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Holmey's $$$$ Thread FRIDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.04.16

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Posted: #101
 I hit that 2nd Half Wichita also....right now it look like all Loyola.....
 
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Posted: #102

$$$$ play Illinois St -4

Indiana St has won 2 games in their last 8 both coming against the bottom of the conference. Before their last game, (a win over Bradley a 5-27 team) they lost 3 in a row by 22, 33,28 pts. The 28 pt loss was to this very same Illinois St team. Illinois has only lost 2 games in their last 8 and both losses were to conference powerhouses Wichita and Northern Iowa.

Indiana St is struggling on the offense, shooting 34.5%fg and 23.3% 3pt last 5 games while Illinois St is hitting at 46.6%fg and 37.2% 3pt on the offense. Illinois St lead the conference from 3 pt range shooting 36.8 %.

Indiana St is 1-8-1 ATS last 10 and 0-4 last 4 against team with winning record.

Illinois St is 4-1 vs Indiana St in quarter final match ups.

 

 
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Posted: #103
Wichita state could lose this game outright! What a choke job!
 
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Posted: #104
Trailed that shockers play at -18. Knew that was high. Glad I just made a small play on it. Kinda knew it was a bad bet when I hit the submit button
 
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Posted: #105
Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:


I meant no disrespect on your pick brotha, just wanted to give you my 2 cents. Our picks arent even against each other so I want you to get the W as much as I want mine to win. BOL, so far you're boy Donaldson is doing work ;)

No problem at all. I encourage others opinions. That's what I like about this thread. Multiple opinions and differing angles for all contests. Gives you plenty of info to make your best selections.  

 
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Posted: #106
Wichita state made me start drinking 30 minutes ago...and change over to the golf channel. 

cheers ! 
 
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Posted: #107
If I can win the 3 golf bets I will only lose juice on the shocker abortion. 
 
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Posted: #108
Quote Originally Posted by jbl:

No problem at all. I encourage others opinions. That's what I like about this thread. Multiple opinions and differing angles for all contests. Gives you plenty of info to make your best selections.  


You made an awesome assessment, Piercy just cant seem to make the same putts he was making yesterday to save par. So far so good! 
 
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Posted: #109
Jong Ajax is really sleepwalking through this game.
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by donkey_dealer08:

If I can win the 3 golf bets I will only lose juice on the shocker abortion. 

Same here, need Phil large though.....after watching that game I feel like I'm the one that got the shocker! 
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:


You made an awesome assessment, Piercy just cant seem to make the same putts he was making yesterday to save par. So far so good! 

Kopeka not firing like I anticipated. All tied with 3 to play. I really have underrated Adam Scott all year. Guess I thought the putter change would be far more significant

 
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Posted: #112
Soccer 2-1. At least we get a push worst case scenario! 
 
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Posted: #113
Quote Originally Posted by rf_dawg:

Dutch Jupiler League - Almere City vs Jong Ajax 

Going back to the well for the second time this week as the play is in the Dutch 2nd division (Jupiler League).

The team with the highest scoring games (Almere City - 3.81 gpg) play host to the 3rd highest (Jong Ajax - 3.5 gpg).

Jong Ajax have conceded 2+ goals in 11 of 13 road games. Almere City have conceded 2+ in 7 of 13 home games.  

After their big over earlier in the week Jong Ajax is now 12 out of 14 with 3+ goals.  Almere City are also an impressive 20/26 in 3+ goal games.  

I like the fact that neither team has a lot to play for as this should lead to an open game...no real reason to play tight defense.  Almere had an 11 goal affair the last time out but I don't want to get too greedy and will settle for 4.

Another highly juiced game but I'm willing to lay it. 

$$$$ Pick: Almere City vs Jong Ajax over 3 (-127)

PUSH with 10mins + injury time.  Pull the goalies!!
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by jbl:

Kopeka not firing like I anticipated. All tied with 3 to play. I really have underrated Adam Scott all year. Guess I thought the putter change would be far more significant


DJ came out firing, Scott is playing well but really need him to start making birdies. I really wish i took Bubba after seeing Rickie with that back to back doubles 
 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by donkey_dealer08:

$$$$3-0-1$$$$ 3-0 this week so this will be my last $$$$ play for the week per the rules$$$$ Akron -9 $$$$Perfect at home this season and the wins haven't been close. Add in the revenge factor when they lost as favorites on the road last month. I'm not 100 percent but this will probably be there senior night and they will want to finish with a perfect record at home and do it in dominating fashion. They have made me a lot of money at home and I'm sticking with them and getting on it before the line moves. Also for those of you who love at least 1 stat? Akron shot 6 - 11 in the last meeting while Kent St shot 22-32 and only won by 9. That is an a number that won't be close to being repeated. GL to everyone and let's keep this thing moving.

Line has dropped to 7.5 big line movement
 
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Posted: #116
Just want to let everyone know I just locked in UNI -5..... I have bet on them 4 times this year all as favorites, and in those four games they have lost all of them straight up.  So if you're a fan of trends.... the Saluki ML might be a little enticing. Just thought I'd share
 
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Posted: #117
Quote Originally Posted by Thebigcat13:

I'm seeing -320 & -485 on my side....thinking the same thing here, if today pans out like it hopefully will, I may throw a little some thing on Holm later.


I just checked my site again. -530 McGregor, and -310 holm. I actually think Diaz is a live dog if he tries to take this fight to the ground, and make it ugly. And by ugly I mean doesn't stand toe to toe and try and trade with McGregor, bc that will be all McGregor, just too much movement. Diaz and his extra wide boxing stance will be no match for mcgregors stand up. But if Diaz tries to make this an ugly grappling fight he is a live dog. But then again we know the Diaz brothers aren't geniuses and they are ballsy egomaniacs, so my guess is he is gonna try and trade with McGregor and fight standing up. If I weren't a hugeo McGregor fan I would lay some money on Diaz.



Take the rounds bet for McGregor fight, under 2 /12. Easy money
 
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Posted: #118
Yeah really....at least Phil's looking great right now....besides that one 4' birdie miss earlier...
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by Justanothersuka:


Line has dropped to 7.5 big line movement

Yeah I can't figure that one. They've played close the past couple of years but Akron is a juggernaut at home. Add in the revenge factor and the free throw discrepancy and I don't see how Akron doesn't roll in this one. 
 
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Posted: #120
No game with more than three goals in the Jupiler League today. Very strange.
 
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Posted: #121
[Quote: Originally Posted by iamsok]

DJ came out firing, Scott is playing well but really need him to start making birdies. I really wish i took Bubba after seeing Rickie with that back to back doubles 

[/Quote

Got Bubba in my annual pool for this week. Need to pick one different golfer for every tournament before season starts. Pays 4 segments. 2 tournaments left and I am 2 spots out of the money with Na next week. Need Bubba in top 3

 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by jbl:

Quote Originally Posted by iamsok:


DJ came out firing, Scott is playing well but really need him to start making birdies. I really wish i took Bubba after seeing Rickie with that back to back doubles 

[/Quote

Got Bubba in my annual pool for this week. Need to pick one different golfer for every tournament before season starts. Pays 4 segments. 2 tournaments left and I am 2 spots out of the money with Na next week. Need Bubba in top 3


Good luck brother. Na is solid this year, two 2nd place finishes. in the fedex top 10 with no wins, pretty awesome.
 
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Posted: #123
Anybody have a lean on VMI, Samford?
 
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Posted: #124
Really like VMI +6... thinking about making it my $$$$.  Just don't know if I have enough to write up about it.
 
 
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Posted: #125
Oh phil....why you gotta put one in the water 
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