Holmey's $$$$ Thread THURSDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.18.16

Thank you, Neil

Ark st are:

• 13-27-1 ATS in their last 41 vs. Sun Belt.
• 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

georgia southern are:

• 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
• 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Sun Belt.
• 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
• 12-4 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games.

$$$$ = UCLA/Utah over 147

UCLA is solid at home, but not because of their defense.  In fact, their defense is terrible.  They don't have a solid, in-the-paint presence at all.  Their big men do not sell out on D, and if they do, they can't play defense without fouling.  Enter Utah, who has the best big man in the conference, if not the country, in Jakob Poeltl.  Poeltl is 7'-1", and a true 1 in every sense, and can totally dominate a game down low if the other team doesn't have a big man to keep him from getting position.  Loveridge and Taylor can bomb open 3's that are created by doubling down on Poeltl and Kuzma is really establishing himself as a solid, long, and explosive 4 who can thrive in the free space created by all the attention that Poeltl demands.  Utah has been scoring at will for the last few weeks and UCLA is not going to slow anyone down.  UCLA always starts off the game with a plan, falls behind by double-figures, and then starts playing playground ball and launching up 3's to catch up.  UCLA can score for sure, with Alford from 3 and a couple of slashers in Hamilton and Holiday who can create open shots and baskets.  Welsh is money from 12-feet and is hard to cover because he is technically a big man, but doesn't spend a lot of time in the paint.  I think this game will be wide open and neither team should have any problem getting their baskets and both teams should push 80 points and the game goes over easily.

Good luck everyone.

Congrats on the hit, bubba.  In the future, for gold matchups, can you give us the site where you got that line?  I could only find Donald vs. Noh in one place and it was -155.  Not saying yours wasn't legit, but obscure golf matchups are hard to tail if we don;t know where to find them.

Thanks and nice hit on this one!

Stats and trends cut and pasted from a gambling site are not a "writeup".  I don't track any $$$$'s that are just stats and trends.  This thread is for knowledge, not regurgitating numbers we can all find on Covers.

Oh I wasn't claiming you were lying at all.  I was just pointing out that the thread is for plays that others can tail, and Noh is a pretty obscure golfer and was sparsely included in the sites I could find golf matchups on.

I'm not in any way claiming your play was not valid.  I am just pointing out that if the readers here can't tail the play because it is not widely offered, then it kind of defeats the purpose.  I certainly don't want to say that golf machups are not OK as a $$$$, but, at the same time, I do want to make sure that the plays posted as $$$$'s are tail-able. 

Hope that makes sense.  And don't read this as I was implying your $$$$ was bogus or whatever.  I am just looking at it from the concept of people being able to tail the $$$$.

Thanks bubba.

Thanks, Money.  Hope you have made a little from the thread.