Posted:
#51
Quote Originally Posted by hagrin:
Fishy Line of the Day Tracking:
Fishy Line of the Day Tracking:
Underdog: 6-2
Favorite: 2-6
Line Move Direction: 5-2 with 1 game no real move either way
Road Dog: 4-2
Home Dog: 2-0
Unranked vs Ranked: 3-0
# Games Within +/- 3 Points of Line: 1 out of 8
Recap: Tonight is a perfect example of why I'm not a tout, I'm just a guy with a computer and people need to remember that before tailing blindly.
Depending on what number you got, you either won, lost or pushed with Hofstra, but I marked it as a loss since I posted at 9.5 and they lost by the hook. This was a tie game with about 6 minutes left, 4 points with 2 minutes left and GMU just closed out well. Still feel like the system picked properly here.
I think the system failed UMass and St Bonnies. In another thread, a user JFen alerted me to a tempo play style with UMass at home and when I started looking at the numbers it was clearly obvious that when they play at home vs good competition that makes them play slightly slower, they actually play better than the frenetic pace of their losses. They play closer to 60s, lower 70s in their best wins and they play faster in their losses (tempo stats by KenPom). My system doesn't account for tempo at all and that seems to be where the failure is. I'm not sure how to account for this and how to remove these plays from getting flagged incorrectly so I am open to advice.
Again, please don't tail blindly, I'm just a guy with a computer and obviously, I'm still working out the kinks.
Hagrin Chill your info was very informative I had St. Bonnies shit happens man
Just keep doing what you do mah man
What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!
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