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FYI: SMU doesnt lose at home and games dont go over

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Legend
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Posted: #1
You can check out the numbers. Defense will reign supreme tonite.


SMU +3

SMU/VILLE U 135


Both double baggers.
 
Legend
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Posted: #2

YE$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

Lou has 2 good road wins at UCONN and CINNY 

AT good defensive home squads(Kentucky and CINNY), they struggled offensively.

Thinking we JOE PUBLIC "LOU wont lose 2 on the road BTB" push this up today to 4 so Im riding the T69 TRAIN as well

GL AS ALWAYS BRO

 
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Posted: #3
On the other side of the total, BOL tho! 
 
Legend
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Posted: #4
i like it so that means you have a good chance
 
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Posted: #5
Smu plays strong at hone this was a given when the beat up some good teams...Larry b got this team an nphilosphy
 
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Posted: #6
I am on Ville -2, hate being on the opposite side as you. Good luck tonight. I am liking that under as well.
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
I think the line may go to 3.5 or 4, but I think SMU wins this game SU
 
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Posted: #8
The line going up is a bit worrisome, with sportsbook spy showing 73% on spread and 56% on ML. Maybe some squares with deep pockets bet Louisville, but it gives me some cause for concern. Just seems like SMU is the fishy side now.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by sharperimage88:

The line going up is a bit worrisome, with sportsbook spy showing 73% on spread and 56% on ML. Maybe some squares with deep pockets bet Louisville, but it gives me some cause for concern. Just seems like SMU is the fishy side now.
Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....


 
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Posted: #10
i'm going SMU m/l or nothing for this game.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....


 

hmmm, but isn' it true those numbers indicate accurately the number of bets by %?  What you don't know from that is total $ bet.  So you can asusme by RLM in this game for example that 28% of bets are on LOU and the line is going up then there's likely some serious jack going down on them.  From there you have to decide on your own what that really means for the game.

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....



Every so often you say something logical. 


Line movements are more to generate action on a game. What better way to draw attention to a match than to move the line one way or the other? 
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
One of my biggest plays of the year. I had the opening line at Smu -3.5.

Really love when our plays match. 
 
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Posted: #14
Lets do it, Train!
 
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"oh garbage, its Train69!"
 
Captain
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Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....




This is the best advice I've seen on your threads since you told me to start wearing male adult diapers to combat my incontinence.  I now walk around the office WITHOUT SHAME!!  
 
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Posted: #18
I like Them both
 
Legend
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....


SO TRUE

EVERY GAME is RLM now. The problem for us is it true RLM or RLM TRAP

I dont follow it anymore. Its just there to confuse IMO

 
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Legend
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

Some free advice. DO NOT LOOK AT THE % SITES GIVE. They are meaningless. Lots of people swear by RLM (reverse line movement), but in the end, it hits and misses 50% of the time like all "systems". I dont believe those numbers. There is ZERO chance 3 out of 4 people are betting on SMU tonght vs the defending national champs....


Notice how none of these sites give information as to where their numbers are coming from??????

It's all a scam to solicit traffic.  It's that simple.  And people feast on it because they aren't confident in their own abilities and they will d do anything tot try and get an edge in an endeavor (sports betting) where picking 55-57% might be a good year. 
 
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Posted: #22
Man im all over this!  I think Smu wins it outright also, gonna be close game throughout but this is Larry Brown folks!  That means a lot!!  He wants to instill fear on their home court and they are doing that with their disciplined balanced basketball per Mr. Brown.  Getting the 3.5 I got is like getting 6.5 in any other game I feel,  take the points for insurance  but probably wont need them.  Good call train.
 
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Posted: #23
Yikes !  :(

Double Whammy  :(

At least it wasn't a triple bagger
 
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Posted: #24
Tried to tell you. You know it all though.
 
 
Legend
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Posted: #25

Dead wrong. Not sure what happened to SMU after the 1st 10 minutes of the game, but they couldnt recover.

Sportsmedic. I dont like men like you do. Try elsewhere.

sharper: You warned me the line worried you because of % on each side. It doesnt matter to me. If you think thats why LVille covered then enjoy your winnings, I dont foresee that money lasting.

Congrats if you had LVille and/or over. Well deserved wins.

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