Fordham / Davidson Discussion

Fordham @ Davidson (-18.5, 122) is our first game on board at 1PM et.

Leaning Davidson given their small, but favorable track record under McKillop as large favorites in conference matchups (Since 2012, 15-12 ATS as DD favorites, 3-0 when its expected to be a low scoring affair [<135])   

Like what Fordham brings inside with Soriano, but Davidson's big men are pretty crafty and the athleticism gap isn't overwhelming. Fordham's success as a large dog has purely come from streaky 3 point shooting, which they've done a decent job at holding.   

Any thoughts on the side or total?

I like Davidson over 34 fh.  But I am somewhat tempted to take Fordham over 23??

Davidson is very popular today but being the only game at 10, I’d be very careful with Davidson. 

Yea the first games of the day usually go shitty!

Over 23 with Fordham is definetly tempting @memo22 but my gutt tells me Davidson Over 34 is the play

@Memo22

When Davidson's played like-tempo (slow) teams this year, 1H scores below.

Fordham's defense is pretty good at preventing transition opportunities so even if they shoot 15% like usual, Davidson's going to need to score in the half-court. Could see a potential 'wait-and-see' approach for the 1H and then a play on Davidson in the 2H

vs. Dayton (325th in tempo, 93rd in DRtg): 31 - 32 

@ Duquesne (231st in tempo, 78th in DRtg): 25 - 26

vs Charlotte (354th in tempo, 138th in DRtg): 27 - 33 

vs Georgia Southern (256th in tempo, 251st in DRtg) : 38 - 18

@ Providence (299th in tempo, 101st in DRtg): 31 - 35 

Took Davidson -10 1H earlier 

took the opp @10 earlier. It’s now 11 SMHu

@smac38

I like it - Fordham's been giving up some great looks from 3 this year and they just haven't been falling.

Think Davidson hits enough to push them over the top for the 1H over. 

Up to 11.5 with my guy 

Looks like markets caught up with Davidson 1H value .

Going to go with 1H O57.5, and FG Fordham +19 with the thesis that Fordham trades some inside baskets with open 3s for Davidson early. Can see Davidson easing up and slowing tempo down 2H for a game in the 14-19 differential range.  

BOL all

Fordham is awful..

Easy  Good call on both- Really pissed I did'nt get in on it- I got a call from my lawyer 5 minutes before the game- I had it on the bet slip and just got caught up with the call

Godamit!

1H overs (total or Davidson) both likely to hit here.

Have seen nothing sustainable from the Fordham offense - think Davidson makes the adjustments on fronting entry passes and doubling down low.

As Fordham's offense continues to bog down, expecting less TOs and transition opps for Davidson. With the tempo being extremely slow (when you exclude those random fastbreaks), anyone else liking the 2H under?

Over 120 easy Davidson.

I'm liking davidson-8...

@kvly

 It's up to -8.5 -115 (Live -17.5) for me. Like how Davidson's offenses has looked and I already have a position in Fordham +19 so going to stay away a side.

What's really telling is that Davidson had 3 PFs in the 1H. Fordham was getting nothing on dribble drive penetration and really benefited from hot shooting from an ordinarily poor shooting team. Got the U67.5 -110 so will ride that for the 2H.

Fordham 2H offense is always great UnderPorn. They run around madily but somehow barely score. FG cover + 2H under hits

@nBilln

 I took the 2H over like a moron. Fordham comes out on fire then doesn’t score for 8 minutes. Unreal. 

Who the hell is “our”?

Game was a little suspect for David's backers. Mever once did they Take a lead of more then 1 basket over the spread