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Degens System Plays:::: Saturday

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Posted: #1
Cincinnati +6.5. Memphis stands out offensively to me only Cincinnati allowing 56.5 pts a game ranked 5th in the country defensively. Like the under also haven't seen a total but I'm Pretty sure system has the under.
Will have more plays later in the day.
Updated System Record: 25-12 67% ATS.
 
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Posted: #2
Hey Degen, what does your system predict the total score to be? Mine would be ~135
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by Bjf67yg:

Cincinnati got blown in both of their 2 true road games this year. #3 today,
Im well aware of the games they played on the road my play is still the same follow or fade at your choosing . 133 @j1 
 
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Posted: #4
Pretty similar totals...Under should be the play
 
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Posted: #5
Cal Poly Slo +8.5 FAT NASTY EXTRA JUICY GREASY FAT NASTY LARGE. Numbers off the charts double checked triple checked Cal Poly Slo Wins SU I think.
 
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Posted: #6
which pick are you most confident in?

BOL!
 
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Posted: #7
Numbers wise Cal Poly Slo is my most confident granted I should have 5-7 more plays tomorrow as far as my system I would rate it a 8-9 with 1 being barely making it and 10 being 95% sure a game would cover.
 
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Posted: #8

Can you please tell me what factors into your "system;"  people ask me what my system is all the time and I have no idea what they are talking about!?

Is it a Computer program or something, because I hear that word all the time, and people cant believe I just use my brain?

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

Numbers wise Cal Poly Slo is my most confident granted I should have 5-7 more plays tomorrow as far as my system I would rate it a 8-9 with 1 being barely making it and 10 being 95% sure a game would cover.
 

Big edge to Del on Off and Big Edgfe on D to Cal Poly .. You must be looking at D stats ??? 

Nice start to the season .. good work .. good luck
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by Capper007:

Can you please tell me what factors into your "system;"  people ask me what my system is all the time and I have no idea what they are talking about!?

Is it a Computer program or something, because I hear that word all the time, and people cant believe I just use my brain?

Look up AOPR system that is the foundation then look up some articles on what is research theres some very good ones on sbr under handicapper think tanks I use a computer program yes written in java I input both teams names and it scrapes multiple different factors basically grabs 15 or so statistics from each teams and using them in a formula I modified gives me a predicted score for both teams. 
 
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Posted: #11
Good luck today DeGen...
 
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Posted: #12

I think Cinnci will lose by 4, so I think they will cover, but a road team not getting very many points to a good Memphis team, I think if you wait you can maybe get it at -8!?

Free throws at the end.. blown cover, the game is a pass for me, but I hope you hit!!!

 
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Posted: #13
Im just conflicted on Memphis not sold on them the Cal Poly SLO play that has my head spinning its my strongest play by far In awhile by the numbers last few games with numbers like this hit its just one of those situations where I honestly feel like I am not seeing something important that vegas is seeing one team has a horrible offense great defense other has a great offense horrible defense. And Cal has played a fairly significantly harder schedule I don't see why Delaware is favored by more than 2.
 
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Posted: #14
Clemson -2.5 
Michigan State -2.5 - Fat Nasty Large #1 Play 
Detroit -2.5
San Diego +12.5
Georgia Tech +8.5
Syracuse -14.5
UCONN ML
Cincinnati +6.5
Cal Poly SLO +8.5 Fat Nasty Large #2 Play
This took me awhile biggest card I've posted on a saturday this is 9 games should be enough for people asking for plays tail or fade have fun doing it either way BOL gents.
 
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Posted: #15
What is the median points scored used in your system?
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

Clemson -2.5 
Michigan State -2.5 - Fat Nasty Large #1 Play 
Detroit -2.5
San Diego +12.5
Georgia Tech +8.5
Syracuse -14.5
UCONN ML
Cincinnati +6.5
Cal Poly SLO +8.5 Fat Nasty Large #2 Play
This took me awhile biggest card I've posted on a saturday this is 9 games should be enough for people asking for plays tail or fade have fun doing it either way BOL gents.


Degen,

Have you cross checked with 'Stevo' system too? It will good if both system agree. Fat Fat Fat loot.

Thanks
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by lousyjets:



Degen,

Have you cross checked with 'Stevo' system too? It will good if both system agree. Fat Fat Fat loot.

Thanks
Your welcome too my plays are there and stevos are in his thread. I havent looked at it yet.
 
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Posted: #18
Adding Niagara +12.5 also fat nasty large. 10 plays on the day thats like 7-8 more than I like to play in a day but oh well hopefully its a profitable one posting Niagara I have it as an extremely weak cover but there at that 5-0 ats to go to 6-0 which is like 80% so gonna play it based on stevos thread.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

Im just conflicted on Memphis not sold on them the Cal Poly SLO play that has my head spinning its my strongest play by far In awhile by the numbers last few games with numbers like this hit its just one of those situations where I honestly feel like I am not seeing something important that vegas is seeing one team has a horrible offense great defense other has a great offense horrible defense. And Cal has played a fairly significantly harder schedule I don't see why Delaware is favored by more than 2.
Agreed...the only thing I might offer is we have a west coast team playing on the east coast and an early tip (by west coast standards)...sometimes in this situation, the west coast team is not awake until its too late. But Cal Poly should be the play statistically speaking. 
 
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Posted: #20
If time permits, can you cross-check UCF -3 over Temple for me? My system has them as a play today....
 
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Posted: #21
Still feel like im missing something wish my predicted total would of been under for memphis in the 37 past games in system my totals have only been predicted to go under 10 times obviously something is up went back and looked all 10 times it was predicted to go under it went under 10-0 when system picks an under but I just posted 10 plays and system has every game over the total cant figure that shitt out.
 
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Posted: #22
wow great stuff D best of luck

 
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Posted: #23
Yeah JROCK missed that post will do right now
 
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Posted: #24
Like ucf here more of a play against temple...no depth for temple
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Degen4Ever:

Cal Poly Slo +8.5 FAT NASTY EXTRA JUICY GREASY FAT NASTY LARGE. Numbers off the charts double checked triple checked Cal Poly Slo Wins SU I think.
love it! 8 pt dogs on saturday!!!
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