first and foremost many of you guys saw my write up on the last game washington played vs new mexico . i had washington for a small play(winner). washington /new mexico first half over huge (winner) and washington new mexico game over huge (loser by 4 points cuz new mexico laid a SUPER EGG) but im not making excuses.
anyway on to today....this game is very simple and im going to break it down for you as easy as i can. If washington can ride their momentum and jump out to a early lead by getting quick buckets in transition forcing west virginia to play at a fast pace this game will come down to the wire and could go either way based on the last couple of possessions. plain and simple can washington impose their style of game on west virginia...this game reminds me a lot of the game when washington played texas a&m earlier in the year where washington beat them 73 -64 a & m is a solid defensive team that gave up 73 points to this team and fell short I was watching that game and actually played a & m..... that was the game where derrick roland broke his leg in that game washington controlled tempo and i was lucky to win ats as a & m needed all 8.5 points to win especially after the roland injury...ironically west virginia also played a & m and beat them 73 - 66
back to today, i think the magic number is 70 for west virginia. if they can hold washington under 70 points they win this game. as soon as they go over 70 and the more points they score over 70 they will be skating on thin ice! washington loves to run and lorenzo loves using his bench!
lets look at west virginias losses....purdue gave up 77) notre dame gave up 70) syracuse 72) villanova 82) pitt 98) and uconn 73) so their you have it. west virginia hasnt lost a game this year when giving up less that 70...in their last 5 games the in which they obviously won them the total for the games have not gone over 127..this is what they need to do to win.....im telling everyone right now if this turns into a track meet west virginia will lose!
what i am doing is laying off the total until the 2nd half I wanna see which way this game is gonna go, also i have a small play on washington money line. i repeat (small play) at +170.. what i would like everyone to gather with this thread is to decide for themselves who is gonna control tempo... bottom line washington has momentum and they are playing with great confidence....all year everyone has said they are a great home team and a horrible road team....but they have obviously proven their critics wrong! whereas im not sure how west virginia will respond to their loss.....all i know is west virginia is not oppose to pushing the ball as they did with many games this year, but im sure (huggins) may be just a little to smart to fall into this trap....so i guess we are gonna have to wait and see.....
good luck