First game in First 4

Think the wrong team might be favored here, either way 4 is to much either way imo

St F shoots the ball 6% better at 46% to 40%. St F ranks 110th in the nation in shooting %

They shoot FT's 3% better

3 more assist per game better

But St F seems to have a turnover problem 12 tpg to Bama 9 tpg

St F has 4 guys in double digit scoring  (13,10,10,10), Bama St has 3 (14,14,12) then next best is 6 ppg. while St F has 9 players that score 6 or more ppg

Seems St F can relay on more guys then Bama St can, if one of the 3 goes cold...could be a long night for Bama St

Both r on 6 game winning streak

Bama St has won 10 of of the last 11

I will take +4 with the better shooting team from the field and ft line

Good breakdown BH ... definitely think the dog is the play here. It's not easy at this point trying to figure out which conference was better, Northeast or SWAC. Or whatever conferences are involved in the game. The SWAC was definitely not good though with 2 of the very worst teams in CBB (MVSU and PVAM). I think you are on the right side of this one. .. 

Good luck BHS.  

GL 

yeah breaking down conferences here would be a headache and prolly useless anyway..

St F just beat a pretty good Central Conn team .....well is good by record 25-7

but either way.....i will take the 4 from 2 teams that are not that good in the first place.....so that 6% better in shooting is a huge advantage.....

Bama St shoots 40% from the field....thats not good vs any competition......should of been higher playing in the SWAC

ST F under FH 64.5

Thats 32.5 from both teams

In the last 5 games St F has scored 20,23,28,26,34 in the 1H for an average of 26.2,  well below the 32.5 needed

2H scoring 26,48,30,42,39 for an average of 37

In the last 5 games Bama St has scored 29,33,41,22,39 in the 1H for an average of 32.8, right at the 32.5 needed

2H scoring 39,31,43,37,31 for an average of 36

Thats why i prefer the FH under.....way more value as both teams seem to start slow then pick it up 2h...so i am staying away from fg total

Plus the big stage, nerves hopefully play a role , plus St F seems to start slow

Think i am gonna stay away from the point spread and go FH under 64.5, that might be the best play for this game

St F under 64.5