December Hoops

Season-to-Date: +$80.83
ATS: 22-16 -$15.34
ML: 1-2 -$4.80
Parlays: +$100.47

Played these below which include 3 road favs....on a Friday night no less. 

Houston -8.5 -105 (I don't think Xavier can match up even if they are at their best.)

St. Johns -5.5 -110 (The only two teams to beat the Johnnies this year can shoot...Neers not so much.)

Canisius -3.5 -110 (Canisius won at home over Quinn last year by 20 and this line has value.)

Iowa State -13.5 -118 (Clones are #1 in the country in defensive turnover margin and steals and the only team DePaul won ATS this year ranked ~#250 in those cats. Clones should be focused to take care of business coming off two losses.)

Boise State +3.5 -110 (St. Mary's has played like dog shit so far this season. While Boise has not set the court on fire either gimme the home dog on a Friday night in this situation.) 

$10 on each above.

Also played a 4 & 5 teamer RR with all above.

Risked $12 ($2 per Parlay) to Win $169.94

@JROCK1966

JROCK.......

Season-to-Date: +119.78
ATS: 26-17 +$10.40
ML: 1-2 -$4.80
Parlays: +$114.18

Played these so far today....

IUPUI +10.5 -120 & +420 ML: KP has NKy a -6 winner but line is -10.5 so there is value for the home team and last I checked public consensus is well in favor of the fav.  Horn coached NKy's teams are 2-6-1 in road games coming off a home win, 1-3 ATS coming off two home wins in a row, and 0-1 coming off 3 home wins in a row. Stock is currently high for the Norse so I'm selling. Placed a small $2 on the ML as well hopefully to get rid of the final (-) in my posted season record. I won't be shocked if IUPUI wins this one outright.  

Georgia State +1.5 -102: Panthers did not win a road game all year last season and that included 5 losses @ teams ranked >200 by KP. This season, they have already won two road games @ foes who ranked >200 and also came darn close to pulling off an upset win @ #147 ranked Belmont. They won in OT at Little Rock despite giving up 18 turnovers offensively. Now Kenn State does rank higher than LR in forcing TO's but they are a worse shooting team than LR...so I'm not sure Kenn St. can do anything with the TO's they create...certainly not as well as LR. KP has them winning this one by a point but line opened at -2.5 for the home team. Currently consensus sits at >70% for home team as well. Georgia State has had all week to prepare for this game (Kenn State as well) but GS has a non-D1 opponent coming up on Monday so there is no look-ahead for them. Methinks they'll be ready so I see some value today with the Panthers.

Princeton -6.5 -120: I'm not seeing anything in my research that indicates this is not a DD win for the home team.

Risked $15 on all ATS plays above.

Also played a 2 & 3-teamer RR with all above.

Risked $10 ($2.50 on each) to Win $33.21

Maybe more later...

Kentucky -18.5 -110: I have a 1-4 posted record in picking the winner ATS in Kentucky games. Being a Ky fan that I am, one might think my record would be a bit better however my fandom has most certainly clouded my judgement at times this season.....so tread lightly if you are here reading this. Let's just try and be real. 2 main points (on my mind) that I need to answer going into today's game vs. UNCW is 1) Will there be a letdown from my Cats today after that ass-whooping they put on the Canes last week? Cal has been on record saying the he "does not have to coach effort with this team." I'm just going to take him at his word and assume there will be no letdown today. And 2) in games where Ky has been favored, the teams that covered made double-digit 3-point shots. In games where teams did not cover ATS against the Cats, they had less than ten 3-pointers made. So far this season, UNCW has yet to reach ten 3-point shots made in any road or neutral game. That's it. I'm done capping my Cats game today and I will be laying $15.00 on my Cats to cover ATS. 

San Jose State +3.5 -106: The only D1 home win for Montana this season was due to being the beneficiary of 19 offensive turnovers from UC-Davis. That's not gonna happen today and SJSt is markedly better both defensively and offensively than the Grizzlies. SJSt is coming off a inexplicable OT loss to Cal-Poly and a major issue in that game was foul trouble. Cal-Poly had a huge advantage from the charity stripe in their win. I'm not up to speed on how referees are rotated to these games but I'm thinking we see a different set of refs in Missoula than they saw in SLO. KP has SJSt winning by 1 but line is -3.5 for Montana so there is some line value for the dog and consensus is heavy in favor of the home team. I'll take my chances with the Spartans.

Risked $15

Lookin' like Georgia State is a dud. 

IPFW +4.5 -104: Greg Kampfe's Oakland squads are 0-3 SU and 0-3 ATS as a home fav coming off of 2 straight road wins. Risked $15.00

Also played a 3 & 4 teamer RR with my Princeton, Kentucky, San Jose State, & IPFW pics. 

Risked $12 ($2 per parlay) to Win $72.55

ouch....getting my arse kicked today.

Alright mudda-fuckas....if you can't beat 'em join 'em. Here is 6 plays where the difference between the KP line and Vegas line (Fanduel) is 3.5 pts or greater. i.e. the linesmakers think the team losing line value will win ATS.

Idaho -4.5 -106

Vandy -19.5 -110

Charleston +13.5 -102

FIU -15.5 -112

Marshall -10.5 -120

Milwaukee -2.5 -110

$5 on each.

Also did a 4, 5, & 6 teamer RR

Risked $44 ($2 per Parlay) to Win $803.26

Had to search around for Northeastern finally found them offered @ betonline No where is 1st half offered so played:

Ball State +790

Northeastern +900

Dayton +180

2 & 3 teamer RR

Risked $50 ($12.50 per Parlay) $4,841.48. 

BOLTA!

For today a 3, 4, & 5-teamer RR with:

Huskers +152

UTSA +400

Louisiana +240

Seattle +146

Rainbows +104

Risked $20.69 (or about $1.29 per Parlay) to Win $1,110.69

BOLTA!!

damnit....two tuff losses today. UTSA loses in the final minute and La. blew a 10pt 2nd half lead...coupled with NE just barely missing on a +900 dog yesterday. Thru it all the teams I posted yesterday and today covered ATS so I guess I'll go back to playing the spread. Winning these MLs is just a tough row to hoe.

Adding:
Seattle +4.5 -110
Hawaii +1.5 -108
Risked $10 each.

2-teamer with both.
Risked $5 to win $13.38

Gotta long way to go to dig out of this hole but there is some time left this month....

BOLTA!

I like Seattle U myself, but haven't pulled the trigger.  If i do i'm taking the 4.5 points 

Feels like a game where afterwards, Huskies bettors will be saying to themselves "They just beat Gonzaga, how did they lose to Seattle??" 

BOL tonight

For tonight I played:

Oakland +16.5 -110

TN-Martin +6.5 -102

UT-Rio +3.5 -115

$10 on each.

Added a 3-teamer with above as well.

$5 to win $30.34

BOLTA!

For tonight I played two 2 & 3 teamer RRs with:

Niagara +188

Morehead St. 1st Half +360

Montana +102

Risked $12.50 (~$3 something ea. Parlay) to Win $166.23

Niagara +188

Morehead St. +640

Montana +102

Risked $12.50 (~$3 something ea. Parlay) to Win $264.41

BOLTA!

 Tailed this one. GL

@NyJetropolitan

Did Morehead State eff us right in the arse last night or what?

Played a 3, 4, & 5-teamer RR with:

Risked $16 ($1 per Parlay) to Win $739.33

BOLTA! 

Going with all home doggies to start my day....3, 4, & 5 teamer RR with:

Boston +146

Miami (OH) +188

Milwaukee +125

R. Morris +280

UAB +140

Risked $16 ($1 per Parlay) to Win $605.98

BOLTA!

Played a 5 & 6-teamer RR with:

Idaho State -125

Eastern Washington -155

Sac. State +3

USC +2.5

UC-Riverside +12.5

Central Ark. +31.5

Risked $8 (~$1 per Parlay) to Win $190.64

BOLTA!

Let's see if I can't turn this around soon...

Season-to-Date: -$25.99
ATS: 29-31 -$101.39
ML: 1-3 -$19.80
Parlays: -$24.58

Season-to-Date: -$145.77
ATS: 29-31 -$101.39
ML: 1-3 -$19.80
Parlays: -$24.58

Season-to-Date: -$153.77
ATS: 29-31 -$101.39
ML: 1-3 -$19.80
Parlays: -$32.58

Mostly watching Foots today Go Big Blue! but for some early afternoon action I played a 3 & 4-teamer RR with:

IUPUI +2.5

Green Bay +7.5

Elon -3.5

Rider +14.5

Risked $8 ($1.60 per Parlay) to Win $54.29

BOLTA!