So an 8-0 (+12 Unit) day yesterday wasn't so bad, right? Including 5-0 (+9 Units) on POD's. Haven't updated my 2015 record in a while so I just finished adding things up and will put it on here. Picks for today to come shortly. BOL as always.
21-24-1 ATS (-6.3)
9-8 ML Parlays (+7.04)
1-2 MLs (-1.25)
6-5 Teasers (+2.5)
6-3 O/U's (+4.6)
15-5 TT's (+14.4)
58-47-1 All Picks (+20.99 Units)
POD's -- 11-6 (+10.2 Units) *** included in totals above
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
So an 8-0 (+12 Unit) day yesterday wasn't so bad, right? Including 5-0 (+9 Units) on POD's. Haven't updated my 2015 record in a while so I just finished adding things up and will put it on here. Picks for today to come shortly. BOL as always.
21-24-1 ATS (-6.3)
9-8 ML Parlays (+7.04)
1-2 MLs (-1.25)
6-5 Teasers (+2.5)
6-3 O/U's (+4.6)
15-5 TT's (+14.4)
58-47-1 All Picks (+20.99 Units)
POD's -- 11-6 (+10.2 Units) *** included in totals above
I know I hit a major cold streak in ATS picks and haven't done any in awhile but I'm having a hard time not jumping on Fordham right now. They've drastically improved lately. Their last 3 home games were a 1 point loss to a good Rhode Island squad, a 6 point loss to a good UMass team and then an 18 point stomping of the Billikens to get their first A10 victory. Their last game was at Richmond and they missed a shot at the buzzer to force OT and ultimately lost by 2. Definitely better efforts than they were putting in at the beginning of the year that's for sure. Now St. Joe's comes to town. These two faced earlier in the year @ St. Joe's (when Fordham was playing bad ball) and although St. Joe's won by 11 it was actually a 2 point game with about 3 minutes to go so they were right there with them the whole game.
I think this is a perfect spot to fade St. Joe's. They're coming off a huge home win vs. Rhode Island and their next game is a road matchup at Dayton, the conference leader. Letdown game from their last win? Look ahead to a bigger matchup? Pick a reason. Give me the hungrier team at home in the revenge game every time. Oh, did I mention St. Joe's is 0-5 SU in A10 road games....
1.1 Unit -----> 1 Unit
Fordham +2
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I know I hit a major cold streak in ATS picks and haven't done any in awhile but I'm having a hard time not jumping on Fordham right now. They've drastically improved lately. Their last 3 home games were a 1 point loss to a good Rhode Island squad, a 6 point loss to a good UMass team and then an 18 point stomping of the Billikens to get their first A10 victory. Their last game was at Richmond and they missed a shot at the buzzer to force OT and ultimately lost by 2. Definitely better efforts than they were putting in at the beginning of the year that's for sure. Now St. Joe's comes to town. These two faced earlier in the year @ St. Joe's (when Fordham was playing bad ball) and although St. Joe's won by 11 it was actually a 2 point game with about 3 minutes to go so they were right there with them the whole game.
I think this is a perfect spot to fade St. Joe's. They're coming off a huge home win vs. Rhode Island and their next game is a road matchup at Dayton, the conference leader. Letdown game from their last win? Look ahead to a bigger matchup? Pick a reason. Give me the hungrier team at home in the revenge game every time. Oh, did I mention St. Joe's is 0-5 SU in A10 road games....
Iowa is averaging 68.8 PPG on the year, 66.6 PPG in Big 10 games and identically 66.6 PPG in Big 10 road games.
Northwestern defensively is giving up 63.8 PPG on the season, 67.5 PPG in Big 10 games, and 71.6 PPG in Big 10 home games.
Iowa's scoring stays pretty consistent whether they are at home or on the road in Big 10 play thus far. I would hope they're a little bit fired up from that home loss that Minnesota just handed them and come out on a mission. Now its not necessarily Iowa's scoring that makes me love this line. Although they have scored 70+ in 3 of their 5 conference road games. This play is really all about Northwestern's defense for me. NW is on a 10-game losing streak in Big 10 games. In 8 of those 10 games they have given up 68 points or more. Five of those games were at home. They surrendered 68 or more in ALL 5 of them. Northwestern has done nothing to show me that they can stop anybody in the conference. Strictly a play on fading them and assuming Iowa can score with relative ease.
1.1 Units ----> 1 Unit
Iowa TT Over 66.5
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POD #1
Iowa is averaging 68.8 PPG on the year, 66.6 PPG in Big 10 games and identically 66.6 PPG in Big 10 road games.
Northwestern defensively is giving up 63.8 PPG on the season, 67.5 PPG in Big 10 games, and 71.6 PPG in Big 10 home games.
Iowa's scoring stays pretty consistent whether they are at home or on the road in Big 10 play thus far. I would hope they're a little bit fired up from that home loss that Minnesota just handed them and come out on a mission. Now its not necessarily Iowa's scoring that makes me love this line. Although they have scored 70+ in 3 of their 5 conference road games. This play is really all about Northwestern's defense for me. NW is on a 10-game losing streak in Big 10 games. In 8 of those 10 games they have given up 68 points or more. Five of those games were at home. They surrendered 68 or more in ALL 5 of them. Northwestern has done nothing to show me that they can stop anybody in the conference. Strictly a play on fading them and assuming Iowa can score with relative ease.
Numbers show that there should be a really great play on Northern Iowa TT Under 62. Unfortunately, Missouri State has 2 questionable players that both missed their last game and they had to play with only 7 active players. If I or anyone can find out if the team will have these 2 back I will be making a play on that under. If I don't hear any updates I will stay far, far away.
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Numbers show that there should be a really great play on Northern Iowa TT Under 62. Unfortunately, Missouri State has 2 questionable players that both missed their last game and they had to play with only 7 active players. If I or anyone can find out if the team will have these 2 back I will be making a play on that under. If I don't hear any updates I will stay far, far away.
Minnesota is averaging 74.8 PPG this season and just 59 PPG in Big 10 road games. Defensively they give up 64.6 PPG on the year and 63 PPG in Big 10 road games.
Indiana is averaging 79.2 PPG on the year and 75.2 PPG in Big 10 home games. Defensively they give up 72.4 PPG for the season and 68 PPG in Big 10 home games.
I know Indiana can score but everything to me is pointing at an under here with an extremely high line. In 5 home Big 10 games this season Indiana has scored more than 76 points (their TT for this game) onl1 time. In 6 Big 10 road games Minnesota has NEVER scored 73 points (their TT), in fact they've never broken 68. Defensively Minnesota has not given up more than 72 points in ANY road Big 10 game this year. Indiana has not given up more than 73 points in ANY home Big 10 game this year. This looks too easy by the numbers but I'm rolling with it.
Minnesota Offense on Road : 0/6 games over 68 points
Minnesota Defense on Road: 0/6 games over 72 points against
Indiana Offense at Home: 1/5 games over 76 points
Indiana Defense at Home: 0/5 games over 73 points against
2.2 Units ---> 2 Units
Minnesota / Indiana Under 149
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POD 2
Minnesota is averaging 74.8 PPG this season and just 59 PPG in Big 10 road games. Defensively they give up 64.6 PPG on the year and 63 PPG in Big 10 road games.
Indiana is averaging 79.2 PPG on the year and 75.2 PPG in Big 10 home games. Defensively they give up 72.4 PPG for the season and 68 PPG in Big 10 home games.
I know Indiana can score but everything to me is pointing at an under here with an extremely high line. In 5 home Big 10 games this season Indiana has scored more than 76 points (their TT for this game) onl1 time. In 6 Big 10 road games Minnesota has NEVER scored 73 points (their TT), in fact they've never broken 68. Defensively Minnesota has not given up more than 72 points in ANY road Big 10 game this year. Indiana has not given up more than 73 points in ANY home Big 10 game this year. This looks too easy by the numbers but I'm rolling with it.
Minnesota Offense on Road : 0/6 games over 68 points
Minnesota Defense on Road: 0/6 games over 72 points against
Indiana Offense at Home: 1/5 games over 76 points
Indiana Defense at Home: 0/5 games over 73 points against
Still trying to decide if I should buy into this Utah TT Over 72.5. Numbers say to buy in big to that and also the full game over 127.5. I've been killing it playing the over on Utahs totals at home but I feel like they're gonna bite me eventually. They're gonna steamroll Cal tonight. Only way they don't score 75+ is if they're up 60-30 and stop scoring. That's what scares me about the FG over is I've seen Utah hold teams in the 30's and 40's. Gonna think this one over a little bit. Don't have time to do a writeup with full stats cause I've gotta take the lady to Valentine's Dinner but just know they look reaaaaal good on Cal TT Over, Utah TT Over and Full Game Over. Will probably play one or two. Stay tuned.
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Still trying to decide if I should buy into this Utah TT Over 72.5. Numbers say to buy in big to that and also the full game over 127.5. I've been killing it playing the over on Utahs totals at home but I feel like they're gonna bite me eventually. They're gonna steamroll Cal tonight. Only way they don't score 75+ is if they're up 60-30 and stop scoring. That's what scares me about the FG over is I've seen Utah hold teams in the 30's and 40's. Gonna think this one over a little bit. Don't have time to do a writeup with full stats cause I've gotta take the lady to Valentine's Dinner but just know they look reaaaaal good on Cal TT Over, Utah TT Over and Full Game Over. Will probably play one or two. Stay tuned.
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Nice Work....dont you tout on us after a few morons get on you when you go 1-3 some day...Its a marathon....not a race...
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