Favorites 1H Cover Trend 2016-2017

Question

Was watching some games with a buddy last night and we got to talking about a trend I feel like I see a decent amount. Heavily favorited teams (70%+ action), especially if it seems like a "trap bet," covering the 1H line.

Made a 1 unit bet on Tennessee 1H -1 and WVU 1H -1.5, both covered (nail biters I will say though). May continue to track this trend with a few games a day. Feel free to chime in post if this trend is winning or losing.

Best of luck!

ct4242 · Answer

Was watching some games with a buddy last night and we got to talking about a trend I feel like I see a decent amount. Heavily favorited teams (70%+ action), especially if it seems like a "trap bet," covering the 1H line.

Made a 1 unit bet on Tennessee 1H -1 and WVU 1H -1.5, both covered (nail biters I will say though). May continue to track this trend with a few games a day. Feel free to chime in post if this trend is winning or losing.

Best of luck!

ct4242 · Answer

This could end pitifully, but since we are already up two units I am just going to see what happens.

YTD NCAAB Record 2-1

YTD Trend Record 2-0

Today's System Picks:

CBB [1517] 1H VILLANOVA -1-110 - 1U

CBB [1519] 1H MIAMI FLORIDA -1-115 - 1U

Let's see what happens! BOL to all

magiccarpetride · Answer

Creighton at 71%Evansville at 74%Loyola Chicago at 70%Georgia Tech at 71%Villanova at 71% (you already listed that one)Why not bet on all the above teams for the first half?          They follow your system.

ct4242 · Answer

I wouldn&#x27;t quite call this "my system" yet haha. Your guess is as good as mine as to if this will yield any results.I am glad you mentioned these games and I will be tracking them to see if there is anything here. I have nova at 89% and Miami at 85%, those were the highest I found and the most "trap bet" type lines I saw. Recognizable public names and lower lines. If this system starts throwing good results our way I may jump on board a few more games! BOL magiccarpetride

ct4242 · Answer

Come to think of it, I think waiting till closer to tip off would give better insight into where the action is going. Still like these two games though so lets see what happens!

magiccarpetride · Answer

OK. I&#x27;m with you.  I&#x27;ll check an hour before the game and see if numbers have changed.Good luck to both of us.  Will follow you.  Think this could happen.

ct4242 · Answer

I may add a few more closer to tip off depending on where the lines are at. May be smart not get to crazy at first here though.

Hopefully something happens. I am excited to see how this plays out! Making the work day go by very slowly

ct4242 · Answer

Nova is going to come down to the wire, like the first two plays. Lets get this cash!!

After seeing the line movement on the miami game I would have probably refrained from making that bet. But, it's already in so pulling for the U!

ct4242 · Answer

Villanova covers in another close one. System YTD 3-0Lets go Miami!!

monkeymark5 · Answer

I&#x27;ve been doing this for awhile this season.  Been a lot better than full game

ct4242 · Answer

System YTD 3-1Miami, with zero ability to take the ball to the basket, will lose this 1st half bet. Not a bad start though. Will keep looking for this trend and post when I see a good game. BOL all

monkeymark5 · Answer

Baylor will cover

monkeymark5 · Answer

Ok st first half too

ct4242 · Answer

None of those teams followed the 70-75%&#x2B; action trend that I am trying to follow. Oklahoma state closed at 69%, had I seen it I may have dropped a half unit on it (also my alma matter;) but didnt catch it. BOL on your plays Mark!

ct4242 · Answer

Looking at the Nevada / San Diego State game for later. Will monitor line movement and see if I like it closer to game time

monkeymark5 · Answer

Push in those 2.

HitikoriSB · Answer

I had Baylor today with SMU and Houston.  Baylor didn&#x27;t cover man. Thinking about making the ticket again with SMU and Houston

ct4242 · Answer

NCAAB YTD Record: 3-3Trend Record: 2-1Evening Trend Pick: Nevada 1H -1 (1U) Optional lean that I like is the above pick with the 1H over. Not an official play though. GL tonight

magiccarpetride · Answer

So the teams that I followed and met the criteria of 70% or better consensus are the following: Came out ahead tonight with 3 out of 5. Miami did not have over 70% consensus. I will conitnue this system tomorrow. (Only with teams that have 70% or better on consensu) Good luck guys.

Villanova

Creighton

Evansville

Loyola Chicago

Georgia Tech

ct4242 · Answer

Magic! Thanks for helping me track. Nevada is currently at 82% so we will see what happens in that game GL!

ct4242 · Answer

NCAAB YTD Record: 5-3Trend Record: 4-1Nevada covers and the Nevada over parlay hit! Good night to me. Excited to see if this goes anywhere this season

ct4242 · Answer

Updated record. The above mentioned parlay does not count as a trend bet

NCAAB YTD Record: 5-4 (+2.8 units)

Trend Record: 3-1 (+2 units)

Algo Record: 0-2 (-.5 units)

Standard Plays: 1-1

Parlays: 1-0 (+1.3 units)

ct4242 · Answer

Third times the charm: This record is accurate (it was late last night).

NCAAB YTD Record: 6-4 (+3.8 units)

Trend Record: 4-1 (+3 units)

Algo Record: 0-2 (-.5 units)

Standard Plays: 1-1

Parlays: 1-0 (+1.3 units)

LOTS of picks that follow this trend. Two days is a small sample size, but I am going to follow the trend to the grave today. Picks will be within an hour of game time. GL tonight covers!!

ct4242 · Answer

1/5/17 Pick 1: CBB [1718] 1H MEMPHIS -4-105 (1U)

ct4242 · Answer

1/7/16 pick 2: CBB [1722] 1H NORTHEASTERN -6&#xBD;-115 (1U)

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