Everyone, PLEASE READ THIS POST.
I started following Nropps write-ups and selections about 2 weeks ago, and come to the conclusion he has good insight in just aboutevery league, is very disciplined, and IMO, as genuine and a good person as youcan find on this forumor any other.
What should be obvious is that, no matter who it is whatever forum, sport, trend, system, etc. No one I mean NO ONE will hit more than 55% at the very best, period. If your lucky enough to even do that, it takes incredible discipline to not chase. Thats how books win, its a 50-50 proposition, with 10% juice. But they know when bettors win, like this whole week, you play tight. Then when u lose, can you continue to play as tight? No, you bet more, dabble in other games, double, triple your loss. The guy goes like 8-0 during the week, how can you not expect an occasional 0-5, 0-6. It will happen again. Neil is scarily familiar with all leagues he's like a terminator with detailed files of all teams, but even someone this good cannot beat 55%, or maybe not reach that in the whole season, its that hard. If everyone would get rich betting his games, do you think anyone would go to work? I have set my expectations to win a very modest amount of money, and stick to the units he gives, and then MAYBE I can eek out a profit. If you think thousands will flow by blindly following, its false hope. I new a day like this would come sooner or later, and was scared he was so hot, it ALWAYS balances out in the end to come back to 50-55%. If your 100%, youre gonna go 0%. If your 70% you will hit 30-35% to pull it back down, its just math people. Yes, I feel everyones pain, but its simple rules you have to adhere to.
The biggest thing I struggle with, is not playing for one day. Perfect example today, nropp posted plays, all games were moved against his line 1 to 5 points, which is ridiculous. Did i play every one of his picks at the adjusted lines? Yes, but played each game for much less than usual. Best capper hits 57% so far, each game he plays you have to sacrifice 1-5 points on top? Fuck that i said, and so should you. There's always tomorrow, hard 2c that when you bet and bet, but have to realize this. Im glad at the least I minimized my losses, try some discipline. Part of me said, play all games he's hot, then rationalized and said, each game so many points lost, just play small, and it works out better, weather the storm.
Bottom line, dont let the books make you your bitch. Make them your bitch, play lines you feel comfortable with, and realize that theres always another bus to catch.
On a personal note, cannot thank Nropp enough for doing all of this, he has no obligation or duty here, never asked or asks for anything in return, just dont expect one day miracles folks. Hope this helps.