FRIDAY HOOPS 151

ok coming off another solid night   9-3-1 and believe me I should have just taken UC Davis ML  and 2 of my losses were brutal    

one game I am looking at right now is Marist at Siena  Siena -2  128.5  I do favor Siena in this game but I am going to try the OVER here.....I have this getting close to 140 , and Marist is 3-1 OVER after a loss, 4-1 OVER as a dog, 4-1 OVER as an away dog, Siena is 15-9 OVER this year and they are 7-5 OVER after a loss and are 9-1 OVER at home this year, and 6-2 OVER as a favorite, 6-0 Over as a home favorite, 6-3 OVER on 4+ days rest and are 10-5 over on equal rest  

Last 3 games Siena is avg 73 pts a game and giving up 66  and at home they avg 78 pts a game and give up 73...Marist last 3 are avg 66 pts a game and giving up 67 and away they avg 68 pts a game  and both teams are coming into this game shooting well at about 45-46%    I have this as a 74-67 game tonight   so a little room for error hopefully  

Over 128.5  Marist  1.5 units  -120   HardRock

BOL 

Good to see you agree with my post too. 

Good luck Rum.  

Good Luck Rum!!

131 now, 

Tough one here, Merrimack at Manhattan  as Merrimack is 12-1 STR up as a favorite and 6-0 STR up as an away favorite and 11-2 STR up in conf, and are 4-2 ats as an away favorite and 8-5-1 ats away....but Manhattan is 3-1 STR up as a home dog, and are 11-3 ats as a dog, and 3-1 ats as a home dog, and are 12-8 ats on the year and Merrimack is 11-12-1 ats on the year    going to go with Manhattan at home getting the points here, these 2 played earlier and Merrimack won at home by 7 69-62  but in that game Manhattan only played 6 players, its very hard to play a game with just 6 guys able to play, you cannot get into foul trouble for sure   so you change a lot of things ...also in that game Manhattan was only 6/8 from the ft line and Merrimack was 10/13  so there was 4 of those points ...Merrimack last 3 games are avg 66 pts a game and giving up 58 and Manhattan last 3 are avg 77 and giving up 70 ...away Merrimack is avg 64 pts and giving up 68 and at home Manhattan is avg 76 and giving up 75  , if Manhattan gets to 70 they cover here for sure I think but I do think they can win the game also, Merrimack only averages about 9-10 assist a game  and Manhattan at home avg;s about 16...and Manhattan should control the boards well in this game as Merrimack is avg 28 reb's a game to 36 for Manhattan  and just 5 offensive boards to 11 for Manhattan  

Manhattan +3.5  -120   1.5 units 

I usually say what I think it will get to  , I bet it I am not hoping to win by a half point  sure I will take it, but I need to have some space between what I think it will be and what the line is  I do not think anyone bets a total over thinking it wins by 1 point  I hope not anyway  , that's why I think its important to give people a number as to where you think it will land   common sense 

Good luck on tonight's plays Rum 

Gut Instinct Play tonight  might be going against many here  but I am going with Indiana at Home +3  , they are 11-3 STR up at home, many things point to UCLA    but I am just going to take Indiana  was impressed with the win over Michigan st , Indiana should be fired up for this game  , crowd should be huge and loud hopefully     kind of favor the Over 137 also as even UCLA has been scoring points 

Indiana +3  1 unit 

Your gut aligns with mine Rum. I took the Hoosiers yesterday. The upset over Michigan State was very impressive.BOL to both of us tonight…   

@RUM151

 I took Marist over at 130.5. You said you thought it would get into the 140's. Hope your're right. Thanks for posting your work.

GL tonight Rum…glad to see u lean Indiana. First game that stuck out to me today was Indiana and after some research everyone “that matters” to my betting strategy is on UCLA. This might be only a gut feeling but I’m rolling with Hoosiers tonight. Stay hot Rum!

151 

@Fuzzer44

 UCLA has not won a conference game east of the Mississippi. Need the trend to continue.

@Bigtony300

 plus I hear something yesterday saying they have never played at this arena ever  

well I posted earlier that I liked Over 137 in the UCLA game and I still do  had to take 138 earlier after a 2 hour power Nap    but I took it   away I see this if ya like Indiana  ya have to like the OVER  but even UCLA has had some overs lately   1 unit  

also going OVER 155 Wisc Milw-/wright st   just the scores when these 2 play , they do like to push the pace against each other   last time in January 95-79, and 95-81, and 91-83, 87-70, and 93-86  last 5 meetings       so 155 i'll try   1.5 units 

and in my 1st post liking Siena    line has stayed right where it was  so going with Siena-2   1 unit 

that's it for me  still very tired  big day tomorrow  , maybe get up real early and post     gl tonight everyone    

151

OHIO  -.5  live  half unit