Holmey's $$$$ Thread SUNDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.06.16

@QQ ...Orlando

Two Maryland dry spells without a field goal killed that over.  IU did their part.  I don't think I could bet on that Maryland team in the tournament.

Well  just one of those days.  If Purdue, Miami Under and St Louis Blues hit I will be up .1U.  Hopefully the thread can get back to jumping for tomorrow especially with a new week starting. 

Purdue (7:30PM ET Big Ten Network) – Couple losses for us in here the past couple days but this is the absolute best bet of the entire week and we get back to track for $$$$ when the #15 Purdue Boilermakers take on the Wisconsin Badgers at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette.  We highlighted Wisconsin’s improbable run last weekend when we backed them to win and cover against Michigan and while everything the Badgers have done in the wake of Bo Ryan’s retirement has been admirable, they are totally outclassed by a Purdue team that has just one loss at Mackey this season and hasn’t lost at home in two months.  Purdue grinded out a 61-55 win in Madison way back in December and while Wisconsin has come a long way since then, so have the Boilermakers who are a legitimate top 15 team in the country.  Both of these teams will be in the NCAA tournament this year but a bye in the Big Ten tournament is up for grabs today and it should be a fantastic environment inside Mackey as Purdue honors their seniors.  From a matchup perspective there’s just no way Wisconsin is going to be able to handle the size Purdue has inside with the likes on Vince Edwards, AJ Hammonds and Caleb Swanigan a threat to score but also hammer the boards on both ends.  Purdue has one of the best frontcourts in the country and it would take an ungodly effort from the perimeter for Wisconsin to not get completely blown out in this game.  The thing that kills Wisconsin here is the fact their entire offense runs through Nigel Hayes and Bronson Koenig and we see this as a bad matchup for both of them.  Hayes likes to will his way to the basket and that’s going to be difficult with seven footer AJ Hammonds patrolling the paint while Raphael Davis has become such a great on ball defender that he will be able to just about single handedly take Koenig out of the game.  That leaves inconsistent role players left to put up big numbers to hang with a Purdue offense that puts up big numbers at home and we just don’t see the Badgers being able to impose their will and play this game at the slow pace they need to stick around.  This is just an all-around bad matchup for the Badgers and they have done enough where a beating isn’t going to hurt their tournament standing and we expect exactly that as Purdue puts in a big effort and runs Wisconsin out of West Lafayette by double digits this afternoon.

$$$$ Purdue -6

Guys I absolutely love this play and will be hammering this as my biggest bet of the week.  I’ve watched almost every single game these two teams have played in Big Ten play so far this season and there is nothing anyone could say to convince me that Wisconsin isn’t getting absolutely throttled tonight.  Wisconsin is for real but this is a terrible matchup.  Purdue by 20

Good luck and lets get it today!