12/7 Results: Memphis put up 73 shots, wow. The away team in the Georgia/Georgia Tech series finally won a game. Dayton is good, I don’t get their losses and close games. They go to Old Dominion on Saturday, could be a statement game where they finally put it all together. Old Dominion’s defense wore down ECU in the 2H as expected. Northwestern State beat Louisiana Tech last night, with a combined 102 points in the 2H. Northern Iowa shot 27%. Michigan State continues to struggle against lengthy teams as their three losses come to them, if you’re an Illinois, you’re taking notes. Fresno State took some really awful shots as expected, and Greg Smith won the game for them. I noted that as the only concern. San Diego shot a better percentage from the floor, from the three point line, and from the free throw line, along with having the same amount of turnovers. Game was won in the paint, and San Diego didn’t show up. Loyola Marymount wins their second game of close to 20 of a four game home stand. Texas A&M plays tonight, thought it was last night.
Sides: 21-11, +12.20
Totals: 7-4, +2.50
DNP: 16-14
12/8 Notes: Rhode Island has beat Davidson, Drexel, Toledo, Charlotte, and Brown. Northeastern has lost four straight and has played a top 40 strength of schedule this year. Northeastern has revenge, and these teams are pound for pound mirror images of each other matchup wise despite playing different styles of play. Seton Hall has had close to a week to prepare for tonight’s game at Arkansas. Tyler Zellar returns to Indiana where he played high school. Towson plays an extremely fast past pace. I alluded to George Washington getting up close to an average of 60 shots a game this year, and being at home will help the points come in. George Washington’s schedule has been extremely slow in terms of tempo: Boston (#244), Marist (#153), Nevada (#104 but dropping drastically lately), Hampton (#276), UNC Wilmington (#211), George Mason (#271), and Navy (#13). The Navy game being low scoring concerns me, but not enough to take the over here. I value Detroit better than Loyola CHI in the horizon, so I guess if Loyola can come in and put a whipping on WMU, Detroit can too. However, I can’t expect Detroit to shoot as good as Loyola did in that game. Bowling Green has a pretty decent and experienced backcourt, but they have no interior presence which actually helps WKU here b/c their weakness is their big-man defense. Bowling Green plays an awkward 2-3 zone based on man-to-man principles, so WKU will be able to run their normal stuff and not get away from the usual. WKU’s played a pretty tough schedule, and it should reap the rewards here. Still, both teams have lost a combined 10 straight games, not really a situation I want to be a part of. Definitely some value on Ohio in terms of experience and talent, as both of those intangibles trump ISU. Drake and Eastern Michigan, wow, go look at their combined wins. Wisconsin should be able to eat Wisconsin MKE alive in the paint as MKE is very inexperienced down low. Would probably take a look at the under there due to the extra seconds it takes to work the ball into the paint. I have frowned upon Oklahoma State all year and gone against them a few times, but this could be the spot to play on them with pretty big revenge off their worst loss of the season last year. I don’t really like the fact that they’re coming off a OT game and again on the road, but they match up decent here. Tulsa has been pretty good at home, but this game is being played at the BOK Center. If I ever in my wildest dreams thought about betting some extremely high chalk, it would occur with Duke tonight. Vanderbilt has played a tougher schedule, but they go on the road for the first time and will have to face Missouri’s pressure on top of that. Vandy shoots the three well, and Missouri defends it horribly. Vandy’s strength is inside/out, and I would think Missouri’s pressure and forcing the game up and down would negate some of that inside presence Vandy brings to the game.
Still a few more games I need to get to.
Bets
Towson/George Washington Over 139.5 (2 Units)
DNP: Northeastern +1, Oklahoma State PK
GL