Green Bay Phoenix -9 @ Milwaukee Panthers

Question

The Green Bay Phoenix are 7-1 in their last 8 games with a win over #15 Miami U. at Miami. Average margin of victory in those 7 wins was over 15 ppg. Their worst lost this year was to Georgia St. (72-48) back on December 2nd. Looking at Ga. St. defensively, their only stand out category is steals where they are ranked 8th in the nation. The Panthers rank 330th in steals.

The Milwaukee Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 with no wins over ranked competition and a loss to #5 Wisconsin (93-54). Average margin of loss in those 6 losses was over 24 points.

These teams are headed in directly opposite directions. This could easily be a 20 point loss for the Panthers but it should stay easily in double digits.

Best of luck in your selections today.

smacksmiter · Answer

The Green Bay Phoenix are 7-1 in their last 8 games with a win over #15 Miami U. at Miami. Average margin of victory in those 7 wins was over 15 ppg. Their worst lost this year was to Georgia St. (72-48) back on December 2nd. Looking at Ga. St. defensively, their only stand out category is steals where they are ranked 8th in the nation. The Panthers rank 330th in steals.

The Milwaukee Panthers are 2-6 in their last 8 with no wins over ranked competition and a loss to #5 Wisconsin (93-54). Average margin of loss in those 6 losses was over 24 points.

These teams are headed in directly opposite directions. This could easily be a 20 point loss for the Panthers but it should stay easily in double digits.

Best of luck in your selections today.

Chefryan1982 · Answer

Nice

Susan31 · Answer

good luck

TheGoldenGoose · Answer

I read this game the same.  Don&#x27;t see how this can be anything other than a DD win.  Beware there are others in this forum who think otherwise.  There are others who think a 5-13 team that gives up 72ppg is a sharp pick but refuse to give reasons why.

smacksmiter · Answer

Certainly understand that some heavy hitters are on the opposite side and that is what prompted me to take a deeper look at the game myself. Fewer games on the board helped that decision as well. There were many other handicapping points that let me to the selection that I did not go into. Basically, everything says Green Bay to me except for the home court advantage and I do not see how that alone will allow the Panthers to compete tonight.

In the end, I take full responsibility for my picks and my money. Putting a 3 unit play on this which would rate this a large play for me.

Good luck tonight!

smacksmiter · Answer

Credit to SJColumbus for providing this valuable information in another post. I have taken the liberty of putting it here to add to the information base on this game.

Green Bay Wisconsin:

SOS: .502 (Rank 160)

RPI: .571 (Rank 63)

Home Record: 5-0

Away Record: 1-2

Neutral Record: 4-1

Offensive Stats

PPG: 67.2 (195th)

Rebounds Per: 36.6 (111th)

Assists Per: 12.9 (179th)

FG%: .461 (62nd)

Defensive Stats

Points Allowed: 57.2 (22nd)

Rebounds Per: 25.5 (90th)

Blocks Per: 4.9 (56th)

Steals per game: 7.4 (85th)

Wisconsin- Milwaukee

SOS: .484 (Rank 206)

RPI: .416 (Rank 300)

Home Record: 2-2

Away Record: 0-8

Neutral Record: 1-1

Offensive Stats

PPG: 63.6 (278th)

Rebounds Per: 33.6 (235th)

Assists Per: 11.6 (257th)

FG%: .403 (299th)

Defensive Stats

Points Allowed: 72.2 (307th)

Rebounds Per: 23.9 (185th)

Blocks Per: 2.8 (263rd)

Steals per game: 4.7 (330th)

Thanks SJ and if you can let me know where you found this in such a handy format I would greatly appreciate it.

SJColumbus · Answer

I actually grabbed it from a couple of sites....CBS basketball site as well as ESPN has all of the top stats above and I just compiled them together.....Use these in all of my games analysis.....I have been agreeing with AllStarCapper with his last few picks, but this one, I am really on the other side with, which is your side

OldandSlow · Answer

I&#x27;m not sure how much of an advantage the 1200 or so fans who will be in attendance will be.  I think this is a very good pick

Kramer961 · Answer

Milwaukee actually plays better at home, Green Bay a bit worse on the road. I don't think you'll find any cappers here saying Milwaukee is gonna win outright, I think those of us that are on Milwaukee are looking at the home/road stats rather than just the overall. Sure, on the overall side of things, looks like Green Bay should destroy them. Break it down though and there are some things to suggest it could stay under double digits.

At the end of the day, we're all still guessing, even with a million stats in front of us. BOL all.

mp5070 · Answer

Dogs bark

TheGoldenGoose · Answer

Kramer Unwritten Gambling Rule of Thumb...Play the Dog only if you feel they can win outright.

SJColumbus · Answer

Anyone else notice that susan is hot?

smacksmiter · Answer

Went back and took an in depth look at that Georgia State game that the Phoenix lost on on the road December 4th 72-48. Here is the write up on that game.

ATLANTA -- R.J. Hunter scored 26 points and Georgia State rolled over Green Bay 72-48 on Thursday night in a matchup between two of the nation's better midmajor teams.

Ryan Harrow added 17 points and T.J. Shipes had his first double-double with 11 points and 11 rebounds for the Panthers (6-2), who have won five consecutive games. Hunter made only 4 of 13 3-point attempts but hit 10 of 12 free-throw tries.

Keifer Sykes, like Hunter, named to the Naismith Award Preseason Watch List this week, led the Phoenix with 16 points. The Phoenix (5-2), who came in with their best start since the 1991-92 season, saw their four-game winning streak end.

Georgia State shot 53.1 percent to Green Bay's 28.8.

The Panthers had a double-digit lead with 13:39 left in the first half and led 42-18 at the break. The lead reached 31 points with 9:34 left in the game.

It appears to me that it was just a very bad shooting night for the whole team with 28.8% on FGs and 26.7% on 3 pointers. The Phoenix coach put in a lot of subs starting around the 4th quarter as it was obvious that the game was out of hand. Some have suggested that the Under 128 might be a good play on this game. The last 8 game totals average out to 125.25 ppg. I believe that the Phoenix will do their part so the key will be if the Panthers can keep up. Not sure if they can.

smacksmiter · Answer

In the Georgia St. game some other points came out.Phoenix was-Out rebounded by 8.Out stolen 9 to 5.Out blocked 7 to 2.

TheGoldenGoose · Answer

22 inch tattooed biceps might be a deal breaker.

Chefryan1982 · Answer

Yeah home court will mean nothing in this game that&#x27;s another reason I switched to WGB

smacksmiter · Answer

Green Bay is 1-2 on the road this year with the games as follows:

Nov 19 L @ #5 Wisconsin 84-60

Dec 4 L @ Georgia St. 72-48

Dec 6 W @ #15 Miami U 68-55

Miami U has beaten 2 of the 3 ranked teams they faced this year and the loss was to #3 UVA in double OT.

Milwaukee has played only one ranked team which happens to be a common opponent with Green Bay. Wisconsin beat them Dec 10 in a 93-54 score on their home court.

Green Bay played Wisconsin 15 points better than Milwaukee.

Best of luck on your games today.

clifmart · Answer

December 4th is way too far in history to dwell on one game for me. So I don't. Too many things happen such as : injuries, poor grades, a 2nd stringer whose been lighting it up in practice or weeks finally gets a shot at some minutes and is for real, jail , time for a team to come together and very importantly, conference play begins. But I always appreciate any input. Here is one method to try on games that do not have spreads yet. Make your picks on who will win and then take a spread that you will accept and ONLY accept. You may be smarter and more successful then you think. Just a thought.

After analyzing the GB vs Wisc-Milwaukee game, GB wins by double digits and it is a conference game.

smacksmiter · Answer

Best of luck, its time to tip this one off.

TRAIN69 · Answer

They are in my udmlp

OGsimpson · Answer

I&#x27;m with you brother ! &#xD;&#xA;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-5,158&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;0,7902&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;0,2744&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-14,9244&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;70,2&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;6,9&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;33&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-5,7&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-13,94&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;6,4&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-7,8&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;0,7&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-3

OGsimpson · Answer

Did you perhaps forget to look at their strenght of schedule?Schedule Strength (Past)&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;0.7 (#103)&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;-3.0 (#221Left is for green bay obviouslyGReen bay Away Games&#xD;&#xA;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;&#x9;4.6 (#109)Mil-wisc -10.4 (#304)

shaw24 · Answer

Milwaukee &#x2B;5 1h

shaw24 · Answer

Milwaukee &#x2B;5 1h


	-5,158	0,7902	0,2744	-14,9244	70,2	6,9	33	-5,7	-13,94	6,4	-7,8	0,7	-3


	-5,158	0,7902	0,2744	-14,9244	70,2	6,9	33	-5,7	-13,94	6,4	-7,8	0,7	-3

Green Bay Phoenix -9 @ Milwaukee Panthers

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