Posted:
#1
Wagers:
Elon -2(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Georgia St pk(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Utah +5(-110) 11u to win 10u…
Stanford +6(-110) 12.1u to win 11u & ML(+220) 1u to win 2.2u...
Leans:
*Seton Hall +4.5…
**Youngstown St -4… Kendrick Perry is a very talented guard and can get in the paint almost at will, especially vs weaker teams. Valpo = 0-5su vs teams in the top #150 so far this season. Their most recent lost was to Wright St 45-62 on their home court. The Penguins are currently #139. Last year these 2 teams split the match ups as both home teams won. Valpo had seniors Van Wijk, Broekhoff, Bogan, Kenney, Buggs & Boggs score 103pts of a possible 141pts. That’s 73% of the points scored from last seasons match up now long gone. Valpo was a 26 win team last season and no longer are in that same level of play as they lost all their starters as coach Bryce Drew is trying to speed things up to compensate for all that lost talent. Bryce Drew’s tempo since taking over at Valpo goes as follows #265 = 2012, #186 = 2013 & #181 = 2014. Love Youngstown St at home tonight in a big conference game. But I’m going to pass after 2nd thought’s...
*Old Dominion +5…
*Tulane +8… ECU plays no defense at #327 overall leaving many doors of possibility open for Tulane to cover this number...
**Ohio St -11… DMX said "Ay yo I'm slippin' I'm fallin' I can't get up, Ay yo I'm slippin' I'm fallin' I gots to get up, Get me back on my feet so I can tear shit up!” That’s exactly what Ohio St is doing right now. But do they get up enough to cover -11 tonight? Great question… Illinois has their own issues, especially on offense, but defensively they can hang. If I wagered on this game it would be the under at anything 125 or higher. 130 or higher would be a dream number that probably won’t be able to be found...
*Kent St -5…
*Florida -5…
*Western Carolina +2.5…
**Appalachian St -1.5… App St beat Georgia Southern w/o their best player and senior leader by 13pts. Citadel has lost 16 of their last 17 D1 games. Well hello value! But hello discipline!!!
*Wofford +1…
**Elon -2… Not enough size to check 6’10’’ Troutman in the post from Chattanooga. Nor does Chattanooga posses enough offense (#231 3pt% & #217 2pt%) to keep up. Beumont is a 6’7’’ slasher (53 for 117 2pt%) and Koch is a 6’8’’ deadly shooter (44 for 101 from 3) and Elon’s PD Hamilton has 16 assists to just 4 turnovers in the last 4 games. Chattanooga is in deep trouble in this game IMO...
*St Peters +4…
**Monmouth -3… Fairfield holds the worst offensive rating in the MAAC at #340. So a fade at a mild price is always going to get a first glance look from me when their on the road. That said Monmouth has their own offensive issues at #272. Fairfield is actually rated the #2 in defense in the MAAC and defense can always help balance a bad offense...
**Charlotte +12.5… So far La Tech w/o Appleby = 2-1su. The 2 wins came vs #260 & #281. The lone loss came vs #52. Hmmmm. So maybe just maybe he’s pretty important in bigger games seeing as that loss to #52 was a 9pt loss to Southern Miss. But Charlotte hasn’t seen a top 50 tempo all season and La Tech is a super deep team. This 12.5 could be the trap of the night as the betting market now is very aware of Appleby’s injury...
**Memphis -13.5… I fully expect the current #117 rating from Houston to be their peak point of this season with games left going vs Memphis, SMU, UConn, Rutgers, Louisville, Temple, Cincy, SMU, UCF, Memphis, Temple, South Florida & UCF. Maybe 3 or 4 wins in their at best. 3 of Houston’s 5 losses to top 100 teams this year have come by way of double digit loss margins. Memphis is very talented on both sides of the ball and very fast at #45 tempo. Memphis is 6-12ats the last 2 years as double digit favs, so in terms of law of averages tho game presents a solid spot at taking a step bcd in the direction of the 50% tile. Passing after 2nd thought’s. Trying to make less wagers in relation to that discipline thing to get this thing going...
*North Texas +2.5…
**Ball St +7… sos’s here has led to a number such as this IMO. Ball St’s sos = #42 & Buffalo sos = #232...
*Rice -1…
*Little-Rock -5…
*Penn St -4…
*ULM +2…
*Denver +2.5…
**Tenn-Martin -4… Tenn Martin’s last 8 losses came vs teams that are 86-56su or in other words 61% winners. EIU is 4-12 vs D1 teams this year for a winning % of just 25%. EIU’s road losses this year point margin of defeats = 17, 28, 15, 28, 27, 21 & 12… Still I’m a bit scared with laying chalk with Tenn-Martin as EIU does have 3 conference wins already compared to Ten-Martin’s 1.
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