remember I said I canceled my 2 team Parlay earlier because of the N Alabama game not Delaware and Delaware won, I am pissed I didn't bet them STR up they play Towson tomorrow
but tomorrow Robert Morris is favored by 2 over Oakland now RM won both meetings this year and they shot the ball really well in both meetings, they might be the hottest teams in college right now , they have won 8 straight and 14 oof their last 15 and 19 of their last 22 , looking back at both games which I think is very important as far as handicapping, because you can see why a team won or lost, I mean they beat Oakland at home by 2 73-71 and in that game they shot the ball really well, 50% and shot 50% from 3 yet won by 2 pts, reason was because Oakland took 9 more shots in that game and they only shot 40%, but RM had 5 more turnovers and it was just really good shooting that won, in the 2nd game at Oakland they won 79-71 and they shot well then too, 45% to 39% but in this game again Oakland had many more shot attempts 69 to 55 and this was because of their offensive rebounding 20 to 14 but RM won because they had twice as many ft's they took 26 and Oakland just 13 and they made 22 to just 9 so they made 13 more and win by 8 , you can make a good argument that this is a spot for Oakland here, I know if I was the coach I would be pointing these things out, how ya lost by 2 and had more shots and lost by 8 and had many more shots but ft's killed ya, and that if his team just played the game like they have in the 1st 2 and just shoot a little better they can win this game ....but also you can make a strong case for RM also, they are playing extremely well right now, and winning 14 of 15 and the game is on a neutral court each team is 250-300 miles away from home , I have been riding RM last few and making money as I look into this and the line at only 2 I can see why, I think many will be on RM right away, just based on how they been winning , but looking into it I see why the line is low, I mean to be honest even though RM shot well in both games they could have lost both games, I'll say this if Oakland gets 10 more shots, and the ft's stay about equal they could win this ...
Both teams come into this game shooting really well in the last 3 games, both are shooting 50% last 3 games, and Oakland is shooting the 3 at 41.8% last 3 and RM is shooting the 3 at 38.9% last 3 , and Oakland is shooting the 2 at 56% and RM 58% and last 3 Oakland is averaging 85 pts a game and giving up 73, and last 3 RM is averaging 79 and giving up just 63 pts ..I mean Oakland has won their last 3 and 4 out of 5 so I myself can see why this line is just 2 when I 1st seen the line I thought RM all the way but then I wondered why the line was just 2...lol now I do not know this should be a great game ...I could see taking either team but I have a feeling this line will go up if it does I might just take Oakland here
2
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Oakland vs RM
remember I said I canceled my 2 team Parlay earlier because of the N Alabama game not Delaware and Delaware won, I am pissed I didn't bet them STR up they play Towson tomorrow
but tomorrow Robert Morris is favored by 2 over Oakland now RM won both meetings this year and they shot the ball really well in both meetings, they might be the hottest teams in college right now , they have won 8 straight and 14 oof their last 15 and 19 of their last 22 , looking back at both games which I think is very important as far as handicapping, because you can see why a team won or lost, I mean they beat Oakland at home by 2 73-71 and in that game they shot the ball really well, 50% and shot 50% from 3 yet won by 2 pts, reason was because Oakland took 9 more shots in that game and they only shot 40%, but RM had 5 more turnovers and it was just really good shooting that won, in the 2nd game at Oakland they won 79-71 and they shot well then too, 45% to 39% but in this game again Oakland had many more shot attempts 69 to 55 and this was because of their offensive rebounding 20 to 14 but RM won because they had twice as many ft's they took 26 and Oakland just 13 and they made 22 to just 9 so they made 13 more and win by 8 , you can make a good argument that this is a spot for Oakland here, I know if I was the coach I would be pointing these things out, how ya lost by 2 and had more shots and lost by 8 and had many more shots but ft's killed ya, and that if his team just played the game like they have in the 1st 2 and just shoot a little better they can win this game ....but also you can make a strong case for RM also, they are playing extremely well right now, and winning 14 of 15 and the game is on a neutral court each team is 250-300 miles away from home , I have been riding RM last few and making money as I look into this and the line at only 2 I can see why, I think many will be on RM right away, just based on how they been winning , but looking into it I see why the line is low, I mean to be honest even though RM shot well in both games they could have lost both games, I'll say this if Oakland gets 10 more shots, and the ft's stay about equal they could win this ...
Both teams come into this game shooting really well in the last 3 games, both are shooting 50% last 3 games, and Oakland is shooting the 3 at 41.8% last 3 and RM is shooting the 3 at 38.9% last 3 , and Oakland is shooting the 2 at 56% and RM 58% and last 3 Oakland is averaging 85 pts a game and giving up 73, and last 3 RM is averaging 79 and giving up just 63 pts ..I mean Oakland has won their last 3 and 4 out of 5 so I myself can see why this line is just 2 when I 1st seen the line I thought RM all the way but then I wondered why the line was just 2...lol now I do not know this should be a great game ...I could see taking either team but I have a feeling this line will go up if it does I might just take Oakland here
Over 139 Furman/Wofford this will be close both games this year went over this total, 160 in one and 143 on the other , also I am liking Furman I think here as a PK should be a good game
Youngstown st/Clev st another good one, both teams won on the others home court this year 80-72 Clev st, and 68-60 YST teams are traveling about 250-300 miles to game , Clev st is 13-3 STR up as a favorite this year and YST is 5-6 as a dog
Over 139 Furman game 1 unit
looks like Tuesday we have games starting at 2 pm
0
Over 139 Furman/Wofford this will be close both games this year went over this total, 160 in one and 143 on the other , also I am liking Furman I think here as a PK should be a good game
Youngstown st/Clev st another good one, both teams won on the others home court this year 80-72 Clev st, and 68-60 YST teams are traveling about 250-300 miles to game , Clev st is 13-3 STR up as a favorite this year and YST is 5-6 as a dog
Oakland vs RM remember I said I canceled my 2 team Parlay earlier because of the N Alabama game not Delaware and Delaware won, I am pissed I didn't bet them STR up they play Towson tomorrow but tomorrow Robert Morris is favored by 2 over Oakland now RM won both meetings this year and they shot the ball really well in both meetings, they might be the hottest teams in college right now , they have won 8 straight and 14 oof their last 15 and 19 of their last 22 , looking back at both games which I think is very important as far as handicapping, because you can see why a team won or lost, I mean they beat Oakland at home by 2 73-71 and in that game they shot the ball really well, 50% and shot 50% from 3 yet won by 2 pts, reason was because Oakland took 9 more shots in that game and they only shot 40%, but RM had 5 more turnovers and it was just really good shooting that won, in the 2nd game at Oakland they won 79-71 and they shot well then too, 45% to 39% but in this game again Oakland had many more shot attempts 69 to 55 and this was because of their offensive rebounding 20 to 14 but RM won because they had twice as many ft's they took 26 and Oakland just 13 and they made 22 to just 9 so they made 13 more and win by 8 , you can make a good argument that this is a spot for Oakland here, I know if I was the coach I would be pointing these things out, how ya lost by 2 and had more shots and lost by 8 and had many more shots but ft's killed ya, and that if his team just played the game like they have in the 1st 2 and just shoot a little better they can win this game ....but also you can make a strong case for RM also, they are playing extremely well right now, and winning 14 of 15 and the game is on a neutral court each team is 250-300 miles away from home , I have been riding RM last few and making money as I look into this and the line at only 2 I can see why, I think many will be on RM right away, just based on how they been winning , but looking into it I see why the line is low, I mean to be honest even though RM shot well in both games they could have lost both games, I'll say this if Oakland gets 10 more shots, and the ft's stay about equal they could win this ... Both teams come into this game shooting really well in the last 3 games, both are shooting 50% last 3 games, and Oakland is shooting the 3 at 41.8% last 3 and RM is shooting the 3 at 38.9% last 3 , and Oakland is shooting the 2 at 56% and RM 58% and last 3 Oakland is averaging 85 pts a game and giving up 73, and last 3 RM is averaging 79 and giving up just 63 pts ..I mean Oakland has won their last 3 and 4 out of 5 so I myself can see why this line is just 2 when I 1st seen the line I thought RM all the way but then I wondered why the line was just 2...lol now I do not know this should be a great game ...I could see taking either team but I have a feeling this line will go up if it does I might just take Oakland here
How about RM TT over .... game over?
Seems like RM is shooting really well at home and away. Tend to play less defense against weaker opponents and Oakland tempo has really picked up of late. Kenpom estimated a 65 procession game. Both games they played .. Oakland had the lead at halftime
gm1 1h RM 32 Oak 39 Final RM79-71
gm2 1h Oak 35 RM 29 Final 71-73RM
Thank you for your write-up and sharing of tends.
Side note: Seems like big favorite teams recently BYU and some California schools are purposely losing 1H under and play to win 2H ... points shaving at the end or purposely missing fts, fouling or not getting off rebound to win game but lose ats. Should we note these schools and catch their tend scheme of shenanigan?
0
Quote Originally Posted by RUM151:
Oakland vs RM remember I said I canceled my 2 team Parlay earlier because of the N Alabama game not Delaware and Delaware won, I am pissed I didn't bet them STR up they play Towson tomorrow but tomorrow Robert Morris is favored by 2 over Oakland now RM won both meetings this year and they shot the ball really well in both meetings, they might be the hottest teams in college right now , they have won 8 straight and 14 oof their last 15 and 19 of their last 22 , looking back at both games which I think is very important as far as handicapping, because you can see why a team won or lost, I mean they beat Oakland at home by 2 73-71 and in that game they shot the ball really well, 50% and shot 50% from 3 yet won by 2 pts, reason was because Oakland took 9 more shots in that game and they only shot 40%, but RM had 5 more turnovers and it was just really good shooting that won, in the 2nd game at Oakland they won 79-71 and they shot well then too, 45% to 39% but in this game again Oakland had many more shot attempts 69 to 55 and this was because of their offensive rebounding 20 to 14 but RM won because they had twice as many ft's they took 26 and Oakland just 13 and they made 22 to just 9 so they made 13 more and win by 8 , you can make a good argument that this is a spot for Oakland here, I know if I was the coach I would be pointing these things out, how ya lost by 2 and had more shots and lost by 8 and had many more shots but ft's killed ya, and that if his team just played the game like they have in the 1st 2 and just shoot a little better they can win this game ....but also you can make a strong case for RM also, they are playing extremely well right now, and winning 14 of 15 and the game is on a neutral court each team is 250-300 miles away from home , I have been riding RM last few and making money as I look into this and the line at only 2 I can see why, I think many will be on RM right away, just based on how they been winning , but looking into it I see why the line is low, I mean to be honest even though RM shot well in both games they could have lost both games, I'll say this if Oakland gets 10 more shots, and the ft's stay about equal they could win this ... Both teams come into this game shooting really well in the last 3 games, both are shooting 50% last 3 games, and Oakland is shooting the 3 at 41.8% last 3 and RM is shooting the 3 at 38.9% last 3 , and Oakland is shooting the 2 at 56% and RM 58% and last 3 Oakland is averaging 85 pts a game and giving up 73, and last 3 RM is averaging 79 and giving up just 63 pts ..I mean Oakland has won their last 3 and 4 out of 5 so I myself can see why this line is just 2 when I 1st seen the line I thought RM all the way but then I wondered why the line was just 2...lol now I do not know this should be a great game ...I could see taking either team but I have a feeling this line will go up if it does I might just take Oakland here
How about RM TT over .... game over?
Seems like RM is shooting really well at home and away. Tend to play less defense against weaker opponents and Oakland tempo has really picked up of late. Kenpom estimated a 65 procession game. Both games they played .. Oakland had the lead at halftime
gm1 1h RM 32 Oak 39 Final RM79-71
gm2 1h Oak 35 RM 29 Final 71-73RM
Thank you for your write-up and sharing of tends.
Side note: Seems like big favorite teams recently BYU and some California schools are purposely losing 1H under and play to win 2H ... points shaving at the end or purposely missing fts, fouling or not getting off rebound to win game but lose ats. Should we note these schools and catch their tend scheme of shenanigan?
Any thoughts on tight championship game… and third game in 3 days probably… and playing on odd day now… Saturday. Sunday. Now Monday. Any thoughts on these affecting play… ?? Would be a tad odd for me I think… internal clock if you will.
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@RUM151
Any thoughts on tight championship game… and third game in 3 days probably… and playing on odd day now… Saturday. Sunday. Now Monday. Any thoughts on these affecting play… ?? Would be a tad odd for me I think… internal clock if you will.
I have been involved with book making since I was answering phones for my dad and uncle in Toledo in the late 70's its very rare to have cheating, it just is, it does happen from time to time, but rare,
2
@ALEXSON
I have been involved with book making since I was answering phones for my dad and uncle in Toledo in the late 70's its very rare to have cheating, it just is, it does happen from time to time, but rare,
im not telling anyone to follow my plays, or claiming anything, I post my thoughts, reasoning, or just post about a game about what I think of the line, where it will go and , now on Oak/RM if I was going to bet RM I would have last night, as I said the line was going to go up most likely, and so I would have taken -2 or maybe bought to 1 or went ML , I was leaning Oakland, and I thought it would go up and it has and it may go up even more, I put a lot of stock in how teams played each other this year, and what went on in those games, like I said Oakland has taken many more shots, they should control the boards in this game, and right now they are also shooting really well coming into this game, and they have lost both this year to RM, and I am sure they know they could have won, as a player there is a lot to that, you hope you play that team again, now RM could win again and cover, like I said yesterday if somehow RM hits a ft to win by 5 at the end that does not mean taking Oakland was a lousy play, I felt the line was going up so I waited , I will grab +4 or if it goes to 4 I'll grab 4.5 or 5 depending on the juice...right now at Hardrock Oakland is +4 -120 +4.5 -130 since this moved 1.5 pts already I am waiting a bit here see if it goes to 4
I went and looked at some of those sites that pick games for the hell of it just now and was surprised that the 1st one I looked at had their pick as Oakland to win the game..lol here is what they wrote
This is a 1-seed playing a 6-seed, but it does not feel like much of a mismatch. Robert Morris did not dominate the Horizon League this season, they lost five league games, including bad losses against Wright State and Detroit Mercy. KenPom's advanced analytics agree this is game is closer than the seeding implies, Robert Morris is 147th overall and Oakland is not that far behind at 179th. The Golden Grizzlies play a physical game on the inside that is tough for opponents to deal with. Mukeba and Naivaluara are both strong post players over 240 pounds that know how to use their strength around the rim. Robert Morris is skilled on the inside, but do not have a physical presence to help bang in the post against these two. Folguerias may end up in foul trouble trying to stop these two in the paint, which would be another advantage for the Golden Grizzlies. Oakland has momentum here, and will be able to keep it close at a neutral site.
Take Oakland to cover.
to be honest I was kind of shocked , but not surprised to see them on Oakland
1
im not telling anyone to follow my plays, or claiming anything, I post my thoughts, reasoning, or just post about a game about what I think of the line, where it will go and , now on Oak/RM if I was going to bet RM I would have last night, as I said the line was going to go up most likely, and so I would have taken -2 or maybe bought to 1 or went ML , I was leaning Oakland, and I thought it would go up and it has and it may go up even more, I put a lot of stock in how teams played each other this year, and what went on in those games, like I said Oakland has taken many more shots, they should control the boards in this game, and right now they are also shooting really well coming into this game, and they have lost both this year to RM, and I am sure they know they could have won, as a player there is a lot to that, you hope you play that team again, now RM could win again and cover, like I said yesterday if somehow RM hits a ft to win by 5 at the end that does not mean taking Oakland was a lousy play, I felt the line was going up so I waited , I will grab +4 or if it goes to 4 I'll grab 4.5 or 5 depending on the juice...right now at Hardrock Oakland is +4 -120 +4.5 -130 since this moved 1.5 pts already I am waiting a bit here see if it goes to 4
I went and looked at some of those sites that pick games for the hell of it just now and was surprised that the 1st one I looked at had their pick as Oakland to win the game..lol here is what they wrote
This is a 1-seed playing a 6-seed, but it does not feel like much of a mismatch. Robert Morris did not dominate the Horizon League this season, they lost five league games, including bad losses against Wright State and Detroit Mercy. KenPom's advanced analytics agree this is game is closer than the seeding implies, Robert Morris is 147th overall and Oakland is not that far behind at 179th. The Golden Grizzlies play a physical game on the inside that is tough for opponents to deal with. Mukeba and Naivaluara are both strong post players over 240 pounds that know how to use their strength around the rim. Robert Morris is skilled on the inside, but do not have a physical presence to help bang in the post against these two. Folguerias may end up in foul trouble trying to stop these two in the paint, which would be another advantage for the Golden Grizzlies. Oakland has momentum here, and will be able to keep it close at a neutral site.
Take Oakland to cover.
to be honest I was kind of shocked , but not surprised to see them on Oakland
Delaware was 1/11 straight up to end reg season and 2/10 ats in their last 12 games. Now 3 easy covers. Wow. Ok. I’ll shut up. “Talk amongst yourselves.” ????.
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Delaware was 1/11 straight up to end reg season and 2/10 ats in their last 12 games. Now 3 easy covers. Wow. Ok. I’ll shut up. “Talk amongst yourselves.” ????.
I think the reason the totals are lower in tourney games is because they figure teams are going to be more cautious, and play slower, now some teams just play fast, they will not change, but Furman is a team in my opinion who can score 85 or 65 and be fine, and this is a championship game so of course I think they will slow down a bit......you have to pick your shots at when to run, another reason why I liked Oakland today, they play at a slower pace, and that should keep them in the game, they are 339th in pace of play RM is 136th so 2 diff styles for sure Oakland will want to keep this game under 70, more like mid 60's RM wants this to get to 75+
1
@Mskeets
I think the reason the totals are lower in tourney games is because they figure teams are going to be more cautious, and play slower, now some teams just play fast, they will not change, but Furman is a team in my opinion who can score 85 or 65 and be fine, and this is a championship game so of course I think they will slow down a bit......you have to pick your shots at when to run, another reason why I liked Oakland today, they play at a slower pace, and that should keep them in the game, they are 339th in pace of play RM is 136th so 2 diff styles for sure Oakland will want to keep this game under 70, more like mid 60's RM wants this to get to 75+
side note on the Delaware game, this is their last game in the CAA, they move to conf USA next year, so there may be some extra motivation for them in this game, they can shoot well, they are playing towson who is a lower scoring team by far, they want this game to be low 60's they would even like it in the high 50's Delaware wants to score 80+ , will they be able to, they shot the ball really well last couple of games they put 100 on will and Mary yesterday, John Camden put in 36 and was 8/10 from 3 , but its been their defense that has not been good this year, but yesterday they did hold WM to about 37% shooting, and all 5 Delaware starters scored double figures yesterday, and Towson st is really a 2 player offense, with Tejada or Williamson, and if one of them players is off it causes problems, where Delaware has many more weapons who can score, I am leaning Delaware here in this game, I think they give it all they have, just like the other games in this tourney, like I said they are gone after this year to play against other teams, so why not ..I can get Delaware +7 -120 at Hardrock that's where I am going in this game..Delaware is 4-1 ats on neutral court
Delaware +7 -120 1 unit
0
@Mskeets
side note on the Delaware game, this is their last game in the CAA, they move to conf USA next year, so there may be some extra motivation for them in this game, they can shoot well, they are playing towson who is a lower scoring team by far, they want this game to be low 60's they would even like it in the high 50's Delaware wants to score 80+ , will they be able to, they shot the ball really well last couple of games they put 100 on will and Mary yesterday, John Camden put in 36 and was 8/10 from 3 , but its been their defense that has not been good this year, but yesterday they did hold WM to about 37% shooting, and all 5 Delaware starters scored double figures yesterday, and Towson st is really a 2 player offense, with Tejada or Williamson, and if one of them players is off it causes problems, where Delaware has many more weapons who can score, I am leaning Delaware here in this game, I think they give it all they have, just like the other games in this tourney, like I said they are gone after this year to play against other teams, so why not ..I can get Delaware +7 -120 at Hardrock that's where I am going in this game..Delaware is 4-1 ats on neutral court
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