubt, no brainer of a ridiculous miracle on a 3 pointer at the buzzer winner for System 1 on the (B) game. 

Saturday's play is 

System 2 

Another winner with Richmond 2nd half (B) 

sent you a pm

no i didn't. thanks is all