opened at 166.5, many including myself like under thinking duke will slow pace down, yet line moved 8 points to 174.5?! crazy bol
Yeah, most likely the public response (recency bias), to Alabama scoring 133 vs BYU and Duke putting up 100 on Arizona.
While some think Duke may want to slow the pace down, Alabama loves to push it. Duke's tempo is typically a little slower than the average team, but the can push the pace as well.
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Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow:
opened at 166.5, many including myself like under thinking duke will slow pace down, yet line moved 8 points to 174.5?! crazy bol
Yeah, most likely the public response (recency bias), to Alabama scoring 133 vs BYU and Duke putting up 100 on Arizona.
While some think Duke may want to slow the pace down, Alabama loves to push it. Duke's tempo is typically a little slower than the average team, but the can push the pace as well.
Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow: opened at 166.5, many including myself like under thinking duke will slow pace down, yet line moved 8 points to 174.5?! crazy bolYeah, most likely the public response (recency bias), to Alabama scoring 133 vs BYU and Duke putting up 100 on Arizona. While some think Duke may want to slow the pace down, Alabama loves to push it. Duke's tempo is typically a little slower than the average team, but the can push the pace as well.
a lot of recency bias in this one. 70%+ of the handle is on the Over.
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Quote Originally Posted by nmgolf57:
Quote Originally Posted by Eddy_Winslow: opened at 166.5, many including myself like under thinking duke will slow pace down, yet line moved 8 points to 174.5?! crazy bolYeah, most likely the public response (recency bias), to Alabama scoring 133 vs BYU and Duke putting up 100 on Arizona. While some think Duke may want to slow the pace down, Alabama loves to push it. Duke's tempo is typically a little slower than the average team, but the can push the pace as well.
a lot of recency bias in this one. 70%+ of the handle is on the Over.
Adding Houston/TN - Under 125 (-115) Houston is 364/364 in Adj Tempo. Tennessee is 349/364 in Adj Tempo. Houston results vs teams Adj tempo 300-364 Baylor - UNDER WVU - UNDER WVU - UNDER Notre Dame - UNDER Baylor - OVER Hofstra - UNDER Tennessee results vs same: UCLA - UNDER Baylor - UNDER Virginia - UNDER Wofford - OVER Overall these teams are 8-2 combined in this scenario of tempo.
adding an additional 1.3 units at Under 126 (-130).
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Quote Originally Posted by Floridaman:
Adding Houston/TN - Under 125 (-115) Houston is 364/364 in Adj Tempo. Tennessee is 349/364 in Adj Tempo. Houston results vs teams Adj tempo 300-364 Baylor - UNDER WVU - UNDER WVU - UNDER Notre Dame - UNDER Baylor - OVER Hofstra - UNDER Tennessee results vs same: UCLA - UNDER Baylor - UNDER Virginia - UNDER Wofford - OVER Overall these teams are 8-2 combined in this scenario of tempo.
adding an additional 1.3 units at Under 126 (-130).
9-8 Tourney Record Duke/Alabama Under 176 (-115) Duke is 1/364 in Offensive Efficiency; however; interesting that their Adj. Tempo is 266/364 and their D is 364/364 in TOP. Alabama is 1/364 in Adj. Tempo. The over is taking an insane amount of the handle on this one, but Duke’s D will be able to slow this down, even slightly, as their 364/364 defensive TOP is eye opening. KenPom has this total at 168.
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Quote Originally Posted by Floridaman:
9-8 Tourney Record Duke/Alabama Under 176 (-115) Duke is 1/364 in Offensive Efficiency; however; interesting that their Adj. Tempo is 266/364 and their D is 364/364 in TOP. Alabama is 1/364 in Adj. Tempo. The over is taking an insane amount of the handle on this one, but Duke’s D will be able to slow this down, even slightly, as their 364/364 defensive TOP is eye opening. KenPom has this total at 168.
Adding Houston/TN - Under 125 (-115) Houston is 364/364 in Adj Tempo. Tennessee is 349/364 in Adj Tempo. Houston results vs teams Adj tempo 300-364 Baylor - UNDER WVU - UNDER WVU - UNDER Notre Dame - UNDER Baylor - OVER Hofstra - UNDER Tennessee results vs same: UCLA - UNDER Baylor - UNDER Virginia - UNDER Wofford - OVER Overall these teams are 8-2 combined in this scenario of tempo.
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Quote Originally Posted by Floridaman:
Adding Houston/TN - Under 125 (-115) Houston is 364/364 in Adj Tempo. Tennessee is 349/364 in Adj Tempo. Houston results vs teams Adj tempo 300-364 Baylor - UNDER WVU - UNDER WVU - UNDER Notre Dame - UNDER Baylor - OVER Hofstra - UNDER Tennessee results vs same: UCLA - UNDER Baylor - UNDER Virginia - UNDER Wofford - OVER Overall these teams are 8-2 combined in this scenario of tempo.
Well done! I made a small fortune on this game! I repeatedly added to my under position as the total ticked up this morning, then a minute in added uncomfortably more when the live total flickered at 128.5 -115.
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Well done! I made a small fortune on this game! I repeatedly added to my under position as the total ticked up this morning, then a minute in added uncomfortably more when the live total flickered at 128.5 -115.
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