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Just for fun...my spreads for 1st rd matchups

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Prospect
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Posted: #1

I like to do this just to see where i think value is! Feel free to critique, but give some logic to it!

 

Kentucky - 26 vs. Ms. Vall ST(TBD)

Conn -4 vs Iow St

Wich St -1.5 vs VCU

Indiana -4.5 vs New Mex St

UNLV -7 vs. Colorado

Baylor -21 vs South Dakota St.

Notre Dame -3.5 vs Xavier

Duke -25 vs Lehigh

Mich St - 26.5 vs Long Island

Memphis -5 vs St. Louis

New Mexico St - 6 vs Long Beach St

Louisville -9.5 vs Davidson

Murray St -8 vs Colorado St

Marquette -10.5 vs BYU or -16 vs Iona

Florida -4 vs Virginia

Syracuse - 25 vs UNC Ash.

Kansas St -7 vs Southern Miss

Vandy -5 vs Harvard

Wisconsin - 12 vs Montana

Cinci - 4 vs Texas

Florida St - 8 vs St. Bon

West Virginia -3 vs Gonzaga

Ohio St - 25 vs Loyola MD

Creighton -3 vs Alabama

Temple -3 vs Cal or -4.5 vs USF

Michigan -12 vs Ohio

NC St - 2 vs San Diego St

Georgetown -14 vs Belmont

Purdue -3.5 vs St. Marys

Kansas- 21 vs Detroit

 

 

 
Captain
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Posted: #2
If Baylor is -21 against South Dakota State, I would risk my life on Dakota.


That line will be somewhere around 10-14
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Thanks for the input HOF, honestly, I know very little about SDS. I wouldn't be shocked if my number was that far off!
 
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Posted: #4
Would love 9.5 with Davidson
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
Wichita St. received a horrible seed and then to make it worse, they are given a horrible draw in VCU.

Committee just protecting the big boys. Both these teams could make a long run and they match them up in first round?

Sick
 
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Posted: #6
Shockers -1.5 over VCU....Rams a tough bunch...but Shockers are a gifted squad...
 
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Posted: #7
Sorry, but some of these are absurd. Look at previous first round tournament lines. They're typically lower and tighter than is expected by the general public.

Duke, Baylor, KState, and Marquette (vs. Iona) are way too chalky.
 
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Posted: #8
Give me Lehigh and SD State with those lines.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9

Wich St vs VCU should be a great game. Was torn over who to make the favorite. Wouldn't be shocked to see that open at a pk.

 

JFen,

Thanks for the input, and you very well may be right. I like to set the 1 & 2 seeds pretty high because those are your public teams who get action regardless of the line.

 
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Posted: #10
FSU -8
 
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Posted: #11
Fun time Donz.

I think your right about wich st being favored, may be as high as 2.5

Baylor will be -15
Kstate more like -5
New Mexico is playing Long Beach, GL!
 
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Posted: #12
Thanks, TCU. Seems like everybody agrees my Baylor line is way off, which may very well be right. I have to think Wich St could be anywhere from a 1.5-2.5 fav...would be shocked to see that at -3. I also respectfully disagree with Kstate line being less than -7, if anything I think it could be higher. GL to you sir!
 
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Posted: #13

I think Zags will be favored over West Virginia

Am i Crazy?

 
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Posted: #14
Baylor opened -7.5
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
bucksox, I don't think you're crazy at all. That was one of the games I had to think about the most. For some reason West Coast teams get very little love (I recall Gonzaga being +1 last year in 1st rd vs St. Johns, which I thought was crazy). So that line was based off of Zags getting no love from oddsmakers!
 
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Posted: #16

LOL @ my baylor spread, I was only about 2 touchdowns off!!! Does that mean Vegas likes Baylor to go down in the first round??

 

 
 
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Posted: #17
Wowwwww Wich St opens as 5.5 favs?????
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